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We introduce a class of branching processes in which the reproduction or lifetime distribution at a given time depends on the total cumulative number of individuals who have been born in the population until that time. We focus on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-03 Sophie Hautphenne , Minyuan Li

A branching process in a Markovian environment consists of an irreducible Markov chain on a set of "environments" together with an offspring distribution for each environment. At each time step the chain transitions to a new random…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Lila Greco , Lionel Levine

Let ${Z_{n},n\geq 0} $ be a critical branching process in random environment and let $T$ be its moment of extinction. Under the annealed approach we prove, as $n\to \infty ,$ a limit theorem for the number of particles in the process at…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-19 C. Boeinghoff , E. E. Dyakonova , G. Kersting , V. A. Vatutin

Quasispecies theory predicts that there is a critical mutation probability above which a viral population will go extinct. Above this threshold the virus loses the ability to replicate the best adapted genotype, leading to a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-26 J. Theodore Cox , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We consider an indecomposable Galton-Watson branching process with countably infinitely many types. Assuming that the process is critical and allowing for infinite variance of the offspring sizes of some (or all) types of particles we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-02 V. A. Topchii , V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

In this paper we consider two branching processes living in a joint random environment. Assuming that both processes are critical we address the following question: What is the probability that both populations survive up to a large time…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Nikita Elizarov , Vitali Wachtel

Using the annealed approach we investigate the asymptotic behavior of the survival probability of a critical multitype branching process evolving in i.i.d. random environment. We show under rather general assumptions on the form of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-12 Vladimir A. Vatutin , Elena E. Dyakonova

We provide sufficient conditions for polynomial rate of convergence in the weak law of large numbers for supercritical general indecomposable multi-type branching processes. The main result is derived by investigating the embedded…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-07 Alexander Iksanov , Matthias Meiners

We consider the long-term behaviour of critical multitype branching processes conditioned on non-extinction, both with respect to the forward and the ancestral processes. Forward in time, we prove a functional limit theorem in the space of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Ellen Baake , Fernando Cordero , Sophia-Marie Mellis , Vitali Wachtel

We investigate branching processes in nearly degenerate varying environment, where the offspring distribution converges to the degenerate distribution at 1. Such processes die out almost surely, therefore, we condition on non-extinction or…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Peter Kevei , Kata Kubatovics

This paper considers the relative frequencies of distinct types of individuals in multitype branching processes. We prove that the frequencies are asymptotically multivariate normal when the initial number of ancestors is large and the time…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-02 Andrei Y. Yakovlev , Nikolay M. Yanev

We consider a class of branching processes with countably many types which we refer to as Lower Hessenberg branching processes. These are multitype Galton-Watson processes with typeset $\mathcal{X}=\{0,1,2,\dots\}$, in which individuals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne

We consider general discrete-time multitype branching processes on a countable set $X$. According to these processes, a particle of type $x\in X$ generates a random number of children and chooses their type in $X$, not necessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-28 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the survival probability of a multi-type branching processes in random environment. The class of processes we consider corresponds, in the one-dimensional situation, to the intermediately subcritical…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-01 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

In this paper we study a 2-type linear-fractional branching process in varying environment with asymptotically constant mean matrices. Let $\nu$ be the extinction time and for $k\ge1$ let $M_k$ be the mean matrix of offspring distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-03 Hua-Ming Wang

This note gives an exponential tail approximation for the extinction time of a subcritical multitype branching process arising from the SIR epidemic model on a random graph with given degrees, where the type corresponds to the vertex…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Peter Windridge

We study time continuous branching processes with exponentially distributed lifetimes, with two types of cells that proliferate according to binary fission. A range of possible system dynamics are considered, each of which is characterized…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Nam H Nguyen , Marek Kimmel

We consider the extinction events of Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. In particular, we construct truncated and augmented Galton-Watson processes with finite but increasing sets of types. A pathwise approach is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Peter Braunsteins , Geoffrey Decrouez , Sophie Hautphenne

For a branching process in random environment it is assumed that the offspring distribution of the individuals varies in a random fashion, independently from one generation to the other. Interestingly there is the possibility that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-07 V. I. Afanasyev , C. Boeinghoff , G. Kersting , V. A. Vatutin

Let $T$ be the extinction moment of a critical branching process $Z=(Z_{n},n\geq 0) $ in a random environment specified by iid probability generating functions. We study the asymptotic behavior of the probability of extinction of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-08 V. A. Vatutin V. Wachtel