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The global financial system can be represented as a large complex network in which banks, hedge funds and other financial institutions are interconnected to each other through visible and invisible financial linkages. Recently, a lot of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-11 Fabio Caccioli , Paolo Barucca , Teruyoshi Kobayashi

The latest financial crisis has painfully revealed the dangers arising from a globally interconnected financial system. Conventional approaches based on the notion of the existence of equilibrium and those which rely on statistical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-12 V. Sasidevan , Nils Bertschinger

Sustainable financial markets play an important role in the functioning of human society. Still, the detection and prediction of risk in financial markets remain challenging and draw much attention from the scientific community. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-27 Jingfang Fan , Keren Cohen , Louis M. Shekhtman , Sibo Liu , Jun Meng , Yoram Louzoun , Shlomo Havlin

We provide an overview of the relationship between financial networks and systemic risk. We present a taxonomy of different types of systemic risk, differentiating between direct externalities between financial organizations (e.g.,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-24 Matthew O. Jackson , Agathe Pernoud

The value of stocks, indices and other assets, are examples of stochastic processes with unpredictable dynamics. In this paper, we discuss asymmetries in short term price movements that can not be associated with a long term positive trend.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Ingve Simonsen , Peter Toke Heden Ahlgren , Mogens H. Jensen , Raul Donangelo , Kim Sneppen

This paper investigates two mechanisms of financial contagion that are, firstly, the correlated exposure of banks to the same source of risk, and secondly the direct exposure of banks in the interbank market. It will consider a random…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-15 Seyyed Mostafa Mousavi , Robert Mackay , Alistair Tucker

A minimal stochastic dynamical model of the interbank network is introduced, with linear interactions mediated by an integral of recent variations. Defining stress as the variance over the banks' states, the interaction correction to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-30 Andrea Auconi

The dynamic network of relationships among corporations underlies cascading economic failures including the current economic crisis, and can be inferred from correlations in market value fluctuations. We analyze the time dependence of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-18 Dion Harmon , Blake Stacey , Yavni Bar-Yam , Yaneer Bar-Yam

Evaluation of systemic risk in networks of financial institutions in general requires information of inter-institution financial exposures. In the framework of Debt Rank algorithm, we introduce an approximate method of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-14 Sebastian M. Krause , Hrvoje Štefančić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli

Threats on the stability of a financial system may severely affect the functioning of the entire economy, and thus considerable emphasis is placed on the analyzing the cause and effect of such threats. The financial crisis in the current…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-28 Piotr Berman , Bhaskar DasGupta , Lakshmi Kaligounder , Marek Karpinski

We address a fundamental problem that is systematically encountered when modeling complex systems: the limitedness of the information available. In the case of economic and financial networks, privacy issues severely limit the information…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-07 Giulio Cimini , Tiziano Squartini , Diego Garlaschelli , Andrea Gabrielli

When banks choose similar investment strategies the financial system becomes vulnerable to common shocks. We model a simple financial system in which banks decide about their investment strategy based on a private belief about the state of…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-05 Christoph Aymanns , Co-Pierre Georg

The global financial crisis in 2007-2009 demonstrated that systemic risk can spread all over the world through a complex web of financial linkages, yet we still lack fundamental knowledge about the evolution of the financial web. In…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-11 Teruyoshi Kobayashi , Taro Takaguchi

The global financial system has become highly connected and complex. Has been proven in practice that existing models, measures and reports of financial risk fail to capture some important systemic dimensions. Only lately, advisory boards…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-07 Michalis Vafopoulos

Following the financial crisis of 2007-2008, a deep analogy between the origins of instability in financial systems and complex ecosystems has been pointed out: in both cases, topological features of network structures influence how easily…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-28 Marco Bardoscia , Stefano Battiston , Fabio Caccioli , Guido Caldarelli

Asymmetries in volatility spillovers are highly relevant to risk valuation and portfolio diversification strategies in financial markets. Yet, the large literature studying information transmission mechanisms ignores the fact that bad and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-29 Jozef Barunik , Evzen Kocenda , Lukas Vacha

We contribute to the understanding of how systemic risk arises in a network of credit-interlinked agents. Motivated by empirical studies we formulate a network model which, despite its simplicity, depicts the nature of interbank markets…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-26 Oliver Kley , Claudia Klüppelberg , Lukas Reichel

Statistical uncertainty of different filtration techniques for market network analysis is studied. Two measures of statistical uncertainty are discussed. One is based on conditional risk for multiple decision statistical procedures and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 V. A. Kalyagin , A. P. Koldanov , P. A. Koldanov , P. M. Pardalos , V. A. Zamaraev

We survey systemic risks to financial markets and present a high-level description of an algorithm that measures systemic risk in terms of coupled networks.

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-18 Abhijnan Rej

We propose a new framework for measuring connectedness among financial variables that arises due to heterogeneous frequency responses to shocks. To estimate connectedness in short-, medium-, and long-term financial cycles, we introduce a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-20 Jozef Barunik , Tomas Krehlik
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