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We analyze the prediction error of principal component regression (PCR) and prove high probability bounds for the corresponding squared risk conditional on the design. Our first main result shows that PCR performs comparably to the oracle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-03 Laura Hucker , Martin Wahl

We analyse the reconstruction error of principal component analysis (PCA) and prove non-asymptotic upper bounds for the corresponding excess risk. These bounds unify and improve existing upper bounds from the literature. In particular, they…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-01 Markus Reiß , Martin Wahl

We study principal components regression (PCR) in an asymptotic high-dimensional regression setting, where the number of data points is proportional to the dimension. We derive exact limiting formulas for the estimation and prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Alden Green , Elad Romanov

We propose a new method for statistical inference in generalized linear models. In the overparameterized regime, Principal Component Regression (PCR) reduces variance by projecting high-dimensional data to a low-dimensional principal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Yixuan Florence Wu , Yilun Zhu , Lei Cao , Naichen Shi

This work is devoted to the finite sample prediction risk analysis of a class of linear predictors of a response $Y\in \mathbb{R}$ from a high-dimensional random vector $X\in \mathbb{R}^p$ when $(X,Y)$ follows a latent factor regression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-26 Xin Bing , Florentina Bunea , Seth Strimas-Mackey , Marten Wegkamp

Principal component regression (PCR) is a popular technique for fixed-design error-in-variables regression, a generalization of the linear regression setting in which the observed covariates are corrupted with random noise. We provide the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Anish Agarwal , Keegan Harris , Justin Whitehouse , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Principal component analysis (PCA) aims at estimating the direction of maximal variability of a high-dimensional dataset. A natural question is: does this task become easier, and estimation more accurate, when we exploit additional…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-06-19 Andrea Montanari , Emile Richard

This paper establishes bounds on the predictive performance of empirical risk minimization for principal component regression. Our analysis is nonparametric, in the sense that the relation between the prediction target and the predictors is…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-18 Christian Brownlees , Guðmundur Stefán Guðmundsson , Yaping Wang

We propose a principal components regression method based on maximizing a joint pseudo-likelihood for responses and predictors. Our method uses both responses and predictors to select linear combinations of the predictors relevant for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Karl Oskar Ekvall

Principal component regression (PCR) is a two-stage procedure: the first stage performs principal component analysis (PCA) and the second stage constructs a regression model whose explanatory variables are replaced by principal components…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-22 Shuichi Kawano

Principal component regression (PCR) is a useful method for regularizing linear regression. Although conceptually simple, straightforward implementations of PCR have high computational costs and so are inappropriate when learning with large…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-08 Liron Mor-Yosef , Haim Avron

The first order behavior of multivariate heavy-tailed random vectors above large radial thresholds is ruled by a limit measure in a regular variation framework. For a high dimensional vector, a reasonable assumption is that the support of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-27 Holger Drees , Anne Sabourin

We analyze principal component regression (PCR) in a high-dimensional error-in-variables setting with fixed design. Under suitable conditions, we show that PCR consistently identifies the unique model with minimum $\ell_2$-norm. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-28 Anish Agarwal , Devavrat Shah , Dennis Shen

Principal component regression (PCR) is a two-stage procedure that selects some principal components and then constructs a regression model regarding them as new explanatory variables. Note that the principal components are obtained from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-12 Shuichi Kawano , Hironori Fujisawa , Toyoyuki Takada , Toshihiko Shiroishi

Principal component regression (PCR) is a simple, but powerful and ubiquitously utilized method. Its effectiveness is well established when the covariates exhibit low-rank structure. However, its ability to handle settings with noisy,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-20 Anish Agarwal , Devavrat Shah , Dennis Shen , Dogyoon Song

The extremal dependence structure of a regularly varying $d$-dimensional random vector can be described by its angular measure. The standard nonparametric estimator of this measure is the empirical measure of the observed angles of the $k$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-31 Holger Drees

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a very successful dimensionality reduction technique, widely used in predictive modeling. A key factor in its widespread use in this domain is the fact that the projection of a dataset onto its first…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-19 Xianghui Luo , Robert J. Durrant

Functional principal component regression (PCR) can fail to provide good prediction if the response is highly correlated with some excluded functional principal component(s). This situation is common since the construction of functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Zhiyang Zhou

Principal Components Regression (PCR) is a traditional tool for dimension reduction in linear regression that has been both criticized and defended. One concern about PCR is that obtaining the leading principal components tends to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Martin Slawski

Recently, the robustification of principal component analysis has attracted lots of attention from statisticians, engineers and computer scientists. In this work we study the type of outliers that are not necessarily apparent in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-29 Yiyuan She , Shijie Li , Dapeng Wu
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