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The expected goal provides a more representative measure of the team and player performance which also suit the low-scoring nature of football instead of score in modern football. The score of a match involves randomness and often may not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Mustafa Cavus , Przemysław Biecek

While regression models capture the relationship between predictors and the response variable, they often lack intuitive accompanying methods to understand the influence of predictors on the outcome. To address this, we introduce an…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-06 Jihao You , Dan Tulpan , Jiaojiao Diao , Jennifer L. Ellis

We investigate how to efficiently predict play personas based on playtraces. Play personas can be computed by calculating the action agreement ratio between a player and a generative model of playing behavior, a so-called procedural…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Michael Cerny Green , Ahmed Khalifa , M Charity , Debosmita Bhaumik , Julian Togelius

Individual performance metrics are commonly used to compare players from different eras. However, such cross-era comparison is often biased due to significant changes in success factors underlying player achievement rates (e.g. performance…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-21 Alexander M. Petersen , Orion Penner

We propose measurement integrity, a property related to ex post reward fairness, as a novel desideratum for peer prediction mechanisms in many natural applications. Like robustness against strategic reporting, the property that has been the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-09-26 Noah Burrell , Grant Schoenebeck

We present a unified, data-driven framework for quantifying and enhancing offensive momentum and scoring likelihood (expected goals, xG) in professional hockey. Leveraging a Sportlogiq dataset of 541,000 NHL event records, our end-to-end…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Daniel Griffiths , Piper Moskow

Given a monocular video of a soccer match, this paper presents a computational model to estimate the most feasible pass at any given time. The method leverages offensive player's orientation (plus their location) and opponents' spatial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-16 Adrià Arbués-Sangüesa , Adrián Martín , Javier Fernández , Coloma Ballester , Gloria Haro

Predicting athletes' performance has relied mostly on statistical data. Besides the traditional data, various types of data, including video, have become available. However, it is challenging to use them for deep learning, especially when…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Jaeyoun You , Jinhan Choi , Ho-Jae Shin , Bongwon Suh

Basketball players' performance measurement is of critical importance for a broad spectrum of decisions related to training and game strategy. Despite this recognized central role, the main part of the studies on this topic focus on…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-24 Paola Zuccolotto , Marco Sandri , Marica Manisera , Rodolfo Metulini

The rankability of data is a recently proposed problem that considers the ability of a dataset, represented as a graph, to produce a meaningful ranking of the items it contains. To study this concept, a number of rankability measures have…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-03-15 Nathan McJames , David Malone , Oliver Mason

Evaluating the performance of human is a common need across many applications, such as in engineering and sports. When evaluating human performance in completing complex and interactive tasks, the most common way is to use a metric having…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-24 Chaoyi Gu , Varuna De Silva

Fantasy Premier League engages the football community in selecting the Premier League players who will perform best from gameweek to gameweek. Access to accurate performance forecasts gives participants an edge over competitors by guiding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Daniel Groos

Tackling is a fundamental defensive move in American football, with the main purpose of stopping the forward motion of the ball-carrier. However, current tackling metrics are manually recorded outcomes that are inherently flawed due to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-08 Quang Nguyen , Ruitong Jiang , Meg Ellingwood , Ronald Yurko

In this article we revise the football's performance score called PlayeRank, designed and evaluated by Pappalardo et al.\ in 2019. First, we analyze the weights extracted from the Linear Support Vector Machine (SVM) that solves the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Louise Schmidt , Cristian Lillo , Javier Bustos

A rater's ability to assign accurate scores can significantly impact the outcomes of educational assessments. However, common indices for evaluating rater characteristics typically focus on either their severity or their discrimination…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-14 Y. -G. Wang , J. Wu , X. Qiu

Quantitative analysis of soccer players' passing ability focuses on descriptive statistics without considering the players' real contribution to the passing and ball possession strategy of their team. Which player is able to help the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-12 Laszlo Gyarmati , Rade Stanojevic

Parametric Timed Games (PTG) are an extension of the model of Timed Automata. They allow for the verification and synthesis of real-time systems, reactive to their environmeand depending on adjustable parameters. Given a PTG and a…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Mikael Bisgaard Dahlsen-Jensen , Baptiste Fievet , Laure Petrucci , Jaco van de Pol

Although the data-driven analysis of football players' performance has been developed for years, most research only focuses on the on-ball event including shots and passes, while the off-ball movement remains a little-explored area in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Yisheng Pei , Varuna De Silva , Mike Caine

Online competitive games have become a mainstream entertainment platform. To create a fair and exciting experience, these games use rating systems to match players with similar skills. While there has been an increasing amount of research…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Arman Dehpanah , Muheeb Faizan Ghori , Jonathan Gemmell , Bamshad Mobasher

A myriad of different data are generated to characterize a soccer match. Here we discuss which performance indicators are particularly helpful to forecast the future results of a team via an estimation of the underlying team strengths with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-10 Andreas Heuer
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