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The asymmetric switch process is a binary stochastic process that alternates between the values one and minus one, where the distributions of the time in these states may differ. Two versions of the process are considered: a non-stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Henrik Bengtsson , Krzysztof Podgorski

This paper considers the joint distribution of elements of a random sample and an order statistic of the same sample. \ The motivation for this work stems from the important problem in reliability analysis, to estimate the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-04 Ismihan Bairamov

Consider Dyson's Hermitian Brownian motion model after a finite time S, where the process is started at N equidistant points on the real line. These N points after time S form a determinantal process and has a limit as N tends to infinity.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Kurt Johansson

All real physical processes, including of the first-passage time, occur with a change in entropy. This circumstance is not taken into account when studying the first-passage time, but is illustrated in this article using the example of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-30 V. V. Ryazanov

We study the permutation complexity of finite-state stationary stochastic processes based on a duality between values and orderings between values. First, we establish a duality between the set of all words of a fixed length and the set of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-12-13 Taichi Haruna , Kohei Nakajima

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

We consider a particle undergoing run and tumble dynamics, in which its velocity stochastically reverses, in one dimension. We study the addition of a Poissonian resetting process occurring with rate $r$. At a reset event the particle's…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-05 Martin R. Evans , Satya N. Majumdar

We study a renewal problem within a periodic environment, departing from the classical renewal theory by relaxing the assumption of independent and identically distributed inter-arrival times. Instead, the conditional distribution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Quentin Cormier

In their 1993 paper 'Forecasting point and continuous processes: Prequential analysis' in Test, Vovk put forward a game-theoretic definition of the Poisson process. A key assumption therein is that the rate of the Poisson process is known…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Alexander Erreygers

We consider stochastic dynamical systems defined by differential equations with a uniform random time delay. The latter equations are shown to be equivalent to deterministic higher-order differential equations: for an $n$-th order equation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-11 P. L. Krapivsky , J. M. Luck , K. Mallick

We consider an exhaustive polling system with three nodes in its transient regime under a switching rule of generalized greedy type. We show that, for the system with Poisson arrivals and service times with finite second moment, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 I. M. MacPhee , M. V. Menshikov , S. Popov , S. Volkov

Suppose we observe a Poisson process in real time for which the intensity may take on two possible values $\lambda_0$ and $\lambda_1$. Suppose further that the priori probability of the true intensity is not given. We solve a minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Hongwei Mei

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Rafael Weißbach , Dominik Wied

Determinantal and permanental processes are point processes with a correlation function given by a determinant or a permanent. Their atoms exhibit mutual attraction of repulsion, thus these processes are very far from the uncorrelated…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-19 Isabelle Camilier , Laurent Decreusefond

A linear extension of a poset $P$ is a permutation of the elements of the set that respects the partial order. Let $L(P)$ denote the number of linear extensions. It is a #P complete problem to determine $L(P)$ exactly for an arbitrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-03 Jacqueline Banks , Scott Garrabrant , Mark L. Huber , Anne Perizzolo

Consider an inhomogeneous Poisson process and let $D$ be the first of its epochs which is followed by a gap of size $\ell>0$. We establish a criterion for $D<\infty$ a.s., as well as for $D$ being long-tailed and short-tailed, and obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Søren Asmussen , Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Anders Rønn Nielsen

In this paper the class of mixed renewal processes (MRPs for short) with mixing parameter a random vector from \cite{lm6z3} (enlarging Huang's \cite{hu} original class) is replaced by the strictly more comprising class of all extended MRPs…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-20 N. D. Macheras , S. M. Tzaninis

In this paper, we develop two stochastic models where the variable under consideration follows Harris distribution. The mean and variance of the processes are derived and the processes are shown to be non-stationary. In the second model,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S Sherly , M K Jose , E Sandhya , N Raju

We consider the stochastic ranking process with the jump times of the particles determined by Poisson random measures. We prove that the joint empirical distribution of scaled position and intensity measure converges almost surely in the…