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Electronic health records (EHRs) have become a platform for data-driven surveillance on a granular level in recent years. In this paper, we make use of EHRs for early prevention of childhood obesity. The proposed method simultaneously…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-16 Young-Geun Choi , Lawrence P. Hanrahan , Derek Norton , Ying-Qi Zhao

High-frequency mortality data have attracted growing attention, but their use has largely been confined to specific applications rather than general modelling and forecasting. Such data pose new challenges to traditional mortality models…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-14 Ziting Miao , Han Li , Yuyu Chen

This study focuses on predicting the Human Development Index (HDI) trends for GCC countries Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, United Arab Emirates, and Omanusing machine learning techniques, specifically the XGBoost algorithm. HDI is a…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-12 Mahdi Goldani

As of this writing, there are five years remaining for countries to reach their Sustainable Development Goals deadline of 2030 as agreed to by the member countries of the United Nations. Countries are, therefore, naturally interested in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-11 David Kaplan , Nina Jude , Kjorte Harra , Jonas Stampka

Frequently, empirical studies are plagued with missing data. When the data are missing not at random, the parameter of interest is not identifiable in general. Without additional assumptions, we can derive bounds of the parameters of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-12 Zhichao Jiang , Peng Ding

Surrogate variables in electronic health records (EHR) and biobank data play an important role in biomedical studies due to the scarcity or absence of chart-reviewed gold standard labels. We develop a novel approach named SASH for {\bf…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 Yue Liu , Molei Liu , Zijian Guo , Tianxi Cai

In this paper we explore the life expectancy limits by based on the stochastic modeling of mortality and applying the first exit or hitting time theory of a stochastic process. The main assumption is that the health state or the "vitality",…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-01-11 Christos H Skiadas , Charilaos Skiadas

The UK Biobank is a large-scale health resource comprising genetic, environmental and medical information on approximately 500,000 volunteer participants in the UK, recruited at ages 40--69 during the years 2006--2010. The project monitors…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-16 Malka Gorfine , Nir Keret , Asaf Ben Arie , David Zucker , Li Hsu

Representative risk estimation is fundamental to clinical decision-making. However, risks are often estimated from non-representative epidemiologic studies, which usually underrepresent minorities. "Model-based" methods use population…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-12 Lingxiao Wang , Yan Li , Barry I. Graubard , Hormuzd A. Katki

Background: Limited data utilization in low-resource settings poses a barrier to the vaccine delivery ecosystem, undermining efforts to achieve equitable immunization coverage. In nomadic populations, individuals face an increased risk of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Jimmy Bach , Yang Li , Yaqi Liu , John Sankok , Rose Kimani , Carrie B. Dolan , Julius N. Odhiambo , Haipeng Chen

Family planning is a global development priority and a key indicator of reproductive health. Monitoring progress is challenged by gaps in survey data across countries. The United Nations Population Division addresses this with the Family…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-20 Oluwayomi Akinfenwa , Niamh Cahill , Catherine Hurley

Civil registration vital statistics (CRVS) data are used to produce national estimates of maternal mortality, but are often subject to substantial reporting errors due to misclassification of maternal deaths. The accuracy of CRVS systems…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-19 Emily Peterson , Doris Chou , Ann-Beth Moller , Alison Gemmill , Lale Say , Leontine Alkema

Adverse conditions in early life can have consequential impacts on individuals' health in older age. In one of the first papers on this topic, Barker and Osmond 1986 show a strong positive relationship between infant mortality rates in the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-05 Samuel Baker , Pietro Biroli , Hans van Kippersluis , Stephanie von Hinke

This study develops and analyzes an extended Susceptible, Infected, Hospitalized and Recovered (SIHR) model incorporating time dependent control functions to capture preventive measures (e.g., distancing, mask use) and resource limited…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 Liban Ismail , Yahyeh Souleiman , Saraless Nadarajah , Abdisalam Hassan

The diagnosis of Shaken Baby Syndrome/Abusive Head Trauma (SBS/AHT) is fraught with controversy due to critical statistical deficiencies in the data underpinning these diagnoses. This paper examines the reliability and scientific foundation…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-22 Maria Cuellar

Many spatio-temporal data record the time of birth and death of individuals, along with their spatial trajectories during their lifetime, whether through continuous-time observations or discrete-time observations. Natural applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-14 Frédéric Lavancier , Ronan Le Guével

According to the World Health Organization, the population of children with developmental delays constitutes approximately 6% to 9% of the total population. Based on the number of newborns in Huaibei, Anhui Province, China, in 2023…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Zichen Song , Jiakang Li , Songning Lai , Sitan Huang

Reliable prediction of pediatric obesity can offer a valuable resource to providers, helping them engage in timely preventive interventions before the disease is established. Many efforts have been made to develop ML-based predictive models…

A widely-used model for determining the long-term health impacts of public health interventions, often called a "multistate lifetable", requires estimates of incidence, case fatality, and sometimes also remission rates, for multiple…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-23 Christopher Jackson , Belen Zapata-Diomedi , James Woodcock

This paper presents a novel approach for modeling mortality rates above age 70 by proposing a mixture-based model. This model is compared to four other widely used models: the Beard, Gompertz, Makeham, and Perks models. Our model can…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-18 Silvio C. Patricio , Fredy Castellares , Bernardo L. Queiroz