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We explore a method of statistical estimation called Maximum Entropy on the Mean (MEM) which is based on an information-driven criterion that quantifies the compliance of a given point with a reference prior probability measure. At the core…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Yakov Vaisbourd , Rustum Choksi , Ariel Goodwin , Tim Hoheisel , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

We study function estimation in the empirical Bayes setting for Poisson and normal means. Specifically, given observations $Y_i\sim f(\cdot; \theta_i)$ with latent parameters $\theta_i\sim \pi$, the goal is to estimate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Benjamin Kang , Yury Polyanskiy , Anzo Teh

We study the sample complexity of multiclass prediction in several learning settings. For the PAC setting our analysis reveals a surprising phenomenon: In sharp contrast to binary classification, we show that there exist multiclass…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-19 Amit Daniely , Sivan Sabato , Shai Ben-David , Shai Shalev-Shwartz

This paper presents uniform estimation and inference theory for a large class of nonparametric partitioning-based M-estimators. The main theoretical results include: (i) uniform consistency for convex and non-convex objective functions;…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Matias D. Cattaneo , Yingjie Feng , Boris Shigida

Let $S=\sum_{i=1}^{+\infty}\lambda_{i}Z_{i}$ where the $Z_{i}$'s are i.d.d. positive with $\mathbb{E}\| Z\| ^{3}<+\infty$ and $(\lambda_{i})_{i\in\mathbb{N}}$ a positive nonincreasing sequence such that $\sum\lambda_{i}<+\infty$. We study…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-20 André Mas

Estimating linear, mean-square continuous functionals is a pivotal challenge in statistics. In high-dimensional contexts, this estimation is often performed under the assumption of exact model sparsity, meaning that only a small number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Jelena Bradic , Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Yinchu Zhu

The classical asymptotic theory for parametric $M$-estimators guarantees that, in the limit of infinite sample size, the excess risk has a chi-square type distribution, even in the misspecified case. We demonstrate how self-concordance of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Dmitrii Ostrovskii , Francis Bach

Convergence and convergence rate analyses of adaptive methods, such as Adaptive Moment Estimation (Adam) and its variants, have been widely studied for nonconvex optimization. The analyses are based on assumptions that the expected or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Hideaki Iiduka

We consider the problem of federated learning in a one-shot setting in which there are $m$ machines, each observing $n$ sample functions from an unknown distribution on non-convex loss functions. Let $F:[-1,1]^d\to\mathbb{R}$ be the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Arsalan Sharifnassab , Saber Salehkaleybar , S. Jamaloddin Golestani

We investigate the learning dynamics of classifiers in scenarios where classes are separable or classifiers are over-parameterized. In both cases, Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) results in zero training error. However, there are many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Julius Martinetz , Christoph Linse , Thomas Martinetz

The celebrated Bernstein von-Mises theorem ensures that credible regions from Bayesian posterior are well-calibrated when the model is correctly-specified, in the frequentist sense that their coverage probabilities tend to the nominal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

We give improved constants for data dependent and variance sensitive confidence bounds, called empirical Bernstein bounds, and extend these inequalities to hold uniformly over classes of functionswhose growth function is polynomial in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-07-23 Andreas Maurer , Massimiliano Pontil

Graphical models trained using maximum likelihood are a common tool for probabilistic inference of marginal distributions. However, this approach suffers difficulties when either the inference process or the model is approximate. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Justin Domke

Empirical risk minimization stands behind most optimization in supervised machine learning. Under this scheme, labeled data is used to approximate an expected cost (risk), and a learning algorithm updates model-defining parameters in search…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-25 James Schmidt

We study estimation of a multivariate function $f:\mathbf{R}^d\to\mathbf{R}$ when the observations are available from the function $Af$, where $A$ is a known linear operator. Both the Gaussian white noise model and density estimation are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Jussi Klemelä , Enno Mammen

This article develops a general theory for minimum norm interpolating estimators and regularized empirical risk minimizers (RERM) in linear models in the presence of additive, potentially adversarial, errors. In particular, no conditions on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-08 Geoffrey Chinot , Matthias Löffler , Sara van de Geer

We look at stochastic optimization problems through the lens of statistical decision theory. In particular, we address admissibility, in the statistical decision theory sense, of the natural sample average estimator for a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Amitabh Basu , Tu Nguyen , Ao Sun

Missing values arise in most real-world data sets due to the aggregation of multiple sources and intrinsically missing information (sensor failure, unanswered questions in surveys...). In fact, the very nature of missing values usually…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-04 Alexis Ayme , Claire Boyer , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Erwan Scornet

We provide full theoretical guarantees for the convergence behaviour of diffusion-based generative models under the assumption of strongly log-concave data distributions while our approximating class of functions used for score estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Stefano Bruno , Ying Zhang , Dong-Young Lim , Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Sotirios Sabanis

In a smooth semiparametric model, the marginal posterior distribution of the finite dimensional parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of frequentist's efficient estimators. This is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Minwoo Chae