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Kriging and Gaussian Process Regression are statistical methods that allow predicting the outcome of a random process or a random field by using a sample of correlated observations. In other words, the random process or random field is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Marius Marinescu

Kriging is a widely employed technique, in particular for computer experiments, in machine learning or in geostatistics. An important challenge for Kriging is the computational burden when the data set is large. This article focuses on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-01 François Bachoc , Nicolas Durrande , Didier Rullière , Clément Chevalier

In the Big Data era, with the ubiquity of geolocation sensors in particular, massive datasets exhibiting a possibly complex spatial dependence structure are becoming increasingly available. In this context, the standard probabilistic theory…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-05 Emilia Siviero , Emilie Chautru , Stephan Clémençon

Kriging based on Gaussian random fields is widely used in reconstructing unknown functions. The kriging method has pointwise predictive distributions which are computationally simple. However, in many applications one would like to predict…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Wenjia Wang , Rui Tuo , C. F. Jeff Wu

Spatial prediction in an arbitrary location, based on a spatial set of observations, is usually performed by Kriging, being the best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) in a least-square sense. In order to predict a continuous surface over a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-17 Henning Omre , Mina Spremić

Kriging is a widely recognized method for making spatial predictions. On the sphere, popular methods such as ordinary kriging assume that the spatial process is intrinsically homogeneous. However, intrinsic homogeneity is too strict in many…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-08 Nicholas W. Bussberg , Jacob Shields , Chunfeng Huang

We propose a method with better predictions at extreme values than the standard method of Kriging. We construct our predictor in two ways: by penalizing the mean squared error through conditional bias and by penalizing the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-28 Minyong R. Lee , Art B. Owen

Kriging or Gaussian Process Regression is applied in many fields as a non-linear regression model as well as a surrogate model in the field of evolutionary computation. However, the computational and space complexity of Kriging, that is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-07 Bas van Stein , Hao Wang , Wojtek Kowalczyk , Michael Emmerich , Thomas Bäck

This work investigates the prediction performance of the kriging predictors. We derive some error bounds for the prediction error in terms of non-asymptotic probability under the uniform metric and $L_p$ metrics when the spectral densities…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Rui Tuo , Wenjia Wang

Functional Ordinary Kriging is the most widely used method to predict a curve at a given spatial point. However, uncertainty remains an open issue. In this article a distribution-free prediction method based on two different modulation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-01 Anna De Magistris , Andrea Diana , Elvira Romano

Spatial prediction requires expensive computation to invert the spatial covariance matrix it depends on and also has considerable storage needs. This work concentrates on computationally efficient algorithms for prediction using very large…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-11 Roberto Rivera

This paper considers the problem of kernel regression and classification with possibly unobservable response variables in the data, where the mechanism that causes the absence of information is unknown and can depend on both predictors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Majid Mojirsheibani , William Pouliot , Andre Shakhbandaryan

Kriging is a fundamental tool for spatial prediction, but its computational complexity of $O(N^3)$ becomes prohibitive for large datasets. While local kriging using $K$-nearest neighbors addresses this issue, the selection of $K$ typically…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco , Jonathan Acosta

We consider the problem of predicting values of a random process or field satisfying a linear model $y(x)=\theta^\top f(x) + \varepsilon(x)$, where errors $\varepsilon(x)$ are correlated. This is a common problem in kriging, where the case…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-13 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

The basic Kriging's model assumes a Gaussian distribution with stationary mean and stationary variance. In such a setting, the joint distribution of the spatial process is characterized by the common variance and the correlation matrix or,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-12 Giovanni Pistone , Grazia Vicario

Kriging is the predominant method used for spatial prediction, but relies on the assumption that predictions are linear combinations of the observations. Kriging often also relies on additional assumptions such as normality and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-29 Haoyu Wang , Yawen Guan , Brian J Reich

Regression, the task of predicting a continuous scalar target y based on some features x is one of the most fundamental tasks in machine learning and statistics. It has been observed and theoretically analyzed that the classical approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-19 Lawrence Stewart , Francis Bach , Quentin Berthet

The aim of the paper is to derive the numerical least-squares estimator for mean and variance of random variable. In order to do so the following questions have to be answered: (i) what is the statistical model for the estimation procedure?…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Tomasz Suslo

Let $X_{1}=(W_{1},Y_{1}),\ldots,X_{n}=(W_{n},Y_{n})$ be $n$ pairs of independent random variables. We assume that, for each $i\in\{1,\ldots,n\}$, the conditional distribution of $Y_{i}$ given $W_{i}$ belongs to a one-parameter exponential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-15 Juntong Chen

This article proposes a new kriging that has a rational form. It is shown that the generalized least squares estimate of the mean from rational kriging is much more well behaved than that from ordinary kriging. Parameter estimation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 V. Roshan Joseph
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