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A multi-type branching process is defined as a random tree with labeled vertices, where each vertex produces offspring independently according to the same multivariate probability distribution. We demonstrate that in realizations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-31 Jochem Hoogendijk , Ivan Kryven , Rik Versendaal

A geometric model for the computation of the firefront of a forest wildfire which takes into account several effects (possibly time-dependent wind, anisotropies and slope of the ground) is introduced. It relies on a general theoretical…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Miguel Ángel Javaloyes , Enrique Pendás-Recondo , Miguel Sánchez

In tropical regions, fires propagate readily in grasslands but typically consume only edges of forest patches. Thus forest patches grow due to tree propagation and shrink by fires in surrounding grasslands. The interplay between these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-15 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Adam F. A. Pellegrini , Uttam Bhat , Sidney Redner , Stephen W. Pacala , Andrew M. Berdahl

This paper considers limit theorems associated with subgraph counts in the age-dependent random connection model. First, we identify regimes where the count of sub-trees converges weakly to a stable random variable under suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Christian Hirsch , Takashi Owada

This paper presents the development of a new continuous forest fire model implemented as a weighted local small-world network approach. This new approach was designed to simulate fire patterns in real, heterogeneous landscapes. The wildland…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-07-02 F. Aguayo , A. Fuentes , J. -P. Clerc , B. Porterie

Dynamical Mean-Field Theory (DMFT) replaces the many-body dynamical problem with one for a single degree of freedom in a thermal bath whose features are determined self-consistently. By focusing on models with soft disordered $p$-spin…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2020-09-02 Ada Altieri , Giulio Biroli , Chiara Cammarota

Tree-grass coexistence in savanna ecosystems depends strongly on environmental disturbances out of which crucial is fire. Most modeling attempts in the literature lack stochastic approach to fire occurrences which is essential to reflect…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Paweł Klimasara , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

We present a general stochastic forest-fire model which shows a variety of different structures depending on the parameter values. The model contains three possible states per site (tree, burning tree, empty site) and three parameters (tree…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 B. Drossel , F. Schwabl

The contact process is a simple model for the spread of an infection in a structured population. We investigate the case when the underlying structure evolves dynamically as a degree-dependent dynamical percolation model. Starting with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Marcel Ortgiese , Marco Seiler , Anja Sturm

In this paper we address the problem of testing whether two observed trees $(t,t')$ are sampled either independently or from a joint distribution under which they are correlated. This problem, which we refer to as correlation detection in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-06 Luca Ganassali , Laurent Massoulié , Guilhem Semerjian

We consider a class of Crump-Mode-Jagers processes with interaction, constructed by removing a newly born offspring with a probability that depends on the age structure of the population at its birth time. We prove a law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

We introduce a mean-field model of lattice trees based on embeddings into $\Z^d$ of abstract trees having a critical Poisson offspring distribution. This model provides a combinatorial interpretation for the self-consistent mean-field model…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Christian Borgs , Jennifer Chayes , Remco van der Hofstad , Gordon Slade

Bootstrap percolation is a type of cellular automaton which has been used to model various physical phenomena, such as ferromagnetism. For each natural number $r$, the $r$-neighbour bootstrap process is an update rule for vertices of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Béla Bollobás , Karen Gunderson , Cecilia Holmgren , Svante Janson , Michał Przykucki

Mean-field frozen percolation is a random graph-valued process, which adjusts the dynamics of the classical Erdos-Renyi process with an additional mechanism to 'freeze' potential giant components before they can form. It is known to exhibit…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-08 Dominic Yeo

Consider a point particle moving through a Poisson distributed array of cubes all oriented along the axes - the random wind-tree model introduced in Ehrenfest-Ehrenfest (1912). We show that, in the joint Boltzmann-Grad and diffusive limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-06 Christopher Lutsko , Bálint Tóth

The GREM-like trap model is a continuous time Markov jump process on the leaves of a finite volume $L$-level tree whose transition rates depend on a trapping landscape built on the vertices of the whole tree. We prove that the natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-14 Véronique Gayrard , Onur Gün

In 1986, Janson showed that the number of edges in the union of $k$ random spanning trees in the complete graph $K_n$ is a shifted Poisson distribution. Using results from the theory of electrical networks, we provide a new proof of this…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Austen James , Matthew Larson , Daniel Montealegre , Andrew Salmon

In this work, we study asymptotics of multitype Galton-Watson trees with finitely many types. We consider critical and irreducible offspring distributions such that they belong to the domain of attraction of a stable law, where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Gabriel Berzunza

We study the spreading dynamics on graphs with a power law degree distribution p_k ~ k^-gamma with 2<gamma<3, as an example of a branching process with diverging reproductive number. We provide evidence that the divergence of the second…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Alexei Vazquez

In the seminal work [5], Ben Arous and \v{C}ern\'y give a general characterization of aging for trap models in terms of $\alpha$-stable subordinators with $\alpha \in (0,1)$. Some of the important examples that fall into this universality…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-05 Onur Gün