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We compute asymptotic non-linear shrinkage formulas for covariance and precision matrix estimators for weighted sample covariances, and the joint sample-population eigenvector overlap distribution, in the spirit of Ledoit and P\'ech\'e. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Benoit Oriol

The Peaks Over Threshold (POT) method is the most popular statistical method for the analysis of univariate extremes. Even though there is a rich applied literature on Bayesian inference for the POT, the asymptotic theory for such proposals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Clément Dombry , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

We introduce the notion of perturbations of quantum stochastic models using the series product, and establish the asymptotic convergence of sequences of quantum stochastic models under the assumption that they are related via a right series…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-04-18 Luc Bouten , John E. Gough

We construct uniform and point-wise asymptotic confidence sets for the single edge in an otherwise smooth image function which are based on rotated differences of two one-sided kernel estimators. Using methods from M-estimation, we show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Viktor Bengs , Matthias Eulert , Hajo Holzmann

Hierarchical probabilistic models, such as Gaussian mixture models, are widely used for unsupervised learning tasks. These models consist of observable and latent variables, which represent the observable data and the underlying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-26 Keisuke Yamazaki

The recent empirical work of Amaya et al. (2015) has pointed out that the realized skewness, which is the sample skewness of intraday high-frequency returns of a financial asset, serves as forecasting future returns in the cross-section.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-22 Yuta Koike , Zhi Liu

We aim at modelling the appearance of distinct tags in a sequence of labelled objects. Common examples of this type of data include words in a corpus or distinct species in a sample. These sequential discoveries are often summarised via…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-16 Alessandro Zito , Tommaso Rigon , Otso Ovaskainen , David Dunson

Statistical models incorporating change points are common in practice, especially in the area of biomedicine. This approach is appealing in that a specific parameter is introduced to account for the abrupt change in the response variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Hongling Zhou , Kung-Yee Liang

We consider two-sample tests for high-dimensional data under two disjoint models: the strongly spiked eigenvalue (SSE) model and the non-SSE (NSSE) model. We provide a general test statistic as a function of a positive-semidefinite matrix.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Makoto Aoshima , Kazuyoshi Yata

We consider the estimation of parametric fractional time series models in which not only is the memory parameter unknown, but one may not know whether it lies in the stationary/invertible region or the nonstationary or noninvertible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Javier Hualde , Peter M. Robinson

In this paper, we study the eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the spiked invariant multiplicative models when the randomness is from Haar matrices. We establish the limits of the outlier eigenvalues $\widehat{\lambda}_i$ and the generalized…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Xiucai Ding , Hong Chang Ji

The pseudo-Gaussian portmanteau tests of Chitturi, Hosking, and Li and McLeod for VARMA models are revisited from a Le Cam perspective, providing a precise and more rigorous description of the asymptotic behavior of the multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Marc Hallin , Hang Liu

We consider estimation of the quadratic (co)variation of a semimartingale from discrete observations which are irregularly spaced under high-frequency asymptotics. In the univariate setting, results by Jacod (2008) are generalized to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-15 Markus Bibinger , Mathias Vetter

Let $\alpha_n(\cdot)=P\bigl(X_{n+1}\in\cdot\mid X_1,\ldots,X_n\bigr)$ be the predictive distributions of a sequence $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$ of $p$-dimensional random vectors. Suppose $$\alpha_n= \mathcal{N} _p (M_n,Q_n)$$ where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Samuele Garelli , Fabrizio Leisen , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

For a set of dependent random variables, without stationary or the strong mixing assumptions, we derive the asymptotic independence between their sums and maxima. Then we apply this result to high-dimensional testing problems, where we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Long Feng , Tiefeng Jiang , Xiaoyun Li , Binghui Liu

In this paper we propose a generalized Gaussian process concurrent regression model for functional data where the functional response variable has a binomial, Poisson or other non-Gaussian distribution from an exponential family while the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-03 Bo Wang , Jian Qing Shi

We revisit the estimation of the extreme value index for randomly censored data from a heavy tailed distribution. We introduce a new class of estimators which encompasses earlier proposals given in Worms and Worms (2014) and Beirlant et al.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-19 Jan Beirlant , Julien Worms , Rym Worms

We prove that a suitably de-biased version of Chatterjee's rank correlation based on i.i.d. copies of a random vector $(X,Y)$ is asymptotically normal whenever $Y$ is not almost surely constant. No further conditions on the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Marius Kroll

In this paper we consider the simulation-based Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility in mean (SVM) models. Extending the highly efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo mixture sampler for the SV model proposed in Kim et al. (1998) and Omori…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-21 Daichi Hiraki , Siddhartha Chib , Yasuhiro Omori

Asymptotic couplings by reflection are constructed for a class of non-linear monotone SPDES (stochastic partial differential equations). As applications, the gradient/H\"older estimates as well as the exponential convergence are derived for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Feng-Yu Wang