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We describe a set of Gaussian Process based approaches that can be used to solve non-linear Ordinary Differential Equations. We suggest an explicit probabilistic solver and two implicit methods, one analogous to Picard iteration and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-19 David Barber

Linear partial differential equations (PDEs) are an important, widely applied class of mechanistic models, describing physical processes such as heat transfer, electromagnetism, and wave propagation. In practice, specialized numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Marvin Pförtner , Ingo Steinwart , Philipp Hennig , Jonathan Wenger

We introduce a simple, rigorous, and unified framework for solving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs), and for solving inverse problems (IPs) involving the identification of parameters in PDEs, using the framework of Gaussian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-12 Yifan Chen , Bamdad Hosseini , Houman Owhadi , Andrew M Stuart

Data in many applications follows systems of Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs). This paper presents a novel algorithmic and symbolic construction for covariance functions of Gaussian Processes (GPs) with realizations strictly following…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Andreas Besginow , Markus Lange-Hegermann

Probabilistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) solvers have been introduced over the past decade as uncertainty-aware numerical integrators. They typically proceed by assuming a functional prior to the ODE solution, which is then…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Yvann Le Fay , Simo Särkkä , Adrien Corenflos

In this paper, we propose a progressive Bayesian procedure, where the measurement information is continuously included into the given prior estimate (although we perform observations at discrete time steps). The key idea is to derive a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-04-03 Uwe D. Hanebeck , Jannik Steinbring

Computer simulations of differential equations require a time discretization, which inhibits to identify the exact solution with certainty. Probabilistic simulations take this into account via uncertainty quantification. The construction of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Philipp Frank , Torsten A. Enßlin

The interpretation of numerical methods, such as finite difference methods for differential equations, as point estimators allows for formal statistical quantification of the error due to discretisation in the numerical context. Competing…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 Junyang Wang , Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates

Gaussian processes (GPs) are versatile tools that have been successfully employed to solve nonlinear estimation problems in machine learning, but that are rarely used in signal processing. In this tutorial, we present GPs for regression as…

Stiff ordinary differential equations (ODEs) play an important role in many scientific and engineering applications. Often, the dependence of the solution of the ODE on additional parameters is of interest, e.g.\ when dealing with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Idoia Cortes Garcia , P. Förster , W. Schilders , S. Schöps

This work develops a class of probabilistic algorithms for the numerical solution of nonlinear, time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs). Current state-of-the-art PDE solvers treat the space- and time-dimensions separately,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Nicholas Krämer , Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig

There is resurging interest, in statistics and machine learning, in solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs) that return probability measures instead of point estimates. Recently, Conrad et al. introduced a sampling-based class of…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Hans Kersting , Philipp Hennig

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a principled probabilistic model over functions, but exact inference is restricted to the linear-Gaussian regime. We establish an explicit equivalence between GPs and a class of linear diffusion models,…

Gaussian processes (GPs) based methods for solving partial differential equations (PDEs) demonstrate great promise by bridging the gap between the theoretical rigor of traditional numerical algorithms and the flexible design of machine…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Xianjin Yang , Houman Owhadi

Inferring the parameters of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) from noisy observations is an important problem in many scientific fields. Currently, most parameter estimation methods that bypass numerical integration tend to rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-25 Mingwei Xu , Samuel W. K. Wong , Peijun Sang

Likelihood-free (a.k.a. simulation-based) inference problems are inverse problems with expensive, or intractable, forward models. ODE inverse problems are commonly treated as likelihood-free, as their forward map has to be numerically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-01 Hans Kersting , Nicholas Krämer , Martin Schiegg , Christian Daniel , Michael Tiemann , Philipp Hennig

Estimating the parameters of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) is of fundamental importance in many scientific applications. While ODEs are typically approximated with deterministic algorithms, new research on probabilistic solvers…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-08 Mohan Wu , Martin Lysy

The interpretation of numerical methods, such as finite difference methods for differential equations, as point estimators suggests that formal uncertainty quantification can also be performed in this context. Competing statistical…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-09-24 Junyang Wang , Jon Cockayne , Chris J. Oates

This paper develops a probabilistic numerical method for solution of partial differential equations (PDEs) and studies application of that method to PDE-constrained inverse problems. This approach enables the solution of challenging inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-12 Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates , Tim Sullivan , Mark Girolami

The numerical solution of differential equations can be formulated as an inference problem to which formal statistical approaches can be applied. However, nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) pose substantial challenges from an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Junyang Wang , Jon Cockayne , Oksana Chkrebtii , T. J. Sullivan , Chris. J. Oates
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