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A simple banking network model is proposed which features multiple waves of bank defaults and is analytically solvable in the limiting case of an infinitely large homogeneous network. The model is a collection of nodes representing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-02 Igor Tsatskis

We discovered that past changes in the market correlation structure are significantly related with future changes in the market volatility. By using correlation-based information filtering networks we device a new tool for forecasting the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-31 Nicoló Musmeci , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo

The question of how to stabilize financial systems has attracted considerable attention since the global financial crisis of 2007-2009. Recently, Beale et al. ("Individual versus systemic risk and the regulator's dilemma", Proc Natl Acad…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-30 Teruyoshi Kobayashi

We present an analytical model to study the role of expectation feedbacks and overlapping portfolios on systemic stability of financial systems. Building on [Corsi et al., 2016], we model a set of financial institutions having Value at Risk…

General Economics · Economics 2018-07-23 Piero Mazzarisi , Fabrizio Lillo , Stefano Marmi

Management of systemic risk in financial markets is traditionally associated with setting (higher) capital requirements for market participants. There are indications that while equity ratios have been increased massively since the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-16 Christian Diem , Anton Pichler , Stefan Thurner

A probabilistic framework is introduced that represents stylized banking networks and aims to predict the size of contagion events. In contrast to previous work on random financial networks, which assumes independent connections between…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-20 Thomas R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson

Using frequency distributions of daily closing price time series of several financial market indexes, we investigate whether the bias away from an equiprobable sequence distribution found in the data, predicted by algorithmic information…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-17 Hector Zenil , Jean-Paul Delahaye

When studying social, economic and biological systems, one has often access to only limited information about the structure of the underlying networks. An example of paramount importance is provided by financial systems: information on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-31 Tiziano Squartini , Guido Caldarelli , Giulio Cimini , Andrea Gabrielli , Diego Garlaschelli

We use rank correlations as distance functions to establish the interconnectivity between stock returns, building weighted signed networks for the stocks of seven European countries, the US and Japan. We establish the theoretical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-14 E. Ferreira , S. Orbe , J. Ascorbebeitia , B. Álvarez Pereira , E. Estrada

We demonstrate using multi-layered networks, the existence of an empirical linkage between the dynamics of the financial network constructed from the market indices and the macroeconomic networks constructed from macroeconomic variables…

General Economics · Economics 2019-03-18 Kiran Sharma , Anindya S. Chakrabarti , Anirban Chakraborti

The interbank market is considered one of the most important channels of contagion. Its network representation, where banks and claims/obligations are represented by nodes and links (respectively), has received a lot of attention in the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-26 Leonardo Bargigli , Giovanni di Iasio , Luigi Infante , Fabrizio Lillo , Federico Pierobon

In this paper, we assess how the stability of financial networks is affected by interconnectedness considering its tiniest variation: the edge. We compute the impact of edges as the percentage difference in the systemic risk (SR) of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-06 Michel Alexandre , Thiago Christiano Silva , Francisco A. Rodrigues

During a financial crisis, the capital markets network frequently exhibits a high correlation between returns. We developed a network analysis framework based on daily returns from 42 countries to determine systemic stability. Our network…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Supanat Kamtue , Pongsak Luangaram , Sirawit Woramongkhon

We study the difference between the level of systemic risk that is empirically measured on an interbank network and the risk that can be deduced from the balance sheets composition of the participating banks. Using generalised DebtRank…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-07 Alessandro Ferracci , Giulio Cimini

The negative externalities from an individual bank failure to the whole system can be huge. One of the key purposes of bank regulation is to internalize the social costs of potential bank failures via capital charges. This study proposes a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-24 Xiaobing Feng , Haibo Hu

We introduce a general model for the balance-sheet consistent valuation of interbank claims within an interconnected financial system. Our model represents an extension of clearing models of interdependent liabilities to account for the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-03 Paolo Barucca , Marco Bardoscia , Fabio Caccioli , Marco D'Errico , Gabriele Visentin , Guido Caldarelli , Stefano Battiston

Many relationships requiring mutual agreement between pairs of actors produce observable networks that are symmetric and undirected. Nevertheless the unobserved, asymmetric network is often of primary scientific interest. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-03 Arturas Rozenas , Shahryar Minhas , John Ahlquist

The aim of this paper is to quantify and manage systemic risk caused by default contagion in the interbank market. We model the market as a random directed network, where the vertices represent financial institutions and the weighted edges…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou , Daniel Ritter

The combination of the network theoretic approach with recently available abundant economic data leads to the development of novel analytic and computational tools for modelling and forecasting key economic indicators. The main idea is to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-05 Andreas Joseph , Irena Vodenska , Eugene Stanley , Guanrong Chen

In recent years, methods from network science are gaining rapidly interest in economics and finance. A reason for this is that in a globalized world the interconnectedness among economic and financial entities are crucial to understand and…