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Understanding the latent causal factors of a dynamical system from visual observations is considered a crucial step towards agents reasoning in complex environments. In this paper, we propose CITRIS, a variational autoencoder framework that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Phillip Lippe , Sara Magliacane , Sindy Löwe , Yuki M. Asano , Taco Cohen , Efstratios Gavves

Natural conversations between humans often involve a large number of non-verbal nuanced expressions, displayed at key times throughout the conversation. Understanding and being able to model these complex interactions is essential for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Renke Wang , Ifeoma Nwogu

Causal inference identifies cause-and-effect relationships between variables. While traditional approaches rely on data to reveal causal links, a recently developed method, assimilative causal inference (ACI), integrates observations with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-28 Marios Andreou , Nan Chen

Quantifying relationships between components of a complex system is critical to understanding the rich network of interactions that characterize the behavior of the system. Traditional methods for detecting pairwise dependence of time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-04-10 Aria Nguyen , Oscar McMullin , Joseph T. Lizier , Ben D. Fulcher

Inferring causal relations from time series measurements is an ill-posed mathematical problem, where typically an infinite number of potential solutions can reproduce the given data. We explore in depth a strategy to disambiguate between…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-04 George Stepaniants , Bingni W. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Most of the metrics used for detecting a causal relationship among multiple time series ignore the effects of practical measurement impairments, such as finite sample effects, undersampling and measurement noise. It has been shown that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-03 Rahul Devendra , Ribhu Chopra , Kumar Appaiah

The Granger framework is useful for discovering causal relations in time-varying signals. However, most Granger causality (GC) methods are developed for densely sampled timeseries data. A substantially different setting, particularly common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Minh Nguyen , Gia H. Ngo , Mert R. Sabuncu

Causality is crucial to understanding the mechanisms behind complex systems and making decisions that lead to intended outcomes. Event sequence data is widely collected from many real-world processes, such as electronic health records, web…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Zhuochen Jin , Shunan Guo , Nan Chen , Daniel Weiskopf , David Gotz , Nan Cao

Human communication is multimodal in nature; it is through multiple modalities such as language, voice, and facial expressions, that opinions and emotions are expressed. Data in this domain exhibits complex multi-relational and temporal…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Jianing Yang , Yongxin Wang , Ruitao Yi , Yuying Zhu , Azaan Rehman , Amir Zadeh , Soujanya Poria , Louis-Philippe Morency

In dyadic interaction, predicting the listener's facial reactions is challenging as different reactions could be appropriate in response to the same speaker's behaviour. Previous approaches predominantly treated this task as an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Cheng Luo , Siyang Song , Weicheng Xie , Micol Spitale , Zongyuan Ge , Linlin Shen , Hatice Gunes

Differential Granger causality, that is understanding how Granger causal relations differ between two related time series, is of interest in many scientific applications. Modeling each time series by a vector autoregressive (VAR) model, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-24 Yue Wang , Jing Ma , Ali Shojaie

The era of big data has witnessed an increasing availability of observational data from mobile and social networking, online advertising, web mining, healthcare, education, public policy, marketing campaigns, and so on, which facilitates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Zhixuan Chu , Ruopeng Li , Stephen Rathbun , Sheng Li

It becomes increasingly popular to perform mediation analysis for complex data from sophisticated experimental studies. In this paper, we present Granger Mediation Analysis (GMA), a new framework for causal mediation analysis of multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-18 Yi Zhao , Xi Luo

Physicists are starting to work in areas where noisy signal analysis is required. In these fields, such as Economics, Neuroscience, and Physics, the notion of causality should be interpreted as a statistical measure. We introduce to the lay…

Latent confounding has been a long-standing obstacle for causal reasoning from observational data. One popular approach is to model the data using acyclic directed mixed graphs (ADMGs), which describe ancestral relations between variables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-23 Matthew Ashman , Chao Ma , Agrin Hilmkil , Joel Jennings , Cheng Zhang

We describe a new framework for causal inference and its application to return time series. In this system, causal relationships are represented as logical formulas, allowing us to test arbitrarily complex hypotheses in a computationally…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-14 Samantha Kleinberg , Petter N. Kolm , Bud Mishra

Dynamic Facial Expression Recognition (DFER) aims to identify human emotions from temporally evolving facial movements and plays a critical role in affective computing. While recent vision-language approaches have introduced semantic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Yu Liu , Leyuan Qu , Hanlei Shi , Di Gao , Yuhua Zheng , Taihao Li

Continuous affect prediction involves the discrete time-continuous regression of affect dimensions. Dimensions to be predicted often include arousal and valence. Continuous affect prediction researchers are now embracing multimodal model…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-01-24 Jonny O'Dwyer

Non-verbal behavior is a central challenge in understanding the dynamics of a conversation and the affective states between interlocutors arising from the interaction. Although psychological research has demonstrated that non-verbal…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Marius Funk , Shogo Okada , Elisabeth André

Lack of external knowledge makes empathetic dialogue systems difficult to perceive implicit emotions and learn emotional interactions from limited dialogue history. To address the above problems, we propose to leverage external knowledge,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Qintong Li , Piji Li , Zhaochun Ren , Pengjie Ren , Zhumin Chen
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