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Economic institutions often influence market outcomes not by directly controlling sellers' menus, but by shaping the market composition sellers face. We study the welfare effects of this upstream choice in a monopoly screening model. An…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-05 Panagiotis Kyriazis

Time series of price returns for 80 of the most liquid cryptocurrencies listed on Binance are investigated for the presence of detrended cross-correlations. A spectral analysis of the detrended correlation matrix and a topological analysis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-14 Jarosław Kwapień , Marcin Wątorek , Stanisław Drożdż

Diversification return is an incremental return earned by a rebalanced portfolio of assets. The diversification return of a rebalanced portfolio is often incorrectly ascribed to a reduction in variance. We argue that the underlying source…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-07 Scott Willenbrock

We analyze a proprietary dataset of trades by a single asset manager, comparing their price impact with that of the trades of the rest of the market. In the context of a linear propagator model we find no significant difference between the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-03 Bence Toth , Zoltan Eisler , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

The equity risk premium puzzle is that the return on equities has far exceeded the average return on short-term risk-free debt and cannot be explained by conventional representative-agent consumption based equilibrium models. We review a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-18 Ravi Kashyap

While the long-ranged correlation of market orders and their impact on prices has been relatively well studied in the literature, the corresponding studies of limit orders and cancellations are scarce. We provide here an empirical study of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 Zoltan Eisler , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Julien Kockelkoren

We introduce an agent-based model, in which agents set their prices to maximize profit. At steady state the market self-organizes into three groups: excess producers, consumers and balanced agents, with prices determined by their own…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-03 Bin Li , K. Y. Michael Wong , Amos H. M. Chan , Tsz Yan So , Hermanni Heimonen , Junyi Wei , David Saad

Financial firms and institutional investors are routinely evaluated based on their performance relative to their peers. These relative performance concerns significantly influence risk-taking behavior and market dynamics. While the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-29 Masaaki Fujii

Market confidence is essential for successful investing. By incorporating multi-market into the evolutionary minority game, we investigate the effects of investor beliefs on the evolution of collective behaviors and asset prices. When there…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-18 Li-Xin Zhong , Wen-Juan Xu , Ping Huang , Chen-Yang Zhong , Tian Qiu

In this work, we aim to reconcile several apparently contradictory observations in market microstructure: is the famous "square-root law" of metaorder impact, which decays with time, compatible with the random-walk nature of prices and the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-05 Guillaume Maitrier , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We investigate the concept of network momentum, a novel trading signal derived from momentum spillover across assets. Initially observed within the confines of pairwise economic and fundamental ties, such as the stock-bond connection of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-25 Xingyue Pu , Stephen Roberts , Xiaowen Dong , Stefan Zohren

We empirically test predictability on asset price by using stock selection rules based on maximum drawdown and its consecutive recovery. In various equity markets, monthly momentum- and weekly contrarian-style portfolios constructed from…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Jaehyung Choi

It is commonly accepted that Commodities futures and forward prices, in principle, agree under some simplifying assumptions. One of the most relevant assumptions is the absence of counterparty risk. Indeed, due to margining, futures have…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-09 Damiano Brigo , Kyriakos Chourdakis , Imane Bakkar

Factor modeling of asset returns has been a dominant practice in investment science since the introduction of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT). The factors, which account for the systematic risk,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-30 Zhipu Zhou , Alexander Shkolnik , Sang-Yun Oh

We consider a market model that consists of financial investors and producers of a commodity. Producers optionally store some production for future sale and go short on forward contracts to hedge the uncertainty of the future commodity…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-24 Michail Anthropelos , Michael Kupper , Antonis Papapantoleon

This paper studies the links between the descriptions of macroeconomic variables and statistical moments of market trade, price, and return. The randomness of market trade values and volumes during the averaging interval {\Delta} results in…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-22 Victor Olkhov

We investigate financial market correlations using random matrix theory and principal component analysis. We use random matrix theory to demonstrate that correlation matrices of asset price changes contain structure that is incompatible…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Daniel J. Fenn , Mason A. Porter , Stacy Williams , Mark McDonald , Neil F. Johnson , Nick S. Jones

We explore the effect of past market movements on the instantaneous correlations between assets within the futures market. Quantifying this effect is of interest to estimate and manage the risk associated to portfolios of futures in a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-13 Armine Karami , Raphael Benichou , Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We investigate whether the tails of firm-level idiosyncratic return distributions are driven by common shocks. We use quantile factor analysis to extract such common idiosyncratic quantile factors with asymmetric pricing effects and we find…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-12 Jozef Barunik , Matej Nevrla