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Traditional finance and macroeconomic models usually assume people can form rational expectations or reach them via a learning path by minimizing prediction errors. The recent Reference Model Based Learning (RMBL) model provides a new…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-05 Jiaoying Pei

In this work we study the semi-supervised framework of confidence set classification with controlled expected size in minimax settings. We obtain semi-supervised minimax rates of convergence under the margin assumption and a H{\"o}lder…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Evgenii Chzhen , Christophe Denis , Mohamed Hebiri

Distributional assumptions have been shown to be necessary for the robust learnability of concept classes when considering the exact-in-the-ball robust risk and access to random examples by Gourdeau et al. (2019). In this paper, we study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Pascale Gourdeau , Varun Kanade , Marta Kwiatkowska , James Worrell

Majority-vote ensembles achieve variance reduction by averaging over diverse, approximately independent base learners. When training data exhibits Markov dependence, as in time-series forecasting, reinforcement learning (RL) replay buffers,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Ibne Farabi Shihab , Sanjeda Akter , Anuj Sharma

We study a class of nonconvex nonsmooth optimization problems in which the objective is a sum of two functions: One function is the average of a large number of differentiable functions, while the other function is proper, lower…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-12 Duy-Nhat Phan , Sedi Bartz , Nilabja Guha , Hung M. Phan

We consider the model selection consistency or sparsistency of a broad set of $\ell_1$-regularized $M$-estimators for linear and non-linear statistical models in a unified fashion. For this purpose, we propose the local structured…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-29 Yen-Huan Li , Jonathan Scarlett , Pradeep Ravikumar , Volkan Cevher

Machine learning algorithms in high-dimensional settings are highly susceptible to the influence of even a small fraction of structured outliers, making robust optimization techniques essential. In particular, within the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Changyu Gao , Andrew Lowy , Xingyu Zhou , Stephen J. Wright

We address the problem of learning an unknown smooth function and its derivatives from noisy pointwise evaluations under the supremum norm. While classical nonparametric regression provides a strong theoretical foundation, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Davide Maran , Marcello Restelli

Stochastic approximation (SA) is a key method used in statistical learning. Recently, its non-asymptotic convergence analysis has been considered in many papers. However, most of the prior analyses are made under restrictive assumptions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-18 Belhal Karimi , Blazej Miasojedow , Eric Moulines , Hoi-To Wai

We consider estimation and inference on average treatment effects under unconfoundedness conditional on the realizations of the treatment variable and covariates. Given nonparametric smoothness and/or shape restrictions on the conditional…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-04 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár

Performative prediction is a framework for learning models that influence the data they intend to predict. We focus on finding classifiers that are performatively stable, i.e. optimal for the data distribution they induce. Standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Mehrnaz Mofakhami , Ioannis Mitliagkas , Gauthier Gidel

We develop a stochastic trust-region algorithm for minimizing the sum of a possibly nonconvex Lipschitz-smooth function that can only be evaluated stochastically and a nonsmooth, deterministic, convex function. This algorithm, which we call…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Robert J. Baraldi , Aurya Javeed , Drew P. Kouri , Katya Scheinberg

We study first-order algorithms that are uniformly stable for empirical risk minimization (ERM) problems that are convex and smooth with respect to $p$-norms, $p \geq 1$. We propose a black-box reduction method that, by employing properties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Simon Vary , David Martínez-Rubio , Patrick Rebeschini

We study online convex optimization under stochastic sub-gradient observation faults, where we introduce adaptive algorithms with minimax optimal regret guarantees. We specifically study scenarios where our sub-gradient observations can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Hakan Gokcesu , Suleyman S. Kozat

Here we propose a general theoretical method for analyzing the risk bound in the presence of adversaries. Specifically, we try to fit the adversarial learning problem into the minimax framework. We first show that the original adversarial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-25 Zhuozhuo Tu , Jingwei Zhang , Dacheng Tao

In a smooth semiparametric estimation problem, the marginal posterior for the parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically normal and satisfy frequentist criteria of optimality if the model is endowed with a suitable prior. It is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-30 P. J. Bickel , B. J. K. Kleijn

Recently there is a large amount of work devoted to the study of Markov chain stochastic gradient methods (MC-SGMs) which mainly focus on their convergence analysis for solving minimization problems. In this paper, we provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-19 Puyu Wang , Yunwen Lei , Yiming Ying , Ding-Xuan Zhou

Currently, machine learning plays an important role in the lives and individual activities of numerous people. Accordingly, it has become necessary to design machine learning algorithms to ensure that discrimination, biased views, or unfair…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-09 Kazuto Fukuchi , Jun Sakuma

The Statistical Learning Theory (SLT) provides the theoretical guarantees for supervised machine learning based on the Empirical Risk Minimization Principle (ERMP). Such principle defines an upper bound to ensure the uniform convergence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-15 Rodrigo Fernandes de Mello , Moacir Antonelli Ponti , Carlos Henrique Grossi Ferreira

We study model-based reinforcement learning in an unknown finite communicating Markov decision process. We propose a simple algorithm that leverages a variance based confidence interval. We show that the proposed algorithm, UCRL-V, achieves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-12 Aristide Tossou , Debabrota Basu , Christos Dimitrakakis
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