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We prove the well-posedness of a differential equation that describes the evolution of the large-system limit of the empirical age measure in the mean field forest fire model of R\'ath and T\'oth (arXiv:0808.2116). This forest fire model is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Edward Crane

We introduce a random finite rooted tree $\mathcal{C}$, the steady state cluster, characterized by a recursive description: $\mathcal{C}$ is a singleton with probability $1/2$ and otherwise is obtained by joining by an edge the roots of two…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Edward Crane

We consider a version of the forest fire model on graph $G$, where each vertex of a graph becomes occupied with rate one. A fixed vertex $v_0$ is hit by lightning with the same rate, and when this occurs, the whole cluster of occupied…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-15 Stanislav Volkov

We study the long-time dynamics of a forest-fire model with deterministic tree growth and instantaneous burning of entire forests by stochastic lightning strikes. Asymptotically the system organizes into a coarsening self-similar mosaic of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 K. E. Chan , P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

Dynamic mean field theory is applied to the problem of forest fires. The starting point is the Monte Carlo simulation in a lattice of million cells. The statistics of the clusters is obtained by means of the Hoshen--Kopelman algorithm. We…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2011-12-13 K. Malarz , S. Kaczanowska , K. Kulakowski

We investigate the growth of clusters within the forest fire model of R\'{a}th and T\'{o}th [22]. The model is a continuous-time Markov process, similar to the dynamical Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph but with the addition of so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-15 Edward Crane , Nic Freeman , Bálint Tóth

We modify the usual Erdos-Renyi random graph evolution by letting connected clusters 'burn down' (i.e. fall apart to disconnected single sites) due to a Poisson flow of lightnings. In a range of the intensity of rate of lightnings the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Balazs Rath , Balint Toth

We study a model of growing planar tree graphs where in each time step we separate the tree into two components by splitting a vertex and then connect the two pieces by inserting a new link between the daughter vertices. This model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Francois David , Mark Dukes , Thordur Jonsson , Sigurdur Orn Stefansson

Forest fire spreading is a complex phenomenon characterized by a stochastic behavior. Nowadays, the enormous quantity of georeferenced data and the availability of powerful techniques for their analysis can provide a very careful picture of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-06 Roberto Beneduci , Giovanni Mascali

Avalanches in mean-field models can be mapped to memoryless branching processes defining a universality class. We present a reduced expression mapping a broad family of critical and subcriticial avalanches in mean-field models at the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-02-27 Jordi Baró , Álvaro Corral

We consider a model of random tree growth, where at each time unit a new vertex is added and attached to an already existing vertex chosen at random. The probability with which a vertex with degree $k$ is chosen is proportional to $w(k)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anna Rudas , Balint Toth , Benedek Valko

The role of forest heterogeneity in the long-term, large-scale dynamics of forest fires is investigated by means of a cellular automata model and mean field approximation. Heterogeneity was conceived as trees (or acres of forest) with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-08-04 G. Camelo-Neto , S. Coutinho

We consider a family of discrete coagulation-fragmentation equations closely related to the one-dimensional forest-fire model of statistical mechanics: each pair of particles with masses $i,j \in \nn$ merge together at rate 2 to produce a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-01 Xavier Bressaud , Nicolas Fournier

Consider a population evolving as a discrete-time supercritical multi-type Galton--Watson process. Suppose we run the process for $T$ generations, then sample $k$ individuals uniformly at generation $T$ and trace their genealogy backwards…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-13 Janique Krasnowska , Paul Jenkins , Adam Johansen

We present a detailed study of simple `tree' models for off equilibrium dynamics and aging in glassy systems. The simplest tree describes the landscape of a random energy model, whereas multifurcating trees occur in the solution of the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 J-P. Bouchaud , D. S. Dean

Let $T$ be a regular rooted tree. For every natural number $n$, let $B_n$ be the finite subtree of vertices with graph distance at most $n$ from the root. Consider the following forest-fire model on $B_n$: Each vertex can be "vacant" or…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-02 Robert Graf

In this paper we consider inhomogeneous Galton-Watson trees, and derive various moments for such processes: the number of vertices, the number of leaves, and the height of the tree. Also we make a simple condition of finiteness. We use…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-09 Jakob G. Rasmussen , Troels Pedersen , Rasmus L. Olsen

We introduce a process where a connected rooted multigraph evolves by splitting events on its vertices, occurring randomly in continuous time. When a vertex splits, its incoming edges are randomly assigned between its offspring and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-05 Agelos Georgakopoulos , John Haslegrave

This paper extends the study of fringe trees in random plane trees with a given degree statistic. While previous work established the asymptotic normality of the count of fringe trees isomorphic to a fixed tree, we investigate the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Gabriel Berzunza Ojeda , Cecilia Holmgren , Svante Janson

The simple Galton--Watson process describes populations where individuals live one season and are then replaced by a random number of children. It can also be viewed as a way of generating random trees, each vertex being an individual of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-17 Peter Jagers , Serik Sagitov
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