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We study a recent class of models which uses graph neural networks (GNNs) to improve forecasting in multivariate time series. The core assumption behind these models is that there is a latent graph between the time series (nodes) that…

Temporal graphs represent graph evolution over time, and have been receiving considerable research attention. Work on expressing temporal graph patterns or discovering temporal motifs typically assumes relatively simple temporal…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Amir Pouya Aghasadeghi , Jan Van den Bussche , Julia Stoyanovich

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used in multivariate time series analysis for describing the short-time dynamics of the data. The reduced-rank VAR models are of particular interest when dealing with high-dimensional and highly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-02 Farida Enikeeva , Olga Klopp , Mathilde Rousselot

Prediction for high dimensional time series is a challenging task due to the curse of dimensionality problem. Classical parametric models like ARIMA or VAR require strong modeling assumptions and time stationarity and are often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Nikita Puchkin , Aleksandr Timofeev , Vladimir Spokoiny

We introduce graphical time series models for the analysis of dynamic relationships among variables in multivariate time series. The modelling approach is based on the notion of strong Granger causality and can be applied to time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-18 Michael Eichler

Inference of space-time varying signals on graphs emerges naturally in a plethora of network science related applications. A frequently encountered challenge pertains to reconstructing such dynamic processes, given their values over a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-25 Vassilis N. Ioannidis , Daniel Romero , Georgios B. Giannakis

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Anna Fitzpatrick , Molly Folino , Andrea Arnold

Multivariate dynamic time series models are widely encountered in practical studies, e.g., modelling policy transmission mechanism and measuring connectedness between economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper proposes a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-06 Yayi Yan , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

Inferring graph structure from observations on the nodes is an important and popular network science task. Departing from the more common inference of a single graph and motivated by social and biological networks, we study the problem of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-19 Madeline Navarro , Yuhao Wang , Antonio G. Marques , Caroline Uhler , Santiago Segarra

Anomaly detection of time series, especially multivariate time series(time series with multiple sensors), has been focused on for several years. Though existing method has achieved great progress, there are several challenging problems to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Weixuan Xiong , Xiaochen Sun

An emerging way to deal with high-dimensional non-euclidean data is to assume that the underlying structure can be captured by a graph. Recently, ideas have begun to emerge related to the analysis of time-varying graph signals. This work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-08 Francesco Grassi , Andreas Loukas , Nathanaël Perraudin , Benjamin Ricaud

Our goal is to estimate causal interactions in multivariate time series. Using vector autoregressive (VAR) models, these can be defined based on non-vanishing coefficients belonging to respective time-lagged instances. As in most cases a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-13 Stefan Haufe , Guido Nolte , Klaus-Robert Mueller , Nicole Kraemer

Time series prediction aims to predict future values to help stakeholders make proper strategic decisions. This problem is relevant in all industries and areas, ranging from financial data to demand to forecast. However, it remains…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-09 Aleksandr Pletnev , Rodrigo Rivera-Castro , Evgeny Burnaev

Modeling and inference with multivariate sequences is central in a number of signal processing applications such as acoustics, social network analysis, biomedical, and finance, to name a few. The linear-Gaussian state-space model is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Émilie Chouzenoux , Víctor Elvira

Stationarity is a cornerstone property that facilitates the analysis and processing of random signals in the time domain. Although time-varying signals are abundant in nature, in many practical scenarios the information of interest resides…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-11 Antonio G. Marques , Santiago Segarra , Geert Leus , Alejandro Ribeiro

Graph signal processing deals with algorithms and signal representations that leverage graph structures for multivariate data analysis. Often said graph topology is not readily available and may be time-varying, hence (dynamic) graph…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-20 Hector Chahuara , Gonzalo Mateos

Many econometric analyses involve spatio--temporal data. A considerable amount of literature has addressed spatio--temporal models, with Spatial Dynamic Panel Data (SDPD) being widely investigated and applied. In real data applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-18 Maria Lucia Parrella

Given high-dimensional time series data (e.g., sensor data), how can we detect anomalous events, such as system faults and attacks? More challengingly, how can we do this in a way that captures complex inter-sensor relationships, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Ailin Deng , Bryan Hooi

Inference tasks with time series over graphs are of importance in applications such as urban water networks, economics, and networked neuroscience. Addressing these tasks typically relies on identifying a computationally affordable model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Mohammad Sabbaqi , Riccardo Taormina , Elvin Isufi

Graphs are irregular structures which naturally account for data integrity, however, traditional approaches have been established outside Signal Processing, and largely focus on analyzing the underlying graphs rather than signals on graphs.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-14 Ljubisa Stankovic , Danilo Mandic , Milos Dakovic , Ilya Kisil , Ervin Sejdic , Anthony G. Constantinides