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Adaptive Monte Carlo schemes developed over the last years usually seek to ensure ergodicity of the sampling process in line with MCMC tradition. This poses constraints on what is possible in terms of adaptation. In the general case…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-22 Ingmar Schuster

This survey explores the development of adjoint Monte Carlo methods for solving optimization problems governed by kinetic equations, a common challenge in areas such as plasma control and device design. These optimization problems are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Russel Caflisch , Yunan Yang

We propose sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods for sampling the posterior distribution of state-space models under highly informative observation regimes, a situation in which standard SMC methods can perform poorly. A special case is…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-10 Pierre Del Moral , Lawrence M. Murray

As it has become common to use many computer cores in routine applications, finding good ways to parallelize popular algorithms has become increasingly important. In this paper, we present a parallelization scheme for Markov chain Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-01 Guillaume W. Basse , Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a class of Monte Carlo methods that are used to obtain random samples of a high dimensional random variable in a sequential fashion. Many problems encountered in applications often involve different…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-20 Chencheng Cai , Rong Chen , Ming Lin

We study an element agglomeration coarsening strategy that requires data redistribution at coarse levels when the number of coarse elements becomes smaller than the used computational units (cores). The overall procedure generates coarse…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Hillary R. Fairbanks , Delyan Z. Kalchev , Chak Shing Lee , Panayot S. Vassilevski

In the first part of this paper we study approximations of trajectories of Piecewise Deter-ministic Processes (PDP) when the flow is not explicit by the thinning method. We also establish a strong error estimate for PDPs as well as a weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-10 Vincent Lemaire , Michèle Thieullen , Nicolas Thomas

Monte Carlo simulation is often used for the reliability assessment of power systems, but it converges slowly when the system is complex. Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) can be applied to speed up computation without compromises on model…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-12 Ensieh Sharifnia , Simon Tindemans

In this paper, we aim to compute numerical approximation integral by using an adaptive Monte Carlo algorithm. We propose a stratified sampling algorithm based on an iterative method which splits the strata following some quantities called…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Toni Sayah

A common way to simulate the transport and spread of pollutants in the atmosphere is via stochastic Lagrangian dispersion models. Mathematically, these models describe turbulent transport processes with stochastic differential equations…

We consider the numerical approximation of $\mathbb{P}[G\in \Omega]$ where the $d$-dimensional random variable $G$ cannot be sampled directly, but there is a hierarchy of increasingly accurate approximations $\{G_\ell\}_{\ell\in\mathbb{N}}$…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-21 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Jonathan Spence , Aretha Teckentrup

Because of their robustness, efficiency and non-intrusiveness, Monte Carlo methods are probably the most popular approach in uncertainty quantification to computing expected values of quantities of interest (QoIs). Multilevel Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-12 Marcus J. Grote , Simon Michel , Fabio Nobile

The efficient simulation of the mean value of a non-linear functional of the solution to a linear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) with additive Gaussian noise is considered. A Galerkin finite element method is employed along…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Andreas Petersson

We present a multi-lattice kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) approach that efficiently describes the atomistic dynamics of morphological transitions between commensurate structures at crystal surfaces. As an example we study the reduction of a…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2015-01-09 Max J. Hoffmann , Matthias Scheffler , Karsten Reuter

The performance of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers heavily depends on the tuning of the Markov kernels used in the path proposal. For SMC samplers with unadjusted Markov kernels, standard tuning objectives, such as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-11 Kyurae Kim , Zuheng Xu , Jacob R. Gardner , Trevor Campbell

The order of convergence of the Monte Carlo method is 1/2 which means that we need quadruple samples to decrease the error in half in the numerical simulation. Multilevel Monte Carlo methods reach the same order of error by spending less…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-02-27 Myoungnyoun Kim , Imbo Sim

In plasma edge simulations, kinetic Monte Carlo (MC) is often used to simulate neutral particles and estimate source terms. For large-sized reactors, like ITER and DEMO, high particle collision rates lead to a substantial computational cost…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Zhirui Tang , Emil Løvbak , Julian Koellermeier , Giovanni Samaey

We introduce a Monte Carlo Virtual Element estimator based on Virtual Element discretizations for stochastic elliptic partial differential equations with random diffusion coefficients. We prove estimates for the statistical approximation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Paola F. Antonietti , Francesca Bonizzoni , Ilaria Perugia , Marco Verani

The standard Kernel Quadrature method for numerical integration with random point sets (also called Bayesian Monte Carlo) is known to converge in root mean square error at a rate determined by the ratio $s/d$, where $s$ and $d$ encode the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-01 Francois-Xavier Briol , Chris J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , Wilson Ye Chen , Mark Girolami

Operator learning is a rapidly growing field that aims to approximate nonlinear operators related to partial differential equations (PDEs) using neural operators. These rely on discretization of input and output functions and are, usually,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 James Rowbottom , Stefania Fresca , Pietro Lio , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb , Nicolas Boullé
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