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We present a unifying view on various statistical estimation techniques including penalization, variational and thresholding methods. These estimators will be analyzed in the context of statistical linear inverse problems including…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-11 Markus Haltmeier , Housen Li , Axel Munk

In this paper, we study the estimation of the threshold predictive regression model with hybrid stochastic local unit root predictors. We demonstrate the estimation procedure and derive the asymptotic distribution of the least square…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-16 Christis Katsouris

Given data sampled from a number of variables, one is often interested in the underlying causal relationships in the form of a directed acyclic graph. In the general case, without interventions on some of the variables it is only possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-05 Christopher Nowzohour , Peter Bühlmann

Instrumental variable (IV) regression is a strategy for learning causal relationships in observational data. If measurements of input X and output Y are confounded, the causal relationship can nonetheless be identified if an instrumental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-17 Rahul Singh , Maneesh Sahani , Arthur Gretton

The aim of the paper is to derive the complex-valued least-squares estimator for bias-noise mean and variance.

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Tomasz Suslo

Let X_1,...., X_n be a collection of iid discrete random variables, and Y_1,..., Y_m a set of noisy observations of such variables. Assume each observation Y_a to be a random function of some a random subset of the X_i's, and consider the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-09-04 Andrea Montanari

Optimal linear prediction (aka. kriging) of a random field $\{Z(x)\}_{x\in\mathcal{X}}$ indexed by a compact metric space $(\mathcal{X},d_{\mathcal{X}})$ can be obtained if the mean value function $m\colon\mathcal{X}\to\mathbb{R}$ and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Kristin Kirchner , David Bolin

In this paper, we introduce a novel method to generate interpretable regression function estimators. The idea is based on called data-dependent coverings. The aim is to extract from the data a covering of the feature space instead of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-27 Vincent Margot , Jean-Patrick Baudry , Frédéric Guilloux , Olivier Wintenberger

Choosing a shrinkage method can be done by selecting a penalty from a list of pre-specified penalties or by constructing a penalty based on the data. If a list of penalties for a class of linear models is given, we provide comparisons based…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-10 Dean Dustin , Bertrand Clarke , Jennifer Clarke

We investigate the nonparametric estimation for regression in a fixed-design setting when the errors are given by a field of dependent random variables. Sufficient conditions for kernel estimators to converge uniformly are obtained. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Mohamed El Machkouri

Penalized smoothing is a standard tool in regression analysis. Classical approaches often rely on basis or kernel expansions, which constrain the estimator to a fixed span and impose smoothness assumptions that may be restrictive for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Marc Vidal , Yves Rosseel

Predictions from machine learning algorithms can vary across random seeds, inducing instability in downstream debiased machine learning estimators. We formalize random seed stability via a concentration condition and prove that subbagging…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Nicholas Williams , Alejandro Schuler

This paper deals with a projection least squares estimator of the function $J_0$ computed from multiple independent observations on $[0,T]$ of the process $Z$ defined by $dZ_t = J_0(t)d\langle M\rangle_t + dM_t$, where $M$ is a continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Nicolas Marie

This PhD thesis contains several contributions to the field of statistical causal modeling. Statistical causal models are statistical models embedded with causal assumptions that allow for the inference and reasoning about the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-05 Martin Emil Jakobsen

Classical causal models, such as Granger causality and structural equation modeling, are largely restricted to acyclic interactions and struggle to represent cyclic and higher-order dynamics in complex networks. We introduce a causal…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-21 Moo K. Chung , D. Vijay Anand , Anass B El-Yaagoubi , Jae-Hun Jung , Anqi Qiu , Hernando Ombao

We consider a general statistical estimation problem wherein binary labels across different observations are not independent conditioned on their feature vectors, but dependent, capturing settings where e.g. these observations are collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Yuval Dagan , Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Surbhi Goel , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

This paper develops a threshold regression model where an unknown relationship between two variables nonparametrically determines the threshold. We allow the observations to be cross-sectionally dependent so that the model can be applied to…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-29 Yoonseok Lee , Yulong Wang

Spatial interpolation is a crucial task in geography. As perhaps the most widely used interpolation methods, geostatistical models -- such as Ordinary Kriging (OK) -- assume spatial stationarity, which makes it difficult to capture the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-11 Peng Luo , Yilong Wu , Yongze Song

In prediction problems with more predictors than observations, it can sometimes be helpful to use a joint probability model, $\pi(Y,X)$, rather than a purely conditional model, $\pi(Y \mid X)$, where $Y$ is a scalar response variable and…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-17 P. Richard Hahn , Sayan Mukherjee , Carlos Carvalho

We give an overview of statistical models and likelihood, together with two of its variants: penalized and hierarchical likelihood. The Kullback-Leibler divergence is referred to repeatedly, for defining the misspecification risk of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-01 Daniel Commenges
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