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This paper sets out a forecasting method that employs a mixture of parametric functions to capture the pattern of fertility with respect to age. The overall level of cohort fertility is decomposed over the range of fertile ages using a…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-23 Jason Hilton , Erengul Dodd , Jonathan J. Forster , Peter W. F. Smith , Jakub Bijak

Education is a key driver of social and economic mobility, yet disparities in attainment persist, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Existing indicators, such as mean years of schooling for adults aged 25 and older…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-13 Yunhan Wu , Ameer Dharamshi , Jon Wakefield

This report presents a statistical analysis of the impact of key maternal characteristics, including age, smoking status, parity, height, weight, and gestation period, on newborn birth weight. A realworld dataset comprising 1,236…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-03 Prithwiraj Chatterjee , Abhinav Tanwar , Devadharshini Udayakumar

Smoking is one of the main risk factors that has affected human mortality and life expectancy over the past century. Smoking accounts for a large part of the nonlinearities in the growth of life expectancy and of the geographic and sex…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-29 Yicheng Li , Adrian E. Raftery

Traumatic brain injury (TBI) presents a significant public health challenge, often resulting in mortality or lasting disability. Predicting outcomes such as mortality and Functional Status Scale (FSS) scores can enhance treatment strategies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Lucas Steinmetz , Shivam Maheshwari , Garik Kazanjian , Abigail Loyson , Tyler Alexander , Venkat Margapuri , C. Nataraj

In this paper we explore the life expectancy at birth in the Netherlands by based on a recent theory and a new methodology but also a classical theory of fitting and forecasting. We use the data from 1850 to 2006 provided by the Human…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-12-06 Christos H. Skiadas

This manuscript proposes a significant step in our long-run investigation of infant mortality across species. Since 2016 (Berrut et al. 2016) a succession of studies (Bois et al. 2019) have traced infant mortality from organisms of high…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-26 Eduardo M. Garcia-Roger , Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

This study introduces an innovative methodology for mortality forecasting, which integrates signature-based methods within the functional data framework of the Hyndman-Ullah (HU) model. This new approach, termed the Hyndman-Ullah with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-29 Zhong Jing Yap , Dharini Pathmanathan , Sophie Dabo-Niang

We investigate the decline of infant mortality in 42 low and middle income countries (LMIC) using detailed micro data from 84 Demographic and Health Surveys. We estimate infant mortality risk for each infant in our data and develop a novel…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-14 Antonio P. Ramos , Martin J. Flores , Leiwen Gao , Patrick Heuveline , Robert E. Weiss

In order to numerically solve high-dimensional nonlinear PDEs and alleviate the curse of dimensionality, a stochastic particle method (SPM) has been proposed to capture the relevant feature of the solution through the adaptive evolution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Jingyang Huang , Zhengyang Lei , Sihong Shao

Sex differences in early age mortality have been explained in prior literature by differences in biological make-up and gender discrimination in the allocation of household resources. Studies estimating the effects of these factors have…

General Economics · Economics 2020-10-13 Roland Pongou

Mortality data are relevant to demography, public health, and actuarial science. Whilst clustering is increasingly used to explore patterns in such data, no study has reviewed its application to country-level all-cause mortality. This…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-05 Pedro Menezes de Araujo , Isobel Claire Gormley , Thomas Brendan Murphy

In low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), accurate estimates of subnational health and demographic indicators are critical for guiding policy and identifying disparities. Many indicators of interest are proportions of binary outcomes and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-23 Jon Wakefield , Peter A. Gao , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Zehang Richard Li

The missing data problem pervasively exists in statistical applications. Even as simple as the count data in mortality projections, it may not be available for certain age-and-year groups due to the budget limitations or difficulties in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-11 Rui Gong , Xiaoqian Sun , Leping Liu , Yu-Bo Wang

This research analyses the axiomatic link among health expenditures, inflation rate, and gross national income (GNI) per capita concerning the child mortality (CMU5) rate in D-8 nations, employing panel data analysis from 1995 to 2014.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-06 M. Waseem Akram , Binita Shahi , M. Javed Akram

The national census is an essential data source to support decision-making in many areas of public interest. However, this data may become outdated during the intercensal period, which can stretch up to several decades. We developed a…

The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) is the single largest and most detailed scientific effort ever conducted to quantify levels and trends in health. This global health model to estimate mortality rates and…

Electronic health record (EHR) data are increasingly used for biomedical research, but these data have recognized data quality challenges. Data validation is necessary to use EHR data with confidence, but limited resources typically make…

Low total fertility rates throughout the world have lead to concerns about economic growth, military security, international political power, environment impacts, and quality of life. Overall total fertility rates of today's societies are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-04 John C. Stevenson

This research explores how total mortality figures relate to age-standardized death rates within the United States, using the complete historical record of national mortality statistics. Through a detailed investigation of both all-cause…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Brandon Dunbar , Paramahansa Pramanik , Haley Kate Robinson