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We study a sequential coin-flipping game in which a player starts with~$n$ coins, each landing heads independently with probability~$p$. In each round the player flips all remaining coins and must set aside at least one coin showing heads;…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Peter Pfaffelhuber

From the gambling logs of an online lottery game we extract the probability distribution of various quantities (e.g., bet value, total pool size, waiting time between successive gambles) as well as related correlation coefficients. We view…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-18 Xiangwen Wang , Michel Pleimling

We propose a game-theoretic framework that incorporates both incomplete information and general ambiguity attitudes on factors external to all players. Our starting point is players' preferences on payoff-distribution vectors, essentially…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-04 Jian Yang

We consider a time-consistent mean-variance portfolio selection problem of an insurer and allow for the incorporation of basis (mortality) risk. The optimal solution is identified with a Nash subgame perfect equilibrium. We characterize an…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-16 Frank Bosserhoff , Mitja Stadje

We extend the Bismut-Elworthy-Li formula to non-degenerate jump diffusions and "payoff" functions depending on the process at multiple future times. In the spirit of Fournie et al [13] and Davis and Johansson [9] this can improve Monte…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 T. R. Cass , P. K. Friz

The beautiful theory of statistical gambling, started by Dubins and Savage (for subfair games) and continued by Kelly and Breiman (for superfair games) has mostly been studied under the unrealistic assumption that we live in a continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-27 Shalosh B. Ekhad , Doron Zeilberger

Consider a gambling game in which we are allowed to repeatedly bet a portion of our bankroll at favorable odds. We investigate the question of how to minimize the expected number of rounds needed to increase our bankroll to a given target…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-06 Thomas P. Hayes

In this paper we introduce the novel framework of distributionally robust games. These are multi-player games where each player models the state of nature using a worst-case distribution, also called adversarial distribution. Thus each…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Dario Bauso , Jian Gao , Hamidou Tembine

We study T. Cover's rebalancing option (Ordentlich and Cover 1998) under discrete hindsight optimization in continuous time. The payoff in question is equal to the final wealth that would have accrued to a $\$1$ deposit into the best of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-24 Alex Garivaltis

We consider a continuous-time game-theoretic model of an investment market with short-lived assets and endogenous asset prices. The first goal of the paper is to formulate a stochastic equation which determines wealth processes of investors…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-01 Mikhail Zhitlukhin

A portfolio of different stocks and a risk-less security whose composition is dynamically maintained stable by trading shares at any time step leads to a growth of the capital with a nonrandom rate. This is the key for the theory of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Serva

This paper addresses the problem of steering a discrete-time linear dynamical system from an initial Gaussian distribution to a final distribution in a game-theoretic setting. One of the two players strives to minimize a quadratic payoff,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Venkata Ramana Makkapati , Tanmay Rajpurohit , Kazuhide Okamoto , Panagiotis Tsiotras

We consider the classical problem of maximizing the expected utility of terminal net wealth with a final random liability in a simple jump-diffusion model. In the spirit of Horst et al. (2014) and Santacroce-Trivellato (2014), under…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-17 Marina Santacroce , Paola Siri , Barbara Trivellato

While the Kelly portfolio has many desirable properties, including optimal long-term growth rate, the resulting investment strategy is rather aggressive. In this paper, we suggest a unified approach to the risk assessment of the Kelly…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Levon Hakobyan , Sergey Lototsky

We study a problem of optimal irreversible investment and emission reduction formulated as a nonzero-sum dynamic game between an investor with environmental preferences and a firm. The game is set in continuous time on an infinite-time…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-31 Tiziano De Angelis , Caio César Graciani Rodrigues , Peter Tankov

We study a family of mean field games with a state variable evolving as a multivariate jump diffusion process. The jump component is driven by a Poisson process with a time-dependent intensity function. All coefficients, i.e. drift,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Chiara Benazzoli , Luciano Campi , Luca Di Persio

In a probabilistic mean-field game driven by a linear diffusion an individual player aims to minimize an ergodic long-run cost by controlling the diffusion through a pair of -- increasing and decreasing -- c\`adl\`ag processes, while he is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-13 Sören Christensen , Ernesto Mordecki , Facundo Oliú Eguren

We consider an autonomous navigation problem, whereby a traveler aims at traversing an environment in which an adversary tries to set an ambush. A two players zero sum game is introduced. Players' strategies are computed as random path…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-12-08 Emmanuel Boidot , Aude Marzuoli , Eric Feron

Cooperation through repetition is an important theme in game theory. In this regard, various celebrated ``folk theorems'' have been proposed for repeated games in increasingly more complex environments. There has, however, been insufficient…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-02-16 Richard McLean , Ichiro Obara , Andrew Postlewaite

This paper is concerned with general spatially explicit versions of three stochastic models for the dynamics of money that have been introduced and studied numerically by statistical physicists: the uniform reshuffling model, the immediate…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Nicolas Lanchier , Stephanie Reed
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