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In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

We propose a new Bayesian Neural Net formulation that affords variational inference for which the evidence lower bound is analytically tractable subject to a tight approximation. We achieve this tractability by (i) decomposing ReLU…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-13 Manuel Haussmann , Fred A. Hamprecht , Melih Kandemir

Bayesian deep learning approaches assume model parameters to be latent random variables and infer posterior distributions to quantify uncertainty, increase safety and trust, and prevent overconfident and unpredictable behavior. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Jihao Andreas Lin , Joe Watson , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

A Bayesian treatment of deep learning allows for the computation of uncertainties associated with the predictions of deep neural networks. We show how the concept of Errors-in-Variables can be used in Bayesian deep regression to also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Jörg Martin , Clemens Elster

Compared to point estimates calculated by standard neural networks, Bayesian neural networks (BNN) provide probability distributions over the output predictions and model parameters, i.e., the weights. Training the weight distribution of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Philipp Wagner , Xinyang Wu , Marco F. Huber

Policy gradient methods have had great success in solving continuous control tasks, yet the stochastic nature of such problems makes deterministic value estimation difficult. We propose an approach which instead estimates a distribution by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-07 Peter Henderson , Thang Doan , Riashat Islam , David Meger

Current approaches in approximate inference for Bayesian neural networks minimise the Kullback-Leibler divergence to approximate the true posterior over the weights. However, this approximation is without knowledge of the final application,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-11 Adam D. Cobb , Stephen J. Roberts , Yarin Gal

Deep learning has demonstrated the power of detailed modeling of complex high-order (multivariate) interactions in data. For some learning tasks there is power in learning models that are not only Deep but also Broad. By Broad, we mean…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-07 Nayyar A. Zaidi , Geoffrey I. Webb , Mark J. Carman , Francois Petitjean

This paper proposes an algorithm based on a staged sliding window Transformer architecture to detect abnormal behaviors in the microstructure of the foreign exchange market, focusing on high-frequency EUR/USD trading data. The method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Qiuliuyang Bao , Jiawei Wang , Hao Gong , Yiwei Zhang , Xiaojun Guo , Hanrui Feng

A common task for recommender systems is to build a pro le of the interests of a user from items in their browsing history and later to recommend items to the user from the same catalog. The users' behavior consists of two parts: the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-31 Otmane Sakhi , Stephen Bonner , David Rohde , Flavian Vasile

This study presents a Bayesian learning perspective towards model predictive control algorithms. High-level frameworks have been developed separately in the earlier studies on Bayesian learning and sampling-based model predictive control.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-14 Namhoon Cho , Seokwon Lee , Hyo-Sang Shin , Antonios Tsourdos

We present a new algorithm to learn a deep neural network model robust against adversarial attacks. Previous algorithms demonstrate an adversarially trained Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) provides improved robustness. We recognize the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Bao Gia Doan , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Javen Qinfeng Shi , Damith C. Ranasinghe

We present results demonstrating that an appropriately configured deep learning neural network (DLNN) can automatically learn to be a high-performing algorithmic trading system, operating purely from training-data inputs generated by…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-03 Aaron Wray , Matthew Meades , Dave Cliff

End-to-end trained neural networks (NNs) are a compelling approach to autonomous vehicle control because of their ability to learn complex tasks without manual engineering of rule-based decisions. However, challenging road conditions,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Alexander Amini , Ava Soleimany , Sertac Karaman , Daniela Rus

Learning decompositions of expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions promises to scale Bayesian optimisation (BO) to high-dimensional problems. However, the success of these techniques depends on finding proper decompositions that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Juliusz Ziomek , Haitham Bou-Ammar

We show how to use a variational approximation to the logistic function to perform approximate inference in Bayesian networks containing discrete nodes with continuous parents. Essentially, we convert the logistic function to a Gaussian,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Kevin Murphy

How can we perform efficient inference and learning in directed probabilistic models, in the presence of continuous latent variables with intractable posterior distributions, and large datasets? We introduce a stochastic variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Diederik P Kingma , Max Welling

Deep learning is a form of machine learning for nonlinear high dimensional pattern matching and prediction. By taking a Bayesian probabilistic perspective, we provide a number of insights into more efficient algorithms for optimisation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-23 Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

In this paper, we rigorously derive Central Limit Theorems (CLT) for Bayesian two-layerneural networks in the infinite-width limit and trained by variational inference on a regression task. The different networks are trained via different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-14 Arnaud Descours , Tom Huix , Arnaud Guillin , Manon Michel , Éric Moulines , Boris Nectoux

Deep Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) are a powerful tool, though computationally demanding, to perform parameter estimation while jointly estimating uncertainty around predictions. BNNs are typically implemented using arbitrary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Daniele Silvestro , Tobias Andermann