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In this paper we present a mathematical model for collaborative filtering implementation in stock market predictions. In popular literature collaborative filtering, also known as Wisdom of Crowds, assumes that group has a greater knowledge…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-06-24 Marko Velic , Toni Grzinic , Ivan Padavic

With the increasing pervasiveness of algorithms across industry and government, a growing body of work has grappled with how to understand their societal impact and ethical implications. Various methods have been used at different stages of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Julia Barnett , Nicholas Diakopoulos

The wisdom of crowds is the idea that the combination of independent estimates of the magnitude of some quantity yields a remarkably accurate prediction, which is always more accurate than the average individual estimate. In addition, it is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Davi A. Nobre , José F. Fontanari

Crowdsourcing is defined as the outsourcing of tasks to a crowd of contributors. The crowd is very diverse on these platforms and includes malicious contributors attracted by the remuneration of tasks and not conscientiously performing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Constance Thierry , Jean-Christophe Dubois , Yolande Le Gall , Arnaud Martin

In Twitter, and other microblogging services, the generation of new content by the crowd is often biased towards immediacy: what is happening now. Prompted by the propagation of commentary and information through multiple mediums, users on…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-02-10 Flávio Martins , João Magalhães , Jamie Callan

The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

Perspective distortions and crowd variations make crowd counting a challenging task in computer vision. To tackle it, many previous works have used multi-scale architecture in deep neural networks (DNNs). Multi-scale branches can be either…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Zhipeng Du , Miaojing Shi , Jiankang Deng , Stefanos Zafeiriou

Given a random variable $O \in \mathbb{R}$ and a set of experts $E$, we describe a method for finding a subset of experts $S \subseteq E$ whose aggregated opinion best predicts the outcome of $O$. Therefore, the problem can be regarded as a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-04-28 MohammadAmin Fazli , Azin Ghazimatin , Jafar Habibi , Hamid Haghshenas

Crowdsourcing information constitutes an important aspect of human-in-the-loop learning for researchers across multiple disciplines such as AI, HCI, and social science. While using crowdsourced data for subjective tasks is not new,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Ramya Srinivasan , Ajay Chander

In a crowdsourcing contest, a principal holding a task posts it to a crowd. People in the crowd then compete with each other to win the rewards. Although in real life, a crowd is usually networked and people influence each other via social…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Qi Shi , Dong Hao

Crowdsourcing offers a practical method for ranking and scoring large amounts of items. To investigate the algorithms and incentives that can be used in crowdsourcing quality evaluations, we built CrowdGrader, a tool that lets students…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-08-27 Luca de Alfaro , Michael Shavlovsky

Crowdwork often entails tackling cognitively-demanding and time-consuming tasks. Crowdsourcing can be used for complex annotation tasks, from medical imaging to geospatial data, and such data powers sensitive applications, such as health…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Akira Matsui , Emilio Ferrara , Fred Morstatter , Andres Abeliuk , Aram Galstyan

Inferring the correct answers to binary tasks based on multiple noisy answers in an unsupervised manner has emerged as the canonical question for micro-task crowdsourcing or more generally aggregating opinions. In graphon estimation, one is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-29 Devavrat Shah , Christina Lee Yu

Population-level societal events, such as civil unrest and crime, often have a significant impact on our daily life. Forecasting such events is of great importance for decision-making and resource allocation. Event prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Songgaojun Deng , Yue Ning

We consider the problem of information aggregation in federated decision making, where a group of agents collaborate to infer the underlying state of nature without sharing their private data with the central processor or each other. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Mert Kayaalp , Yunus Inan , Visa Koivunen , Emre Telatar , Ali H. Sayed

Aggregating responses from crowd workers is a fundamental task in the process of crowdsourcing. In cases where a few experts are overwhelmed by a large number of non-experts, most answer aggregation algorithms such as the majority voting…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Yasushi Kawase , Yuko Kuroki , Atsushi Miyauchi

Crowdsourcing can be used to determine a total order for an object set (e.g., the top-10 NBA players) based on crowd opinions. This ranking problem is often decomposed into a set of microtasks (e.g., pairwise comparisons). These microtasks…

Databases · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Caihua Shan , Leong Hou U , Nikos Mamoulis , Reynold Cheng , Xiang Li

"Wisdom of crowds" refers to the phenomenon that the average opinion of a group of individuals on a given question can be very close to the true answer. It requires a large group diversity of opinions, but the collective error, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 Pavlin Mavrodiev , Frank Schweitzer

Crowdsourcing systems enable us to collect large-scale dataset, but inherently suffer from noisy labels of low-paid workers. We address the inference and learning problems using such a crowdsourced dataset with noise. Due to the nature of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-25 Hoyoung Kim , Seunghyuk Cho , Dongwoo Kim , Jungseul Ok

Collective intelligence is believed to underly the remarkable success of human society. The formation of accurate shared beliefs is one of the key components of human collective intelligence. How are accurate shared beliefs formed in groups…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-08-08 Peter M. Krafft , Julia Zheng , Wei Pan , Nicolás Della Penna , Yaniv Altshuler , Erez Shmueli , Joshua B. Tenenbaum , Alex Pentland