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Related papers: Arctic amplification metrics

200 papers

We report on a set of laboratory experiments to investigate the effect of Arctic warming on the amplitude and drift speed of the mid-latitude jet stream. Our results show that a progressive decrease of the meridional temperature difference…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-27 Costanza Rodda , Uwe Harlander , Miklos Vincze

Using optimal detection techniques with climate model simulations, most of the observed increase of near surface temperatures over the second half of the twentieth century is attributed to anthropogenic influences. However, the partitioning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-08-03 Gareth S. Jones , Peter A. Stott , John F. B. Mitchell

Significant salinity anomalies have been observed in the Arctic Ocean surface layer during the last decade. Using gridded data of winter salinity in the upper 50 m layer of the Arctic Ocean for the period 1950-1993 and 2007-2012, we…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-09-09 Ekaterina A. Chernyavskaya , Ivan Sudakov , Kenneth M. Golden , Leonid A. Timokhov

It has been widely debated whether Arctic sea-ice loss can reach a tipping point beyond which a large sea-ice area disappears abruptly. The theory of dynamical systems predicts a slowing down when a system destabilises towards a tipping…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-01-26 Sebastian Bathiany , Bregje van der Bolt , Mark S. Williamson , Timothy M. Lenton , Marten Scheffer , Egbert van Nes , Dirk Notz

Since the beginning of satellite observations, the Arctic sea ice extent has shown a downward trend. The decline has been weaker in the March maximum than in the September minimum and masked by inter-annual fluctuations. One of the less…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-08-23 Peter D. Ditlevsen , Ivana Cvijanovic

Climate change is commonly associated with an overall increase in mean temperature in a defined past time period. Many studies consider temperature trends at the global scale, but the literature is lacking in in-depth analysis of the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-12 Qibin Duan , Clare A. McGrory , Glenn Brown , Kerrie Mengersen , You-Gan Wang

Since about 2000, the total mass of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) has declined at a near-linear rate, increasing global sea levels. Since 2016, however, satellite gravimetry data reveal a slowdown in net AIS mass loss and a net mass gain…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-07 Marlen Kolbe , Jose Abraham Torres Alavez , Ruth Mottram , Marwan Katurji , Richard Bintanja , Eveline C. van der Linden

The Arctic sea ice cover has significantly declined over the recent decades. The debate on whether this decline is caused by anthropogenic activity or internal cycles is still ongoing. However, despite this uncertainty, some physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-26 Arya Kimiaghalam

The evolution of the particle background at an altitude of ~540 km during the time interval between 1996 and 2007 is studied using the particle monitor of the High Energy X-ray Timing Experiment on board NASA's Rossi X-ray Timing Explorer.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Felix Fürst , Jörn Wilms , Richard E. Rothschild , Katja Pottschmidt , David M. Smith , Richard Lingenfelter

The results of an analysis of changes in the characteristics of atmospheric centers of action (ACAs) in the Northern (NH) and Southern (SH) hemispheres using results of simulations with the CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensembles of climate models are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-12 I. I. Mokhov , A. M. Osipov , A. V. Chernokulsky

The winter Arctic Oscillation (AO) modulates East Asian climate and the East/Japan Sea (EJS), yet local, scale-dependent air-sea couplings linking atmosphere, ocean and sea-surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) remain unclear. Using 30 years…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-15 Gyuchang Lim , JongJin Park

Seasonal patterns associated with stress modulation, as evidenced by earthquake occurrence, have been detected in regions characterized by present day mountain building and glacial retreat in the Northern Hemisphere. In the Himalaya and the…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-03-01 Antonella Peresan , Francesco Cocetta , Giuliano F. Panza

Arctic sea-ice loss is a defining feature of climate change and offers insight into its impact on mid-latitude air quality. Here, we investigate how variability in Arctic sea-ice extent (ASI) affects ground-level ozone ($O_3$) across…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-01 K Shuvo Bakar , Sourish Das , Sudeep Shukla , Anirban Chakraborti

In the analysis of empirical signals, detecting correlations that capture genuine interactions between the elements of a complex system is a challenging task with applications across disciplines. Here we analyze a global data set of surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-02-12 Dario A. Zappala , Marcelo Barreiro , Cristina Masoller

Arctic amplification has altered the climate patterns both regionally and globally, resulting in more frequent and more intense extreme weather events in the past few decades. The essential part of Arctic amplification is the unprecedented…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-10 Sahara Ali , Jianwu Wang

Climate change is one of the key topics in climate science. However, previous research has predominantly concentrated on changes in mean values, and few research examines changes in Probability Distribution Function (PDF). In this study, a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-30 Zhiang Xie , Dongwei Chen , Puxi Li

Rapidly diminishing Arctic summer sea ice is a strong signal of the pace of global climate change. We provide point, interval, and density forecasts for four measures of Arctic sea ice: area, extent, thickness, and volume. Importantly, we…

The fluctuation statistics of the observed sea ice extent during the satellite era are compared with model output from CMIP5 models using a multi-fractal time series method. The two robust features of the observations are that on annual to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-02 Sahil Agarwal , John S. Wettlaufer

Predicting Arctic sea ice extent is a notoriously difficult forecasting problem, even for lead times as short as one month. Motivated by Arctic intraannual variability phenomena such as reemergence of sea surface temperature and sea ice…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-10-17 Darin Comeau , Dimitrios Giannakis , Zhizhen Zhao , Andrew J. Majda

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index, a measure of sea-level atmospheric pressure variability, holds significant influence over weather patterns in North America and Northern Europe. A negative (positive) NAO value signifies increased…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-12 Alka Yadav , Sourish Das , Anirban Chakraborti , Sudeep Shukla