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Observations where additive noise is present can for many models be grouped into a compound observation matrix, adhering to the same type of model. There are many ways the observations can be stacked, for instance vertically, horizontally,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-04-15 Ø. Ryan

This work develops a multivariate extension of the Fixed Rank Kriging (FRK) framework for spatial prediction in settings where multiple spatial processes may provide complementary information. The goal is to preserve the computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Gaia Caringi , Piercesare Secchi

This paper proposes the cross-quantilogram to measure the quantile dependence between two time series. We apply it to test the hypothesis that one time series has no directional predictability to another time series. We establish the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Heejoon Han , Oliver Linton , Tatsushi Oka , Yoon-Jae Whang

In a standard classification framework a set of trustworthy learning data are employed to build a decision rule, with the final aim of classifying unlabelled units belonging to the test set. Therefore, unreliable labelled observations,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-20 Andrea Cappozzo , Francesca Greselin , Thomas Brendan Murphy

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameters of a stochastic differential equation, with both drift and diffusion coefficients constant on the positive and negative axis, yet discontinuous at zero. This threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato

We consider a situation where the distribution of a random variable is being estimated by the empirical distribution of noisy measurements of that variable. This is common practice in, for example, teacher value-added models and other…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-08 Koen Jochmans , Martin Weidner

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

Functional linear regression is an important topic in functional data analysis. It is commonly assumed that samples of the functional predictor are independent realizations of an underlying stochastic process, and are observed over a grid…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-15 Cheng Chen , Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

Modern variational inference (VI) uses stochastic gradients to avoid intractable expectations, enabling large-scale probabilistic inference in complex models. VI posits a family of approximating distributions q and then finds the member of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-24 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , David Blei

In reinforcement learning, we can learn a model of future observations and rewards, and use it to plan the agent's next actions. However, jointly modeling future observations can be computationally expensive or even intractable if the…

Modern data analysis often involves massive datasets with hundreds of thousands of observations, making traditional inference algorithms computationally prohibitive. Coresets are selection methods designed to choose a smaller subset of…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-13 Bernardo Flores

The independence assumption is a useful tool to increase the tractability of one's modelling framework. However, this assumption does not match reality; failing to take dependencies into account can cause models to fail dramatically. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-06 Bailey Andrew , David R. Westhead , Luisa Cutillo

We analyze the saliency of neural networks and employ interpretable machine learning models to predict whether the Kronecker coefficients of the symmetric group are zero or not. Our models use triples of partitions as input features, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Giorgi Butbaia , Kyu-Hwan Lee , Fabian Ruehle

Prediction error is critical to assessing the performance of statistical methods and selecting statistical models. We propose the cross-validation and approximated cross-validation methods for estimating prediction error under a broad…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Chunming Zhang

Assume one observes independent categorical variables or, equivalently, one observes the corresponding multinomial variables. Estimating the distribution of the observed sequence amounts to estimating the expectation of the multinomial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-15 C. Durot , E. Lebarbier , A. -S. Tocquet

Calibration is a conditional property that depends on the information retained by a predictor. We develop decomposition identities for arbitrary proper losses that make this dependence explicit. At any information level $\mathcal A$, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Arthur Charpentier , Agathe Fernandes Machado

We investigate a semiparametric regression model where one gets noisy non linear non invertible functions of the observations. We focus on the application to bearings-only tracking. We first investigate the least squares estimator and prove…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-17 Elisabeth Gassiat , Benoit Landelle

Ridge regression with random coefficients provides an important alternative to fixed coefficients regression in high dimensional setting when the effects are expected to be small but not zeros. This paper considers estimation and prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-29 Hongzhe Zhang , Hongzhe Li

We discuss semiparametric regression when only the ranks of responses are observed. The model is $Y_i = F (\mathbf{x}_i'{\boldsymbol\beta}_0 + \varepsilon_i)$, where $Y_i$ is the unobserved response, $F$ is a monotone increasing function,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-25 Michael C. Donohue , Anthony C. Gamst , Robert A. Rissman , Ian Abramson

Consider a nonlinear regression model : y_{i}=g(x_{i},{\theta})+e_{i}, i=1,...,n, where the x_{i} are random predictors x_{i} and {\theta} is the unknown parameter vector ranging in a set {\Theta}\subsetR^{p}. All known results on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-03 Fasano María Victoria , Ricardo A. Maronna
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