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Time series prediction is crucial for understanding and forecasting complex dynamics in various domains, ranging from finance and economics to climate and healthcare. Based on Transformer architecture, one approach involves encoding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Xin Cheng , Xiuying Chen , Shuqi Li , Di Luo , Xun Wang , Dongyan Zhao , Rui Yan

Simultaneous recordings from many neurons hide important information and the connections characterizing the network remain generally undiscovered despite the progresses of statistical and machine learning techniques. Discerning the presence…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-21 Pietro Verzelli , Laura Sacerdote

Granger causality, commonly used for inferring causal structures from time series data, has been adopted in widespread applications across various fields due to its intuitive explainability and high compatibility with emerging deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Ziyi Zhang , Shaogang Ren , Xiaoning Qian , Nick Duffield

Accurate load forecasting remains a formidable challenge in numerous sectors, given the intricate dynamics of dynamic power systems, which often defy conventional statistical models. As a response, time-series methodologies like ARIMA and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Anuvab Sen , Vedica Gupta , Chi Tang

Great research efforts have been devoted to exploiting deep neural networks in stock prediction. While long-range dependencies and chaotic property are still two major issues that lower the performance of state-of-the-art deep learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Junran Wu , Ke Xu , Xueyuan Chen , Shangzhe Li , Jichang Zhao

Future link prediction is a fundamental challenge in various real-world dynamic systems. To address this, numerous temporal graph neural networks (temporal GNNs) and benchmark datasets have been developed. However, these datasets often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Lu Yi , Jie Peng , Yanping Zheng , Fengran Mo , Zhewei Wei , Yuhang Ye , Yue Zixuan , Zengfeng Huang

Multivariate time series forecasting enables the prediction of future states by leveraging historical data, thereby facilitating decision-making processes. Each data node in a multivariate time series encompasses a sequence of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Xinlong Zhao , Liying Zhang , Tianbo Zou , Yan Zhang

Conventional time series classification approaches based on bags of patterns or shapelets face significant challenges in dealing with a vast amount of feature candidates from high-dimensional multivariate data. In contrast, deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Raneen Younis , Abdul Hakmeh , Zahra Ahmadi

The task of clustering unlabeled time series and sequences entails a particular set of challenges, namely to adequately model temporal relations and variable sequence lengths. If these challenges are not properly handled, the resulting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-19 Daniel J. Trosten , Andreas S. Strauman , Michael Kampffmeyer , Robert Jenssen

Deep learning based approaches have been utilized to model and generate graphs subjected to different distributions recently. However, they are typically unsupervised learning based and unconditioned generative models or simply conditioned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Shanchao Yang , Jing Liu , Kai Wu , Mingming Li

We propose a nonparametric and time-varying directed information graph (TV-DIG) framework to estimate the evolving causal structure in time series networks, thereby addressing the limitations of traditional econometric models in capturing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-29 Jalal Etesami , Ali Habibnia , Negar Kiyavash

Traditional linear methods for forecasting multivariate time series are not able to satisfactorily model the non-linear dependencies that may exist in non-Gaussian series. We build on the theory of learning vector-valued functions in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-28 Magda Gregorová , Alexandros Kalousis , Stéphane Marchand-Maillet

Anomalies in univariate time series often refer to abnormal values and deviations from the temporal patterns from majority of historical observations. In multivariate time series, anomalies also refer to abnormal changes in the inter-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Katrina Chen , Mingbin Feng , Tony S. Wirjanto

Graph-based analyses have gained a lot of relevance in the past years due to their high potential in describing complex systems by detailing the actors involved, their relations and their behaviours. Nevertheless, in scenarios where these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Francesco Zola , Lander Segurola , Jan Lukas Bruse , Mikel Galar Idoate

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) are widely recognized for their proficiency in modeling temporal dependencies, making them highly prevalent in sequential data processing applications. Nevertheless, vanilla RNNs are confronted with the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Pengfei Sun , Jibin Wu , Malu Zhang , Paul Devos , Dick Botteldooren

Identifying patterns of relations among the units of a complex system from measurements of their activities in time is a fundamental problem with many practical applications. Here, we introduce a method that detects dependencies of any…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-09 Andrea Civilini , Fabrizio de Vico Fallani , Vito Latora

Real-world time series often exhibit complex interdependencies that cannot be captured in isolation. Global models that model past data from multiple related time series globally while producing series-specific forecasts locally are now…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Abishek Sriramulu , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

This work proposes an algorithmic framework to learn time-varying graphs from online data. The generality offered by the framework renders it model-independent, i.e., it can be theoretically analyzed in its abstract formulation and then…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Alberto Natali , Elvin Isufi , Mario Coutino , Geert Leus

In many domains, including healthcare, biology, and climate science, time series are irregularly sampled with varying time intervals between successive readouts and different subsets of variables (sensors) observed at different time points.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Xiang Zhang , Marko Zeman , Theodoros Tsiligkaridis , Marinka Zitnik

The growing interest in Temporal Graph Neural Networks (TGNNs) stems from their ability to model complex dynamics and deliver superior performance. However, TGNNs encounter fundamental challenges in capturing long-term dependencies and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Hongjiang Chen , Pengfei Jiao , Ming Du , Xuan Guo , Zhidong Zhao , Di Jin , Xiao Liu
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