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The forecasting of the credit default risk has been an important research field for several decades. Traditionally, logistic regression has been widely recognized as a solution due to its accuracy and interpretability. As a recent trend,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Dangxing Chen , Weicheng Ye , Jiahui Ye

The success of artificial intelligence (AI), and deep learning models in particular, has led to their widespread adoption across various industries due to their ability to process huge amounts of data and learn complex patterns. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Wei Jie Yeo , Wihan van der Heever , Rui Mao , Erik Cambria , Ranjan Satapathy , Gianmarco Mengaldo

We explore the use of deep learning hierarchical models for problems in financial prediction and classification. Financial prediction problems -- such as those presented in designing and pricing securities, constructing portfolios, and risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-16 J. B. Heaton , N. G. Polson , J. H. Witte

The application of machine learning to support the processing of large datasets holds promise in many industries, including financial services. However, practical issues for the full adoption of machine learning remain with the focus being…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Ismini Psychoula , Andreas Gutmann , Pradip Mainali , S. H. Lee , Paul Dunphy , Fabien A. P. Petitcolas

Deep neural networks have demonstrated remarkable performance in many data-driven and prediction-oriented applications, and sometimes even perform better than humans. However, their most significant drawback is the lack of interpretability,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Jiahui Li , Kun Kuang , Lin Li , Long Chen , Songyang Zhang , Jian Shao , Jun Xiao

Due to the powerful learning ability on high-rank and non-linear features, deep neural networks (DNNs) are being applied to data mining and machine learning in various fields, and exhibit higher discrimination performance than conventional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Weiyu Guo , Zhijiang Yang , Shu Wu , Fu Chen

Deep learning is increasingly used as a building block of security systems. Unfortunately, neural networks are hard to interpret and typically opaque to the practitioner. The machine learning community has started to address this problem by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Alexander Warnecke , Daniel Arp , Christian Wressnegger , Konrad Rieck

In the global economy, credit companies play a central role in economic development, through their activity as money lenders. This important task comes with some drawbacks, mainly the risk of the debtors not being able to repay the provided…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Giorgio Visani , Federico Chesani , Enrico Bagli , Davide Capuzzo , Alessandro Poluzzi

Lending decisions are usually made with proprietary models that provide minimally acceptable explanations to users. In a future world without such secrecy, what decision support tools would one want to use for justified lending decisions?…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Chaofan Chen , Kangcheng Lin , Cynthia Rudin , Yaron Shaposhnik , Sijia Wang , Tong Wang

Existing methods for estimating uncertainty in deep learning tend to require multiple forward passes, making them unsuitable for applications where computational resources are limited. To solve this, we perform probabilistic reasoning over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-08 Javier Antorán , James Urquhart Allingham , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Machine learning plays an essential role in preventing financial losses in the banking industry. Perhaps the most pertinent prediction task that can result in billions of dollars in losses each year is the assessment of credit risk (i.e.,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-01 Jillian M. Clements , Di Xu , Nooshin Yousefi , Dmitry Efimov

Computational intelligence in finance has been a very popular topic for both academia and financial industry in the last few decades. Numerous studies have been published resulting in various models. Meanwhile, within the Machine Learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-17 Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu , Mehmet Ugur Gudelek , Omer Berat Sezer

In the age of the Internet, people's lives are increasingly dependent on today's network technology. Maintaining network integrity and protecting the legitimate interests of users is at the heart of network construction. Threat detection is…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Yulu Gong , Mengran Zhu , Shuning Huo , Yafei Xiang , Hanyi Yu

Deep learning as represented by the artificial deep neural networks (DNNs) has achieved great success in many important areas that deal with text, images, videos, graphs, and so on. However, the black-box nature of DNNs has become one of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Fenglei Fan , Jinjun Xiong , Mengzhou Li , Ge Wang

Deep learning methods have become very popular for the processing of natural images, and were then successfully adapted to the neuroimaging field. As these methods are non-transparent, interpretability methods are needed to validate them…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Elina Thibeau-Sutre , Sasha Collin , Ninon Burgos , Olivier Colliot

The widespread use of machine learning in credit scoring has brought significant advancements in risk assessment and decision-making. However, it has also raised concerns about potential biases, discrimination, and lack of transparency in…

Deep learning methods have become a widespread toolbox for pricing and calibration of financial models. While they often provide new directions and research results, their `black box' nature also results in a lack of interpretability. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-02 Bo Yuan , Damiano Brigo , Antoine Jacquier , Nicola Pede

Despite the tremendous advances achieved over the past years by deep learning techniques, the latest risk prediction models for industrial applications still rely on highly handtuned stage-wised statistical learning tools, such as gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Yancheng Liang , Jiajie Zhang , Hui Li , Xiaochen Liu , Yi Hu , Yong Wu , Jinyao Zhang , Yongyan Liu , Yi Wu

As the complexity and dynamism of financial markets continue to grow, traditional financial risk prediction methods increasingly struggle to handle large datasets and intricate behavior patterns. This paper explores the feasibility and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Haowei Yang , Zhan Cheng , Zhaoyang Zhang , Yuanshuai Luo , Shuaishuai Huang , Ao Xiang

The financial services industry has unique explainability and fairness challenges arising from compliance and ethical considerations in credit decisioning. These challenges complicate the use of model machine learning and artificial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-14 Jiahao Chen
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