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Conditional density estimation is complicated by multimodality, heteroscedasticity, and strong non-Gaussianity. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a principled nonparametric framework with calibrated uncertainty, but standard GP regression is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Vardaan Tekriwal , Mark D. Risser , Hengrui Luo , Marcus M. Noack

A series of novel filters for probabilistic inference that propose an alternative way of performing Bayesian updates, called particle flow filters, have been attracting recent interest. These filters provide approximate solutions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Flávio Eler De Melo , Simon Maskell , Matteo Fasiolo , Fred Daum

We present an operator learning framework for solving non-perturbative functional renormalization group equations, which are integro-differential equations defined on functionals. Our proposed approach uses Gaussian process operator…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Xianjin Yang , Matthieu Darcy , Matthew Hudes , Francis J. Alexander , Gregory Eyink , Houman Owhadi

Gaussian smoothing (GS) is a derivative-free optimization (DFO) algorithm that estimates the gradient of an objective using perturbations of the current parameters sampled from a standard normal distribution. We generalize it to sampling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Katelyn Gao , Ozan Sener

This work describes the implementation of a data-driven approach for the reduction of the complexity of parametrical partial differential equations (PDEs) employing Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) and Gaussian Process Regression…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Giulio Ortali , Nicola Demo , Gianluigi Rozza

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely recognized as powerful non-parametric models for regression and classification. Traditional GP frameworks predominantly operate under the assumption that the inputs are either accurately known or subject…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-14 Muzaffar Qureshi , Tochukwu Elijah Ogri , Zachary I. Bell , Wanjiku A. Makumi , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

The understanding and modeling of complex physical phenomena through dynamical systems has historically driven scientific progress, as it provides the tools for predicting the behavior of different systems under diverse conditions through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Karin L. Yu , Eleni Chatzi , Georgios Kissas

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a class of kernel methods that have shown to be very useful in geoscience applications. They are widely used because they are simple, flexible and provide very accurate estimates for nonlinear problems,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Juan Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a non-parametric, Bayesian framework to approximate complex models. Standard GP regression can lead to an unbounded model in which some points can take infeasible values. We introduce a new GP method that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-04 Didem Kochan , Xiu Yang

We investigate an empirical Bayesian nonparametric approach to a family of linear inverse problems with Gaussian prior and Gaussian noise. We consider a class of Gaussian prior probability measures with covariance operator indexed by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Junxiong Jia , Jigen Peng , Jinghuai Gao

The object of this paper is a one-dimensional generalized porous media equation (PDE) with possibly discontinuous coefficient $\beta$, which is well-posed as an evolution problem in $L^1(\mathbb{R})$. In some recent papers of Blanchard et…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-17 Nadia Belaribi , François Cuvelier , Francesco Russo

Differential equations are important mechanistic models that are integral to many scientific and engineering applications. With the abundance of available data there has been a growing interest in data-driven physics-informed models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Oliver Hamelijnck , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

Gaussian process (GP) models that combine both categorical and continuous input variables have found use in analysis of longitudinal data and computer experiments. However, standard inference for these models has the typical cubic scaling,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-10 Juho Timonen , Harri Lähdesmäki

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to describe the time evolution of natural phenomena across various scientific fields. Estimating the parameters of these systems from data is a challenging task, particularly when…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-23 S. Syafiie , Aries Subiantoro , Vivi Andasari , Fernando Tadeo

Differential equations in general and neural ODEs in particular are an essential technique in continuous-time system identification. While many deterministic learning algorithms have been designed based on numerical integration via the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-18 Lenart Treven , Philippe Wenk , Florian Dörfler , Andreas Krause

We present a parameter estimation method in Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) models. Due to complex relationships between parameters and states the use of standard techniques such as nonlinear least squares can lead to the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-11 Quentin Clairon

Mechanistic simulation models are inverted against observations in order to gain inference on modeled processes. However, with the increasing ability to collect high resolution observations, these observations represent more patterns of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-20 Thomas Wutzler

This article revisits the approximation problem of systems of nonlinear delay differential equations (DDEs) by a set of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). We work in Hilbert spaces endowed with a natural inner product including a point…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-09-11 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Michael Ghil , Honghu Liu , Shouhong Wang

Derivatives are a key nonparametric functional in wide-ranging applications where the rate of change of an unknown function is of interest. In the Bayesian paradigm, Gaussian processes (GPs) are routinely used as a flexible prior for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Zejian Liu , Meng Li

Gaussian mixtures are a powerful and widely used tool to model non-Gaussian estimation problems. They are able to describe measurement errors that follow arbitrary distributions and can represent ambiguity in assignment tasks like point set…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Tim Pfeifer , Sven Lange , Peter Protzel