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This paper presents a novel centralized, variational data assimilation approach for calibrating transient dynamic models in electrical power systems, focusing on load model parameters. With the increasing importance of inverter-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-15 Ahmed Attia , D. Adrian Maldonado , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

Low-order thermoacoustic models are qualitatively correct, but they are typically quantitatively inaccurate. We propose a time-domain bias-aware method to make qualitatively low--order models quantitatively (more) accurate. First, we…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-10 Andrea Nóvoa , Luca Magri

Reconstruction of turbulent flow based on data assimilation methods is of significant importance for improving the estimation of flow characteristics by incorporating limited observations. Existing works mainly focus on using only one…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-03-30 Xin-Lei Zhang , Heng Xiao , Guo-Wei He , Shi-Zhao Wang

A thermal convection loop is a circular chamber filled with water, heated on the bottom half and cooled on the top half. With sufficiently large forcing of heat, the direction of fluid flow in the loop oscillates chaotically, forming an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Andrew J. Reagan

This paper considers continuous data assimilation (CDA) in partial differential equation (PDE) discretizations where nudging parameters can be taken arbitrarily large. We prove that long-time optimally accurate solutions are obtained for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Amanda Diegel , Xuejian Li , Leo G. Rebholz

Non-Gaussian statistics are a challenge for data assimilation. Linear methods oversimplify the problem, yet fully nonlinear methods are often too expensive to use in practice. The best solution usually lies between these extremes.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-20 Berent Å. S. Lunde , Maximilian Ramgraber

When estimating quantities and fields that are difficult to measure directly, such as the fluidity of ice, from point data sources, such as satellite altimetry, it is important to solve a numerical inverse problem that is formulated with…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2023-08-11 Reuben W. Nixon-Hill , Daniel Shapero , Colin J. Cotter , David A. Ham

Artificial intelligence (AI)-based weather prediction research is growing rapidly and has shown to be competitive with the advanced dynamic numerical weather prediction models. However, research combining AI-based weather prediction models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Shunji Kotsuki , Kenta Shiraishi , Atsushi Okazaki

State estimation in multi-layer turbulent flow fields with only a single layer of partial observation remains a challenging yet practically important task. Applications include inferring the state of the deep ocean by exploiting surface…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-30 Zhongrui Wang , Nan Chen , Di Qi

Data assimilation combines (imperfect) knowledge of a flow's physical laws with (noisy, time-lagged, and otherwise imperfect) observations to produce a more accurate prediction of flow statistics. Assimilation by nudging (from 1964), while…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-31 Aytekin Çıbık , Rui Fang , William Layton , Farjana Siddiqua

A thermal convection loop is a annular chamber filled with water, heated on the bottom half and cooled on the top half. With sufficiently large forcing of heat, the direction of fluid flow in the loop oscillates chaotically, dynamics…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Andrew J. Reagan , Yves Dubief , Peter Sheridan Dodds , Christopher M. Danforth

We analyze the performance of a data-assimilation algorithm based on a linear feedback control when used with observational data that contains measurement errors. Our model problem consists of dynamics governed by the two-dimension…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Hakima Bessaih , Eric Olson , E. S. Titi

Data assimilation (DA) is a cornerstone of scientific and engineering applications, combining model forecasts with sparse and noisy observations to estimate latent system states. Classical high-dimensional DA methods, such as the ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Martin Andrae , Erik Wikingsson , So Takao , Tomas Landelius , Fredrik Lindsten

Data-driven methods have demonstrated strong predictive capabilities in fluid mechanics, yet most current applications still focus on simplified configurations, often characterised by statistical stationarity or limited temporal…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-21 Miguel M. Valero , Marcello Meldi

Variational data assimilation optimizes for an initial state of a dynamical system such that its evolution fits observational data. The physical model can subsequently be evolved into the future to make predictions. This principle is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Thomas Frerix , Dmitrii Kochkov , Jamie A. Smith , Daniel Cremers , Michael P. Brenner , Stephan Hoyer

Modern data analytics take advantage of ensemble learning and transfer learning approaches to tackle some of the most relevant issues in data analysis, such as lack of labeled data to use to train the analysis models, sparsity of the…

Data assimilation algorithms integrate prior information from numerical model simulations with observed data. Ensemble-based filters, regarded as state-of-the-art, are widely employed for large-scale estimation tasks in disciplines such as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Iris Rammelmüller , Gottfried Hastermann , Jana de Wiljes

We propose a novel framework for analyzing the dynamics of distribution shift in real-world systems that captures the feedback loop between learning algorithms and the distributions on which they are deployed. Prior work largely models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Lauren Conger , Franca Hoffmann , Eric Mazumdar , Lillian Ratliff

This paper improves the spectrally-filtered direct-insertion downscaling method for discrete-in-time data assimilation by introducing a relaxation parameter that overcomes a constraint on the observation frequency. Numerical simulations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Emine Celik , Eric Olson

Data assimilation of observational data into full atmospheric states is essential for weather forecast model initialization. Recently, methods for deep generative data assimilation have been proposed which allow for using new input data…

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