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A Milstein-type scheme was proposed to improve the rate of convergence of its approximation of the solution to a stochastic differential equation driven by a vector of continuous semimartingales. A necessary and sufficient condition was…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Liqing Yan

The concentration inequality approach for normal approximation by Stein's method is generalized to the multivariate setting. We use this approach to prove a non-smooth function distance for multivariate normal approximation for standardized…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Louis H. Y. Chen , Xiao Fang

The main contribution of this article is an asymptotic expression for the rate associated with moderate deviations of subgraph counts in the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $G(n,m)$. Our approach is based on applying Freedman's inequalities…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Christina Goldschmidt , Simon Griffiths , Alex Scott

Approximate Bayesian computation allows for statistical analysis in models with intractable likelihoods. In this paper we consider the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution obtained by this method. We give general results on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 David T. Frazier , Gael M. Martin , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

We establish a large deviation principle for the empirical spectral measure of a sample covariance matrix with sub-Gaussian entries, which extends Bordenave and Caputo's result for Wigner matrices having the same type of entries [7]. To…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-22 Benjamin Groux

We consider a two-dimensional Hamiltonian system perturbed by a small diffusion term, whose coefficient is state-dependent and non-degenerate. As a result, the process consists of the fast motion along the level curves and slow motion…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Shuo Yan

Diffusion models have shown promising potential for advancing Boltzmann Generators. However, two critical challenges persist: (1) inherent errors in samples due to model imperfections, and (2) the requirement of hundreds of functional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Fengzhe Zhang , Jiajun He , Laurence I. Midgley , Javier Antorán , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

We consider a class of tempered subordinators, namely a class of subordinators with one-dimensional marginal tempered distributions which belong to a family studied in [3]. The main contribution in this paper is a non-central moderate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Nikolai Leonenko , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

The Heckman selection model is one of the most well-renounced econometric models in the analysis of data with sample selection. This model is designed to rectify sample selection biases based on the assumption of bivariate normal error…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Heeju Lim , Jose Alejandro Ordonez , Victor H. Lachos , Antonio Punzo

We present the first minimax risk bounds for estimators of the spectral measure in multivariate linear factor models, where observations are linear combinations of regularly varying latent factors. Non-asymptotic convergence rates are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Youssef Marzouk , Viet Anh Nguyen , Sven Wang

We study the problem of exponentially small splitting of separatrices of one degree of freedom classical Hamiltonian systems with a non-autonomous perturbation fast and periodic in time. We provide a result valid for general systems which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-01-26 Inmaculada Baldoma , Ernest Fontich , Marcel Guardia , Tere M. Seara

The classical mixture of Gaussians model is related to K-means via small-variance asymptotics: as the covariances of the Gaussians tend to zero, the negative log-likelihood of the mixture of Gaussians model approaches the K-means objective,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-19 Tamara Broderick , Brian Kulis , Michael I. Jordan

The objects of our interest are the so-called $A$-permutations, which are permutations whose cycle length lie in a fixed set $A$. They have been extensively studied with respect to the uniform or the Ewens measure. In this paper, we extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-26 Ashkan Nikeghbali , Julia Storm , Dirk Zeindler

Assuming that a reflected Ornstein-Uhlenbeck state process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate all drift and diffusion parameters via the celebrated ergodic theorem. With the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-14 Yaozhong Hu , Yuejuan Xi

This paper develops asymptotic normality results for individual coordinates of robust M-estimators with convex penalty in high-dimensions, where the dimension $p$ is at most of the same order as the sample size $n$, i.e, $p/n\le\gamma$ for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Pierre C Bellec , Yiwei Shen , Cun-Hui Zhang

In this paper, we prove the moderate deviations principle (MDP) for a general system of slow-fast dynamics. We provide a unified approach, based on weak convergence ideas and stochastic control arguments, that cover both the averaging and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-02 Matthew R. Morse , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Large and moderate deviation probabilities play an important role in many applied areas, such as insurance and risk analysis. This paper studies the exact moderate and large deviation asymptotics in non-logarithmic form for linear processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Magda Peligrad , Hailin Sang , Yunda Zhong , Wei Biao Wu

We extend the spectral method for proving limit theorems to random non-uniformly expanding dynamical systems. This yields the CLT and moderate deviations principles (MDP). We show that as the amount of non-uniformity decreases the CLT rates…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Yeor Hafouta

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution in a broad class of statistical models where the "true" solution occurs on the boundary of the parameter space. We show that in this case Bayesian inference is consistent, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-02 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green

Estimation of permutation entropy (PE) using Bayesian statistical methods is presented for systems where the ordinal pattern sampling follows an independent, multinomial distribution. It is demonstrated that the PE posterior distribution is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-02-09 Douglas J. Little , Joshua P. Toomey , Deb M. Kane