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We analyze the time pattern of the activity of a serial killer, who during twelve years had murdered 53 people. The plot of the cumulative number of murders as a function of time is of "Devil's staircase" type. The distribution of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-04-29 M. V. Simkin , V. P. Roychowdhury

Many serial killers commit tens of murders. At the same time inter-murder intervals can be decades long. This suggests that some serial killers can die of an accident or a disease, having been never caught. We use the distribution of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-09-24 M. V. Simkin , V. P. Roychowdhury

Recently Osorio et al (Eur. J. Neurosci., 30 (2009) 1554) reported that probability distribution of intervals between successive epileptic seizures follows a power law with exponent 1.5. We theoretically explain this finding by modeling…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-18 M. V. Simkin , V. P. Roychowdhury

The severity of war, measured by battle deaths, follows a power-law distribution. Here, we demonstrate that power law also holds in the temporal aspects of interstate conflicts. A critical quantity is the inter-conflict interval (ICI), the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-23 Hiroshi Okamoto , Iku Yoshimoto , Sota Kato , Budrul Ahsan , Shuji Shinohara

Enduring violent conflicts are interrupted by lulls without violence. Studies of interevent times found power law distributions based on coarse-grained data with a resolution of one day. Fine-grained data of violence with a resolution of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-14 Jeroen Bruggeman

The statistical property of the calm times, i.e., time intervals between successive earthquakes with arbitrary values of magnitude, is studied by analyzing the seismic time series data in California and Japan. It is found that the calm…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

Many human-related activities show power-law decaying interevent time distribution with exponents usually varying between 1 and 2. We study a simple task-queuing model, which produces bursty time series due to the nontrivial dynamics of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-10-22 Szabolcs Vajna , Bálint Tóth , János Kertész

The distribution of recurrence times or return intervals between extreme events is important to characterize and understand the behavior of physical systems and phenomena in many disciplines. It is well known that many physical processes in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-29 M. S. Santhanam , Holger Kantz

Individual gamma ray bursts (GRBs) have very diverse time behavior - from a single pulse to a long complex sequence of chaotic pulses of different timescales. I studied light curves of GRBs using data from the CGRO's BATSE experiment and…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 Boris E. Stern

In this paper, we describe a newly discovered statistical property of time series data for daily price changes. We conducted quantitative investigation of the {\it calm-time intervals} of price changes for 800 companies listed in the Tokyo…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji , Michiyo Kaizoji

Probability density functions and the probability of Sz occurrence conditional upon the time elapsed from the previous Sz were estimated using the energy and intervals of SZ in prolonged recordings from subjects with localization- related…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2008-02-04 Ivan Osorio , Mark G. Frei , Didier Sornette , John Milton

We study the statistics of soft gamma repeater (SGR) bursts, using a data base of 187 events detected with BATSE and 837 events detected with RXTE PCA, all from SGR 1900+14 during its 1998-1999 active phase. We find that the fluence or…

Recent analysis of social communications among humans has revealed that the interval between interactions for a pair of individuals and for an individual often follows a long-tail distribution. We investigate the effect of such a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-09-28 Taro Takaguchi , Naoki Masuda

We study the statistical properties of time distribution of seimicity in California by means of a new method of analysis, the Diffusion Entropy. We find that the distribution of time intervals between a large earthquake (the main shock of a…

Humans are heterogenous and the behaviors of individuals could be different from that at the population level. We conduct an in-depth study of the temporal patterns of cellphone conversation activities of 73'339 anonymous cellphone users…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-05 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wen-Jie Xie , Ming-Xia Li , Wei-Xing Zhou , Didier Sornette

We bring rigor to the vibrant activity of detecting power laws in empirical degree distributions in real-world networks. We first provide a rigorous definition of power-law distributions, equivalent to the definition of regularly varying…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-23 Ivan Voitalov , Pim van der Hoorn , Remco van der Hofstad , Dmitri Krioukov

In this paper, we are analyzing the interactivity time, defined as the duration between two consecutive tasks such as sending emails, collecting friends and followers and writing comments in online social networks (OSNs). The distributions…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-12 Norbert Blenn , Piet Van Mieghem

Extreme events can come either from point processes, when the size or energy of the events is above a certain threshold, or from time series, when the intensity of a signal surpasses a threshold value. We are particularly concerned by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-26 Alvaro Corral

We study the fluence distributions of over 3040 bursts from SGR 1806-20 and over 1963 bursts from SGR 1900+14 using the complete set of observations available from the Rossi X-Ray Timing Explorer/Proportional Counter Array through March…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2012-07-03 Zachary Prieskorn , Philip Kaaret

We argue that the distributions of both the intrinsic fluence and the intrinsic duration of the gamma-ray emission in gamma-ray bursts from the BATSE sample are well represented by log-normal distributions, in which the intrinsic dispersion…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. G. Balazs , P. Meszaros , Z. Bagoly , I. Horvath , A. Meszaros
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