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The reduced-rank vector autoregressive (VAR) model can be interpreted as a supervised factor model, where two factor modelings are simultaneously applied to response and predictor spaces. This article introduces a new model, called vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-16 Di Wang , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Ruey Tsay

A major concern when dealing with financial time series involving a wide variety ofmarket risk factors is the presence of anomalies. These induce a miscalibration of the models used toquantify and manage risk, resulting in potential…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-26 Stéphane Crépey , Lehdili Noureddine , Nisrine Madhar , Maud Thomas

In many longitudinal studies, a large number of variables are measured repeatedly over time, with substantial missing data. Existing methods, such as probabilistic principal component analysis (PPCA), are ill-equipped to handle such…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Xinyu Zhang , Ameer Qaqish , D. Y. Lin , Didong Li

The matrix factor model has drawn growing attention for its advantage in achieving two-directional dimension reduction simultaneously for matrix-structured observations. In this paper, we propose a simple iterative least squares algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-02 Yong He , Ran Zhao , Wen-Xin Zhou

This work is devoted to the finite sample prediction risk analysis of a class of linear predictors of a response $Y\in \mathbb{R}$ from a high-dimensional random vector $X\in \mathbb{R}^p$ when $(X,Y)$ follows a latent factor regression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-26 Xin Bing , Florentina Bunea , Seth Strimas-Mackey , Marten Wegkamp

Principal component analysis is a multivariate statistical method frequently used in science and engineering to reduce the dimension of a problem or extract the most significant features from a dataset. In this paper, using a similar notion…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-11-09 Anmer Daskin

Tensor time series data appears naturally in a lot of fields, including finance and economics. As a major dimension reduction tool, similar to its factor model counterpart, the idiosyncratic components of a tensor time series factor model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Weilin Chen , Clifford Lam

We study factor models augmented by observed covariates that have explanatory powers on the unknown factors. In financial factor models, the unknown factors can be reasonably well explained by a few observable proxies, such as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Ke , Yuan Liao

Happ and Greven (2018) developed a methodology for principal components analysis of multivariate functional data observed on different dimensional domains. Their approach relies on an estimation of univariate functional principal components…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Steven Golovkine , Edward Gunning , Andrew J. Simpkin , Norma Bargary

We study high-dimensional linear models with error-in-variables. Such models are motivated by various applications in econometrics, finance and genetics. These models are challenging because of the need to account for measurement errors to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-03 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Abhishek Kaul

Principal component analysis (PCA) is one of the most popular dimension reduction techniques in statistics and is especially powerful when a multivariate distribution is concentrated near a lower-dimensional subspace. Multivariate extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Felix Reinbott , Anja Janßen

We propose a dynamic multiplicative factor model for process data, which arise from complex problem-solving items, an emerging testing mode in large-scale educational assessment. The proposed model can be viewed as an extension of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Fangyi Chen , Hok Kan Ling , Zhiliang Ying

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is widely used for dimensionality reduction and data analysis. However, PCA results are adversely affected by outliers often observed in real-world data. Existing robust PCA methods are often…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Timbwaoga Aime Judicael Ouermi , Jixian Li , Chris R. Johnson

Although a majority of the theoretical literature in high-dimensional statistics has focused on settings which involve fully-observed data, settings with missing values and corruptions are common in practice. We consider the problems of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-06 Yining Wang , Jialei Wang , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Aarti Singh

We consider statistical inference in factor analysis for ergodic and non-ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations. Factor model based on high frequency time series data has been mainly discussed in the field of high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Shogo Kusano , Masayuki Uchida

We propose a new data-driven method to select the optimal number of relevant components in Principal Component Analysis (PCA). This new method applies to correlation matrices whose time autocorrelation function decays more slowly than an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-07 Anshul Verma , Pierpaolo Vivo , Tiziana Di Matteo

While most of the convergence results in the literature on high dimensional covariance matrix are concerned about the accuracy of estimating the covariance matrix (and precision matrix), relatively less is known about the effect of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-13 Jushan Bai , Yuan Liao

Estimations and applications of factor models often rely on the crucial condition that the number of latent factors is consistently estimated, which in turn also requires that factors be relatively strong, data are stationary and weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao

This paper studies the estimation of characteristic-based quantile factor models where the factor loadings are unknown functions of observed individual characteristics while the idiosyncratic error terms are subject to conditional quantile…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-27 Liang Chen , Juan Jose Dolado , Jesus Gonzalo , Haozi Pan

We analyse the prediction error of principal component regression (PCR) and prove non-asymptotic upper bounds for the corresponding squared risk. Under mild assumptions, we show that PCR performs as well as the oracle method obtained by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-17 Martin Wahl