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For a given testing problem, let $U_1,...,U_n$ be individually valid and conditionally on the data i.i.d.\ P-variables (often called P-values). For example, the data could come in groups, and each $U_i$ could be based on subsampling just…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-22 Lutz Mattner

Our main goal is to study a class of processes whose increments are generated via a cellular automata rule. Given the increments of a simple biased random walk, a new sequence of (dependent) Bernoulli random variables is produced. It is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-24 Andrea Collevecchio , Kais Hamza , Yunxuan Liu

We study a spatial Prisoner's dilemma game with two types (A and B) of players located on a square lattice. Players following either cooperator or defector strategies play Prisoner's Dilemma games with their 24 nearest neighbors. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 Michel Droz , Janusz Szwabiński , György Szabó

Stochastic dominance is a crucial tool for the analysis of choice under risk. It is typically analyzed as a property of two gambles that are taken in isolation. We study how additional independent sources of risk (e.g. uninsurable labor…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-14 Luciano Pomatto , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

We consider the urn setting with two different objects, ``good'' and ``bad'', and analyze the number of draws without replacement until a good object is picked. Although the expected number of draws for this setting is a standard textbook…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-07 John Ahlgren

Consider the problem of maximizing the probability of stopping with one of the two highest values in a Bernoulli random walk with arbitrary parameter $p$ and finite time horizon $n$. Allaart \cite{Allaart} proved that the optimal strategy…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-27 José A. Islas

Past efforts to classify impartial three-player combinatorial games (the theories of Li and Straffin) have made various restrictive assumptions about the rationality of one's opponents and the formation and behavior of coalitions. One may…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 James Propp

If the parameters of the original Parrondo games $A$ and $B$ are allowed to be arbitrary, subject to a fairness constraint, and if the two (fair) games $A$ and $B$ are played in an arbitrary periodic sequence, then the rate of profit can…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-13 S. N. Ethier , Jiyeon Lee

We consider games played on finite graphs, whose goal is to obtain a trace belonging to a given set of winning traces. We focus on those states from which Player 1 cannot force a win. We explore and compare several criteria for establishing…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2008-11-12 Marco Faella

We study the problem of online learning in two-sided non-stationary matching markets, where the objective is to converge to a stable match. In particular, we consider the setting where one side of the market, the arms, has fixed known set…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Deepan Muthirayan , Chinmay Maheshwari , Pramod P. Khargonekar , Shankar Sastry

Using methods from the statistical mechanics of disordered systems we analyze the properties of bimatrix games with random payoffs in the limit where the number of pure strategies of each player tends to infinity. We analytically calculate…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Johannes Berg

One can consider $\mu$-Martin-L\"of randomness for a probability measure $\mu$ on $2^{\omega}$, such as the Bernoulli measure $\mu_p$ given $p \in (0, 1)$. We study Bernoulli randomness of sequences in $n^{\omega}$ with parameters $p_0,…

Logic · Mathematics 2020-11-30 Andrew DeLapo

You play the following game: you start out with $n$ coins that all have probability $p$ to land heads. You toss all of them and you then need to set aside at least one of them, which will not be tossed again. Now you repeat the process with…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-06-25 Wouter van Doorn

We revisit the well-studied problem of designing fair and manipulation-resistant tournament rules. In this problem, we seek a mechanism that (probabilistically) identifies the winner of a tournament after observing round-robin play among…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-08 David Pennock , Daniel Schoepflin , Kangning Wang

We prove the Shepp--Olkin conjecture, which states that the entropy of the sum of independent Bernoulli random variables is concave in the parameters of the individual random variables. Our proof is a refinement of an argument previously…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Erwan Hillion , Oliver Johnson

Competing urns refers to the random experiment where m balls are dropped, randomly and independently, into urns 1,...,n. Formally, we have a random map $\sigma$ from {1,...,m} to {1,...,n} with the $\sigma(i)$'s i.i.d. With $x_j$ the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-06 Jeff Kahn , Michael Neiman

The Possible-Winner problem asks, given an election where the voters' preferences over the set of candidates is partially specified, whether a distinguished candidate can become a winner. In this work, we consider the computational…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Batya Kenig

Let A be a finite subset of $\nat$. Then NIM(A;n) is the following 2-player game: initially there are $n$ stones on the board and the players alternate removing $a\in A$ stones. The first player who cannot move loses. This game has been…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-11-13 William Gasarch , John Purtilo , Douglas Ulrich

A reformulation of the Kelly Criterion is presented. Let $\mathfrak{G}$ be a generic stochastic Bernoulli binary game with outcomes $\mathscr{Z}(I)\in\lbrace -1,1\rbrace$ of N trials for $I=1...N$. The binomial probabilities are…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Steven D Miller

The paper studies one-shot two-player games with non-Bayesian uncertainty. The players have an attitude that ranges from optimism to pessimism in the face of uncertainty. Given the attitudes, each player forms a belief about the set of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Jiwoong Lee , Jean Walrand
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