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Forecasting tasks using large datasets gathering thousands of heterogeneous time series is a crucial statistical problem in numerous sectors. The main challenge is to model a rich variety of time series, leverage any available external…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Etienne David , Jean Bellot , Sylvain Le Corff

The accurate numerical solution of partial differential equations is a central task in numerical analysis allowing to model a wide range of natural phenomena by employing specialized solvers depending on the scenario of application. Here,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Moritz Reh , Martin Gärttner

We extend previous mean-field approaches for non-equilibrium neural network models to estimate correlations in the system. This offers a powerful tool for approximating the system dynamics as well as a fast method to infer network…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-01-27 Ángel Poc-López , Miguel Aguilera

Designing appropriate variational regularization schemes is a crucial part of solving inverse problems, making them better-posed and guaranteeing that the solution of the associated optimization problem satisfies desirable properties.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Ronan Fablet , Lucas Drumetz , Francois Rousseau

We present a generative modeling approach based on the variational inference framework for likelihood-free simulation-based inference. The method leverages latent variables within variational autoencoders to efficiently estimate complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Mayank Nautiyal , Andrey Shternshis , Andreas Hellander , Prashant Singh

Network data is increasingly being used in quantitative, data-driven public policy research. These are typically very rich datasets that contain complex correlations and inter-dependencies. This richness both promises to be quite useful for…

We present a statistical framework to benchmark the performance of reconstruction algorithms for linear inverse problems, in particular, neural-network-based methods that require large quantities of training data. We generate synthetic…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-05 Pakshal Bohra , Pol del Aguila Pla , Jean-François Giovannelli , Michael Unser

For three decades statistical mechanics has been providing a framework to analyse neural networks. However, the theoretically tractable models, e.g., perceptrons, random features models and kernel machines, or multi-index models and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Jean Barbier , Francesco Camilli , Minh-Toan Nguyen , Mauro Pastore , Rudy Skerk

Initial value problems -- a system of ordinary differential equations and corresponding initial conditions -- can be used to describe many physical phenomena including those arise in classical mechanics. We have developed a novel approach…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-05-27 Jack Griffiths , Steven A. Wrathmall , Simon A. Gardiner

Reliable training of generative adversarial networks (GANs) typically require massive datasets in order to model complicated distributions. However, in several applications, training samples obey invariances that are \textit{a priori}…

Sampling complex free energy surfaces is one of the main challenges of modern atomistic simulation methods. The presence of kinetic bottlenecks in such surfaces often renders a direct approach useless. A popular strategy is to identify a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-25 Luigi Bonati , Yue-Yu Zhang , Michele Parrinello

We propose and investigate new complementary methodologies for estimating predictive variance networks in regression neural networks. We derive a locally aware mini-batching scheme that result in sparse robust gradients, and show how to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Nicki S. Detlefsen , Martin Jørgensen , Søren Hauberg

In this paper, we propose a stochastic optimization method that adaptively controls the sample size used in the computation of gradient approximations. Unlike other variance reduction techniques that either require additional storage or the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Raghu Bollapragada , Richard Byrd , Jorge Nocedal

We present a new approach to a classical problem in statistical physics: estimating the partition function and other thermodynamic quantities of the ferromagnetic Ising model. Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for this problem have been…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-06-20 Amanda Streib , Noah Streib , Isabel Beichl , Francis Sullivan

We propose a general framework for the estimation of observables with generative neural samplers focusing on modern deep generative neural networks that provide an exact sampling probability. In this framework, we present asymptotically…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-05 Kim A. Nicoli , Shinichi Nakajima , Nils Strodthoff , Wojciech Samek , Klaus-Robert Müller , Pan Kessel

Continuous-time Bayesian networks is a natural structured representation language for multicomponent stochastic processes that evolve continuously over time. Despite the compact representation, inference in such models is intractable even…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Ido Cohn , Tal El-Hay , Nir Friedman , Raz Kupferman

We present a statistical mechanics approach for the description of complex networks. We first define an energy and an entropy associated to a degree distribution which have a geometrical interpretation. Next we evaluate the distribution…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Ginestra Bianconi

Well-calibrated probabilistic regression models are a crucial learning component in robotics applications as datasets grow rapidly and tasks become more complex. Unfortunately, classical regression models are usually either probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Hany Abdulsamad , Peter Nickl , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

Classical methods of solving spatiotemporal dynamical systems include statistical approaches such as autoregressive integrated moving average, which assume linear and stationary relationships between systems' previous outputs. Development…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-02-16 Yonggi Park , Kelum Gajamannage , Dilhani I. Jayathilake , Erik M. Bollt

We study analytically and numerically a Hopfield fully-connected network with $d$-dimensional vector spins. These networks are models of associative memory that generalize the standard Hopfield with Ising spins, where $P$ examples are…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-02-17 Flavio Nicoletti , Francesco D'Amico , Matteo Negri