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The Pitman-Yor process is a random probability distribution, that can be used as a prior distribution in a nonparametric Bayesian analysis. The process is of species sampling type and generates discrete distributions, which yield of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-10 S. E. M. P. Franssen , A. W. van der Vaart

We present a new finite-sample analysis of M-estimators of locations in $\mathbb{R}^d$ using the tool of the influence function. In particular, we show that the deviations of an M-estimator can be controlled thanks to its influence function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-23 Timothée Mathieu

The purpose of this paper is to estimate the limiting variance of asymptotically stationary Gaussian processes observed at high frequency, using the second moment estimator (SME). We study rates of convergence of the central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Yong Chen

We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions and Bayes estimators based on observations which are required to be neither independent nor identically distributed. We give general results on the rate of convergence of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Aad van der Vaart

We study asymptotic behaviors of Bayes type estimators and give sufficient conditions to obtain asymptotic limit distribution of estimation error. We assume polynomial type large deviation inequalities and prove asymptotic equivalence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Teppei Ogihara

We consider $n\times n$ Hermitian matrices with i.i.d. entries $X_{ij}$ whose tail probabilities $\mathbb {P}(|X_{ij}|\geq t)$ behave like $e^{-at^{\alpha}}$ for some $a>0$ and $\alpha \in(0,2)$. We establish a large deviation principle for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-29 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo

Data-driven techniques for analysis, modeling, and control of complex dynamical systems are on the uptake. Koopman theory provides the theoretical foundation for the popular kernel extended dynamic mode decomposition (kEDMD). In this work,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Lea Bold , Friedrich M. Philipp , Manuel Schaller , Karl Worthmann

The term moderate deviations is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between a convergence in probability of some random variables to a constant and a weak convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Rita Giuliano , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

The Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm is of key importance for inference in latent variable models including mixture of regressors and experts, missing observations. This paper introduces a novel EM algorithm, called…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Hoi-To Wai

We investigate the asymptotic distributions of coordinates of regression M-estimates in the moderate $p/n$ regime, where the number of covariates $p$ grows proportionally with the sample size $n$. Under appropriate regularity conditions, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-20 Lihua Lei , Peter J. Bickel , Noureddine El Karoui

Given $n$ i.i.d. samples from an unknown discrete distribution over an unknown set, the unseen species problem is to predict how many new outcomes would be observed in $m$ additional samples. For small $m$ we show that the Good-Toulmin…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Edward Eriksson

Multivariate elliptically-contoured distributions are widely used for modeling correlated and non-Gaussian data. In this work, we study the kurtosis of the elliptical model, which is an important parameter in many statistical analysis.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-23 Bowen Zhou , Peirong Xu , Cheng Wang

Variable kernel density estimation allows the approximation of a probability density by the mean of differently stretched and rotated kernels centered at given sampling points $y_n\in\mathbb{R}^d,\ n=1,\dots,N$. Up to now, the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Ilja Klebanov

The Ewens-Pitman sampling model (EP-SM) is a distribution for random partitions of the set $\{1,\ldots,n\}$, with $n\in\mathbb{N}$, which is index by real parameters $\alpha$ and $\theta$ such that either $\alpha\in[0,1)$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro

We study the small noise asymptotic for stochastic Burgers equations on $(0,1)$ with Dirichlet boundary condition. We consider the case that the noise is more singular than space-time white noise. We let the noise magnitude $\sqrt{\epsilon}…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Rui Bai , Chunrong Feng , Huaizhong Zhao

We present a simple mathematical criterion for determining whether a given statistical model does not describe several independent sets of measurements, or data modes, adequately. We derive this criterion for two data sets and generalise it…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-28 Mikko Tuomi , David Pinfield , Hugh R. A. Jones

We consider Bayesian sample size determination using a criterion that utilizes the first two moments of the expected posterior variance. We study the resulting sample size in dependence on the chosen prior and explore the success rate for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-28 Jörg Martin , Clemens Elster

If the log likelihood is approximately quadratic with constant Hessian, then the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is approximately normally distributed. No other assumptions are required. We do not need independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-06 Charles J. Geyer

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\bm\theta$ of physical significance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

Minimum expected distance estimation (MEDE) algorithms have been widely used for probabilistic models with intractable likelihood functions and they have become increasingly popular due to their use in implicit generative modeling (e.g.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-25 Kimia Nadjahi , Alain Durmus , Umut Şimşekli , Roland Badeau