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We consider the problem of state estimation in general state-space models using variational inference. For a generic variational family defined using the same backward decomposition as the actual joint smoothing distribution, we establish…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-02 Mathis Chagneux , Élisabeth Gassiat , Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff

The aim of this paper is to derive macroscopic equations for processes on large co-evolving networks, examples being opinion polarization with the emergence of filter bubbles or other social processes such as norm development. This leads to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-04-29 Martin Burger

Statistical learning relies upon data sampled from a distribution, and we usually do not care what actually generated it in the first place. From the point of view of causal modeling, the structure of each distribution is induced by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Giambattista Parascandolo , Niki Kilbertus , Mateo Rojas-Carulla , Bernhard Schölkopf

Studying general quantum many-body systems is one of the major challenges in modern physics because it requires an amount of computational resources that scales exponentially with the size of the system.Simulating the evolution of a state,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-07-03 Andrea Rocchetto , Edward Grant , Sergii Strelchuk , Giuseppe Carleo , Simone Severini

A novel variational inference based resampling framework is proposed to evaluate the robustness and generalization capability of deep learning models with respect to distribution shift. We use Auto Encoding Variational Bayes to find a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Xudong Sun , Alexej Gossmann , Yu Wang , Bernd Bischl

Given observations of a physical system, identifying the underlying non-linear governing equation is a fundamental task, necessary both for gaining understanding and generating deterministic future predictions. Of most practical relevance…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-02 A. Goeßmann , M. Götte , I. Roth , R. Sweke , G. Kutyniok , J. Eisert

In this article, normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) autoregressive model is introduced. The parameters of the model are estimated using Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm. The efficacy of the EM algorithm is shown using simulated and real…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-16 Monika Singh Dhull , Arun Kumar

We consider chance-constrained problems with discrete random distribution. We aim for problems with a large number of scenarios. We propose a novel method based on the stochastic gradient descent method which performs updates of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Lukáš Adam , Martin Branda

We propose a simple algorithm to train stochastic neural networks to draw samples from given target distributions for probabilistic inference. Our method is based on iteratively adjusting the neural network parameters so that the output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-01 Yihao Feng , Dilin Wang , Qiang Liu

Probabilistic graphical models are a key tool in machine learning applications. Computing the partition function, i.e., normalizing constant, is a fundamental task of statistical inference but it is generally computationally intractable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-29 Sungsoo Ahn , Michael Chertkov , Adrian Weller , Jinwoo Shin

Learning to sample from complex unnormalized distributions over discrete domains emerged as a promising research direction with applications in statistical physics, variational inference, and combinatorial optimization. Recent work has…

Gaussian state space models have been used for decades as generative models of sequential data. They admit an intuitive probabilistic interpretation, have a simple functional form, and enjoy widespread adoption. We introduce a unified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-06 Rahul G. Krishnan , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

Stochastic gradient methods are among the most widely used algorithms for large-scale optimization and machine learning. A key technique for improving the statistical efficiency and stability of these methods is the use of averaging schemes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-11 K. Lakshmanan

Autoregressive generative models consistently achieve the best results in density estimation tasks involving high dimensional data, such as images or audio. They pose density estimation as a sequence modeling task, where a recurrent neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-29 Xi Chen , Nikhil Mishra , Mostafa Rohaninejad , Pieter Abbeel

In recent years, scientific machine learning, particularly physic-informed neural networks (PINNs), has introduced new innovative methods to understanding the differential equations that describe power system dynamics, providing a more…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-12 Huynh T. T. Tran , Hieu T. Nguyen

We demonstrate the use of a probabilistic machine learning technique to develop stochastic parameterizations of atmospheric column-physics. After suitable preprocessing of NASA's Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-01 B. T. Nadiga , X. Sun , C. Nash

Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) are expressive latent variable models that can be used to learn complex probability distributions from training data. However, the quality of the resulting model crucially relies on the expressiveness of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Lars Mescheder , Sebastian Nowozin , Andreas Geiger

Variational tensor network optimization has become a powerful tool for studying classical statistical models in two dimensions. However, its application to three-dimensional systems remains limited, primarily due to the high computational…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-14 Xia-Ze Xu , Tong-Yu Lin , Guang-Ming Zhang

As power systems evolve with the increasing integration of renewable energy sources and smart grid technologies, there is a growing demand for flexible and scalable modeling approaches capable of capturing the complex dynamics of modern…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-08 Amir Bahador Javadi , Philip Pong

Growing interest in modelling complex systems from brains to societies to cities using networks has led to increased efforts to describe generative processes that explain those networks. Recent successes in machine learning have prompted…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Govind Gandhi
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