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Active galactic nuclei (AGNs) exhibit stochastic optical variability, commonly characterized by a damped random walk. The damping timescale is of particular interest because it is related to fundamental properties of the central black hole,…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2025-09-29 Ruisong Xia , Zhen-Yi Cai , Yongquan Xue , Xian-Liang Lu , Guowei Ren , Shuying Zhou , Mouyuan Sun , Shifu Zhu , Zhen-Bo Su , Hao Liu

We present an unsupervised, data-driven framework for rapid characterisation of astronomical photometric time series using a Multi-Time Attention Network. The model learns time-aware latent representations directly from irregular, partial…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-26 Yash Gondhalekar , Anais Möller , Paula Sánchez-Sáez

Characterizing the temporal variability of astrophysical sources is key to understanding the underlying physical processes driving their emissions. This work introduces a gammapy_SyLC, a Python package that offers tools to simulate and fit…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-03-19 Claudio Galelli

This paper investigates a new methodology to search for periods in light-curves of high-energy gamma-ray sources such as Active Galactic Nuclei (AGNs). High-energy light curves have significant stochastic components, making period detection…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2022-07-27 Héctor Rueda , Jean-François Glicenstein , François Brun

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are the primary means to modelling dynamical systems in many natural and engineering sciences. The number of equations required to describe a system with high heterogeneity limits our capability of…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2017-07-17 Andrea Vandin

The ability to generate physically plausible ensembles of variable sources is critical to the optimization of time-domain survey cadences and the training of classification models on datasets with few to no labels. Traditional data…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-19 Jorge Martínez-Palomera , Joshua S. Bloom , Ellianna S. Abrahams

The light curve of an exoplanetary transit can be used to estimate the planetary radius and other parameters of interest. Because accurate parameter estimation is a non-analytic and computationally intensive problem, it is often useful to…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Joshua A. Carter , Jennifer C. Yee , Jason Eastman , B. Scott Gaudi , Joshua N. Winn

Machine learning is a promising tool to reconstruct time-series phenomena, such as variability of active galactic nuclei (AGN), from sparsely-sampled data. Here we use three Continuous Auto-Regressive Moving Average (CARMA) representations…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2022-04-21 Xinyue Sheng , Nicholas Ross , Matt Nicholl

We have developed two metrics related to AGN variability observables (time-lags, periodicity, and Structure Function (SF)) to evaluate LSST OpSim FBS 1.5, 1.6, 1.7 performance in AGN time-domain analysis. For this purpose, we generate an…

Aperiodic variability is a characteristic feature of young stars, massive stars, and active galactic nuclei. With the recent proliferation of time domain surveys, it is increasingly essential to develop methods to quantify and analyze…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-01 Krzysztof Findeisen , Ann Marie Cody , Lynne Hillenbrand

The purpose of this article is to provide a perspective -- admittedly, a rather subjective one -- of recent developments at the interface of machine learning/data-driven methods and nonlinear wave studies. We review some recent pillars of…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2026-04-15 Jimmie Adriazola , Panayotis G. Kevrekidis , Vassilis Koukouloyannis , Wei Zhu

There has been much recent progress in forecasting the next observation of a linear dynamical system (LDS), which is known as the improper learning, as well as in the estimation of its system matrices, which is known as the proper learning…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Quan Zhou , Jakub Marecek

We consider the problem of forecasting complex, nonlinear space-time processes when observations provide only partial information of on the system's state. We propose a natural data-driven framework, where the system's dynamics are modelled…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Ibrahim Ayed , Emmanuel de Bézenac , Arthur Pajot , Julien Brajard , Patrick Gallinari

Latent neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have recently emerged as a promising approach for learning generative models from stochastic time series data. However, they systematically underestimate the noise level inherent in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Linus Heck , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Michael T. Schaub , Niklas Boers

It is is explained why physical consistency requires substituting linear observables by nonlinear ones for quantum systems with nonlinear time evolution of pure states. The exact meaning and the concrete physical interpretation are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 W. Luecke

Time-series photometry and spectroscopy of transiting exoplanets allow us to study their atmospheres. Unfortunately, the required precision to extract atmospheric information surpasses the design specifications of most general purpose…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-14 Neale P. Gibson

Learning continuous-time stochastic dynamics is a fundamental and essential problem in modeling sporadic time series, whose observations are irregular and sparse in both time and dimension. For a given system whose latent states and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Yingru Liu , Yucheng Xing , Xuewen Yang , Xin Wang , Jing Shi , Di Jin , Zhaoyue Chen

Time series modeling and analysis have become critical in various domains. Conventional methods such as RNNs and Transformers, while effective for discrete-time and regularly sampled data, face significant challenges in capturing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 YongKyung Oh , Seungsu Kam , Jonghun Lee , Dong-Young Lim , Sungil Kim , Alex Bui

Non-uniform sampling arises when an experimenter does not have full control over the sampling characteristics of the process under investigation. Moreover, it is introduced intentionally in algorithms such as Bayesian optimization and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-03 Stijn de Waele

Dark energy is one of the deepest puzzles in modern cosmology, and mounting evidence suggests that it is not just a cosmological constant but a genuinely dynamical component. Although cosmology and dynamical systems theory emerged from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-27 Nandan Roy , L. Arturo Ureña-López