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In this paper, we derive (local) orthogonality graphs for the popular continuous-time state space models, including in particular multivariate continuous-time ARMA (MCARMA) processes. In these (local) orthogonality graphs, vertices…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Lea Schenk

In this paper, we propose a novel framework that leverages large language models (LLMs) for predicting missing values in time-varying graph signals by exploiting spatial and temporal smoothness. We leverage the power of LLM to achieve a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Dayu Qin , Yi Yan , Ercan Engin Kuruoglu

We propose a time-varying graph signal recovery method for estimating the true time-varying graph signal from corrupted observations by leveraging dynamic graphs. Most of the conventional methods for time-varying graph signal recovery have…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-03 Eisuke Yamagata , Kazuki Naganuma , Shunsuke Ono

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models are important tools for the analysis of multivariate time series. This paper focuses on high-dimensional time series and on the different regularized estimation procedures proposed for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis

Multivariate time series (MTS) anomaly detection commonly encounters in various domains like finance, healthcare, and industrial monitoring. However, existing MTS anomaly detection methods are mostly defined on the static graph structure,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Jia Li , Shiyu Long , Ye Yuan

We consider a setting where multiple entities inter-act with each other over time and the time-varying statuses of the entities are represented as multiple correlated time series. For example, speed sensors are deployed in different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

We present the R-package mgm for the estimation of k-order Mixed Graphical Models (MGMs) and mixed Vector Autoregressive (mVAR) models in high-dimensional data. These are a useful extensions of graphical models for only one variable type,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-13 Jonas M. B. Haslbeck , Lourens J. Waldorp

Many modern time series arise on networks, where each component is attached to a node and interactions follow observed edges. Classical time-varying parameter VARs (TVP-VARs) treat all series symmetrically and ignore this structure, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Marios Papamichalis , Regina Ruane , Theofanis Papamichalis

This paper considers the graph signal processing problem of anomaly detection in time series of graphs. We examine two related, complementary inference tasks: the detection of anomalous graphs within a time series, and the detection of…

Graph-based methods pervade the inference toolkits of numerous disciplines including sociology, biology, neuroscience, physics, chemistry, and engineering. A challenging problem encountered in this context pertains to determining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-25 Daniel Romero , Vassilis N. Ioannidis , Georgios B. Giannakis

Given a set of synchronous time series, each associated with a sensor-point in space and characterized by inter-series relationships, the problem of spatiotemporal forecasting consists of predicting future observations for each point.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Ivan Marisca , Cesare Alippi , Filippo Maria Bianchi

A non-Bayesian, regression-based or generalized least squares (GLS)-based approach is formally proposed to estimate a class of time-varying AR parameter models. This approach has partly been used by Ito et al. (2014, 2016a,b), and is proven…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-22 Mikio Ito , Akihiko Noda , Tatsuma Wada

Graph filters play a key role in processing the graph spectra of signals supported on the vertices of a graph. However, despite their widespread use, graph filters have been analyzed only in the deterministic setting, ignoring the impact of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-09-18 Elvin Isufi , Andreas Loukas , Andrea Simonetto , Geert Leus

As a special infinite-order vector autoregressive (VAR) model, the vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) model can capture much richer temporal patterns than the widely used finite-order VAR model. However, its practicality has long…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Yao Zheng

In extracting time series data from various sources, it is inevitable to compile variables measured at varying frequencies as this is often dependent on the source. Modeling from these data can be facilitated by aggregating high frequency…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Jetrei Benedick R. Benito , Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan , Erniel B. Barrios

Many dynamic processes such as telecommunication and transport networks can be described through discrete time series of graphs. Modelling the dynamics of such time series enables prediction of graph structure at future time steps, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Ziqi Xu , Stefan Westerlund , Conrad Sanderson

With the advancements in technology and monitoring tools, we often encounter multivariate graph signals, which can be seen as the realizations of multivariate graph processes, and revealing the relationship between their constituent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-13 Kyusoon Kim , Hee-Seok Oh

Graphs are an intuitive way to represent relationships between variables in fields such as finance and neuroscience. However, these graphs often need to be inferred from data. In this paper, we propose a novel framework to infer a latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-25 Jedidiah Harwood , Debashis Paul , Jie Peng

A reliable and efficient representation of multivariate time series is crucial in various downstream machine learning tasks. In multivariate time series forecasting, each variable depends on its historical values and there are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 William T. Ng , K. Siu , Albert C. Cheung , Michael K. Ng

The recovery of time-varying graph signals is a fundamental problem with numerous applications in sensor networks and forecasting in time series. Effectively capturing the spatio-temporal information in these signals is essential for the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-15 Jhon A. Castro-Correa , Jhony H. Giraldo , Anindya Mondal , Mohsen Badiey , Thierry Bouwmans , Fragkiskos D. Malliaros