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Over the past two decades, numerous studies have demonstrated how less predictable (i.e., higher surprisal) words take more time to read. In general, these studies have implicitly assumed the reading process is purely responsive: Readers…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-07-17 Tiago Pimentel , Clara Meister , Ethan G. Wilcox , Roger Levy , Ryan Cotterell

A fundamental result in psycholinguistics is that less predictable words take a longer time to process. One theoretical explanation for this finding is Surprisal Theory (Hale, 2001; Levy, 2008), which quantifies a word's predictability as…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Ethan Gotlieb Wilcox , Tiago Pimentel , Clara Meister , Ryan Cotterell , Roger P. Levy

To date, most investigations on surprisal and entropy effects in reading have been conducted on the group level, disregarding individual differences. In this work, we revisit the predictive power of surprisal and entropy measures estimated…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-05 Patrick Haller , Lena S. Bolliger , Lena A. Jäger

The effect of surprisal on processing difficulty has been a central topic of investigation in psycholinguistics. Here, we use eyetracking data to examine three language processing regimes that are common in daily life but have not been…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Keren Gruteke Klein , Yoav Meiri , Omer Shubi , Yevgeni Berzak

We present a new perspective on how readers integrate context during real-time language comprehension. Our proposals build on surprisal theory, which posits that the processing effort of a linguistic unit (e.g., a word) is an affine…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Andreas Opedal , Eleanor Chodroff , Ryan Cotterell , Ethan Gotlieb Wilcox

Intuitively, human readers cope easily with errors in text; typos, misspelling, word substitutions, etc. do not unduly disrupt natural reading. Previous work indicates that letter transpositions result in increased reading times, but it is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-05-21 Michael Hahn , Frank Keller , Yonatan Bisk , Yonatan Belinkov

We advance a novel explanation of similarity-based interference effects in subject-verb and reflexive pronoun agreement processing, grounded in surprisal values computed from a pretrained large-scale Transformer model, GPT-2. Specifically,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Soo Hyun Ryu , Richard L. Lewis

Transformer-based large language models are trained to make predictions about the next word by aggregating representations of previous tokens through their self-attention mechanism. In the field of cognitive modeling, such attention…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-12-22 Byung-Doh Oh , William Schuler

Surprisal theory posits that the processing difficulty of a word is determined by its predictability in context, offering a potential link between human sentence processing and next-word predictions from language models. While language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-18 William Timkey , Brian Dillon , Tal Linzen

Surprisal theory hypothesizes that the difficulty of human sentence processing increases linearly with surprisal, the negative log-probability of a word given its context. Computational psycholinguistics has tested this hypothesis using…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Ryo Yoshida , Shinnosuke Isono , Taiga Someya , Yohei Oseki , Tatsuki Kuribayashi

In psycholinguistic modeling, surprisal from larger pre-trained language models has been shown to be a poorer predictor of naturalistic human reading times. However, it has been speculated that this may be due to data leakage that caused…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Byung-Doh Oh , Hongao Zhu , William Schuler

Probing has shown that language model representations encode rich linguistic information, but it remains unclear whether they also capture cognitive signals about human processing. In this work, we probe language model representations for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Eleftheria Tsipidi , Samuel Kiegeland , Francesco Ignazio Re , Tianyang Xu , Mario Giulianelli , Karolina Stanczak , Ryan Cotterell

Humans exhibit garden path effects: When reading sentences that are temporarily structurally ambiguous, they slow down when the structure is disambiguated in favor of the less preferred alternative. Surprisal theory (Hale, 2001; Levy,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Suhas Arehalli , Brian Dillon , Tal Linzen

A wide body of evidence shows that human language processing difficulty is predicted by the information-theoretic measure surprisal, a word's negative log probability in context. However, it is still unclear how to best estimate these…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Tong Liu , Iza Škrjanec , Vera Demberg

There has been considerable interest in using surprisal from Transformer-based language models (LMs) as predictors of human sentence processing difficulty. Recent work has observed an inverse scaling relationship between Transformers'…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Yi-Chien Lin , William Schuler

Contextual entropy is a psycholinguistic measure capturing the anticipated difficulty of processing a word just before it is encountered. Recent studies have tested for entropy-related effects as a potential complement to well-known effects…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Christian Clark , Byung-Doh Oh , William Schuler

Surprisal theory has provided a unifying framework for understanding many phenomena in sentence processing (Hale, 2001; Levy, 2008a), positing that a word's conditional probability given all prior context fully determines processing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Adam Goodkind , Klinton Bicknell

When we read, we make predictions about upcoming words; these predictions influence our reading behavior. The success of large language models (LLMs), which, like humans, make predictions about upcoming words, has motivated their use as…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Byung-Doh Oh , Tal Linzen

How predictable a word is can be quantified in two ways: using human responses to the cloze task or using probabilities from language models (LMs).When used as predictors of processing effort, LM probabilities outperform probabilities…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Sathvik Nair , Byung-Doh Oh

Human reading behavior is tuned to the statistics of natural language: the time it takes human subjects to read a word can be predicted from estimates of the word's probability in context. However, it remains an open question what…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Ethan Gotlieb Wilcox , Jon Gauthier , Jennifer Hu , Peng Qian , Roger Levy
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