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The conditional mean risk-sharing (CMRS) rule is an important tool for distributing aggregate losses across individual risks, but its implementation in continuous multivariate models typically requires complicated multidimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Christopher Blier-Wong

The paper investigates the robust distortion risk measure with linear penalty function under distribution uncertainty. The distribution uncertainties are characterized by predetermined moment conditions or constraints on the Wasserstein…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-21 Yuxin Du , Dejian Tian , Hui Zhang

A recourse action aims to explain a particular algorithmic decision by showing one specific way in which the instance could be modified to receive an alternate outcome. Existing recourse generation methods often assume that the machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Duy Nguyen , Ngoc Bui , Viet Anh Nguyen

Regression is one of the most fundamental statistical inference problems. A broad definition of regression problems is as estimation of the distribution of an outcome using a family of probability models indexed by covariates. Despite the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Peter Mueller , Fernando Andrés Quintana , Garritt L. Page

This paper concerns sequential computation of risk measures for financial data and asks how, given a risk measurement procedure, we can tell whether the answers it produces are `correct'. We draw the distinction between `external' and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-20 Mark H. A. Davis

Several authors have recently developed risk-sensitive policy gradient methods that augment the standard expected cost minimization problem with a measure of variability in cost. These studies have focused on specific risk-measures, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-09 Aviv Tamar , Yinlam Chow , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Shie Mannor

We analyse derivative securities whose value is NOT a deterministic function of an underlying which means presence of a basis risk at any time. The key object of our analysis is conditional probability distribution at a given underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 S. Esipov , I. Vaysburd

Invariant risk minimization (IRM) aims to enable out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization in deep learning by learning invariant representations. As IRM poses an inherently challenging bi-level optimization problem, most existing approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Kotaro Yoshida , Konstantinos Slavakis

This paper approaches the definition and properties of dynamic convex risk measures through the notion of a family of concave valuation operators satisfying certain simple and credible axioms. Exploring these in the simplest context of a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 A. Jobert , L. C. G. Rogers

This paper introduces and studies factor risk measures. While risk measures only rely on the distribution of a loss random variable, in many cases risk needs to be measured relative to some major factors. In this paper, we introduce a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-15 Hirbod Assa , Peng Liu

This study deals with continuous limits of interacting one-dimensional diffusive systems, arising from stochastic distortions of discrete curves with various kinds of coding representations. These systems are essentially of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-09 Guy Fayolle , Cyril Furtlehner

This paper deals with multidimensional dynamic risk measures induced by conditional $g$-expectations. A notion of multidimensional $g$-expectation is proposed to provide a multidimensional version of nonlinear expectations. By a technical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-09 Yuhong Xu

Classical reinforcement learning (RL) techniques are generally concerned with the design of decision-making policies driven by the maximisation of the expected outcome. Nevertheless, this approach does not take into consideration the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Thibaut Théate , Damien Ernst

Distributional reinforcement learning (RL) -- in which agents learn about all the possible long-term consequences of their actions, and not just the expected value -- is of great recent interest. One of the most important affordances of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Chris Gagne , Peter Dayan

The question of pricing and hedging a given contingent claim has a unique solution in a complete market framework. When some incompleteness is introduced, the problem becomes however more difficult. Several approaches have been adopted in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-08 Pauline Barrieu , Nicole El Karoui

In this work we give a comprehensive overview of the time consistency property of dynamic risk and performance measures, focusing on a the discrete time setup. The two key operational concepts used throughout are the notion of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-31 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Marcin Pitera

Restricting the variance of a policy's return is a popular choice in risk-averse Reinforcement Learning (RL) due to its clear mathematical definition and easy interpretability. Traditional methods directly restrict the total return…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Yudong Luo , Guiliang Liu , Pascal Poupart , Yangchen Pan

We formulate a dynamic reinsurance problem in which the insurer seeks to control the terminal distribution of its surplus while minimizing the L2-norm of the ceded risk. Using techniques from martingale optimal transport, we show that,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-16 Beatrice Acciaio , Brandon Garcia Flores , Antonio Marini , Gudmund Pammer

Inverse problem to determine simultaneously a general space- and time-dependent source and an initial state in a fractional diffusion equation from an {\it a posteriori} measurement of the normal derivative of the state on a portion of a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Jaan Janno

Performative learning addresses the increasingly pervasive situations in which algorithmic decisions may induce changes in the data distribution as a consequence of their public deployment. We propose a novel view in which these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Edwige Cyffers , Muni Sreenivas Pydi , Jamal Atif , Olivier Cappé