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Modern machine learning models are highly expressive but notoriously difficult to analyze statistically. In particular, while black-box predictors can achieve strong empirical performance, they rarely provide valid hypothesis tests or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Mohamed Salem

Cross-validation is a statistical tool that can be used to improve large covariance matrix estimation. Although its efficiency is observed in practical applications and a convergence result towards the error of the non linear shrinkage is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Lamia Lamrani , Christian Bongiorno , Marc Potters

We consider the selection of prediction models for Markovian time series. For this purpose, we study the theoretical properties of the hold-out method. In the econometrics literature, the hold-out method is called out-of-sample and is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-13 Remy Garnier , Raphaël Langhendries , Joseph Rynkiewicz

We introduce an efficient and exact algorithm, together with a faster but approximate version, which implements with a sub-quadratic complexity the hold-out derived from T-estimation. We study empirically the performance of this hold-out in…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-11 Nelo Magalhães , Yves Rozenholc

Identifying the relevant variables for a classification model with correct confidence levels is a central but difficult task in high-dimension. Despite the core role of sparse logistic regression in statistics and machine learning, it still…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-31 Binh T. Nguyen , Bertrand Thirion , Sylvain Arlot

Feature selection has remained a daunting challenge in machine learning and artificial intelligence, where increasingly complex, high-dimensional datasets demand principled strategies for isolating the most informative predictors. Despite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-02 Mousam Sinha , Tirtha Sarathi Ghosh , Ridam Pal

A predominant topic in the theory of evolutionary algorithms and, more generally, theory of randomized black-box optimization techniques is running time analysis. Running time analysis aims at understanding the performance of a given…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-06-13 Carola Doerr

In many scientific problems, researchers try to relate a response variable $Y$ to a set of potential explanatory variables $X = (X_1,\dots,X_p)$, and start by trying to identify variables that contribute to this relationship. In statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-07 Wenshuo Wang , Lucas Janson

Machine learning algorithms for generating molecular structures offer a promising new approach to drug discovery. We cast molecular optimization as a translation problem, where the goal is to map an input compound to a target compound with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Farhan Damani , Vishnu Sresht , Stephen Ra

Random testing (RT) is a black-box software testing technique that tests programs by generating random test inputs. It is a widely used technique for software quality assurance, but there has been much debate by practitioners concerning its…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-10-01 Jinfu Chen , Hilary Ackah-Arthur , Chengying Mao , Patrick Kwaku Kudjo

This paper introduces the sequential CRT, which is a variable selection procedure that combines the conditional randomization test (CRT) and Selective SeqStep+. Valid p-values are constructed via the flexible CRT, which are then ordered and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-08 Shuangning Li , Emmanuel J. Candès

Statistical models for networks with complex dependencies pose particular challenges for model selection and evaluation. In particular, many well-established statistical tools for selecting between models assume conditional independence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Fan Yin , Nolan Edward Phillips , Carter T. Butts

Estimating predictive uncertainty is crucial for many computer vision tasks, from image classification to autonomous driving systems. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is an sampling method for performing Bayesian inference. On the other hand,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Diego Vergara , Sergio Hernández , Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Felipe Jorquera

Testing whether a variable of interest affects the outcome is one of the most fundamental problem in statistics and is often the main scientific question of interest. To tackle this problem, the conditional randomization test (CRT) is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-26 Dae Woong Ham , Jiaze Qiu

Black box variational inference allows researchers to easily prototype and evaluate an array of models. Recent advances allow such algorithms to scale to high dimensions. However, a central question remains: How to specify an expressive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-01 Rajesh Ranganath , Dustin Tran , David M. Blei

Subsampled Randomized Hadamard Transform (SRHT), a popular random projection method that can efficiently project a $d$-dimensional data into $r$-dimensional space ($r \ll d$) in $O(dlog(d))$ time, has been widely used to address the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Zijian Lei , Liang Lan

Switchback experiments--alternating treatment and control over time--are widely used when unit-level randomization is infeasible, outcomes are aggregated, or user interference is unavoidable. In practice, experimentation must support fast…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Jizhou Liu , Liang Zhong

Reachability analysis is an important method in providing safety guarantees for systems with unknown or uncertain dynamics. Due to the computational intractability of exact reachability analysis for general nonlinear, high-dimensional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-12 Elizabeth Dietrich , Rosalyn Devonport , Stephen Tu , Murat Arcak

Selecting relevant features is an important and necessary step for intelligent machines to maximize their chances of success. However, intelligent machines generally have no enough computing resources when faced with huge volume of data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Hexiang Bai , Deyu Li , Jiye Liang , Yanhui Zhai

Forward-backward selection is one of the most basic and commonly-used feature selection algorithms available. It is also general and conceptually applicable to many different types of data. In this paper, we propose a heuristic that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-31 Giorgos Borboudakis , Ioannis Tsamardinos
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