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We construct uncertainty intervals for weak Poisson signals in the presence of background. We consider the case where a primary experiment yields a realization of the signal plus background, and a second experiment yields a realization of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-10-19 K. J. Coakley , J. D. Splett , D. S. Simons

In various high-energy physics contexts, such as neutrino-oscillation experiments, several assumptions underlying the typical asymptotic confidence interval construction are violated, such that one has to resort to computationally expensive…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2024-05-09 Lukas Berns

When searching for new physics effects, collaborations will often wish to publish upper limits and intervals with a lower confidence level than the threshold they would set to claim an excess or a discovery. However, confidence intervals…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-02-20 Knut Dundas Morå

High precision radio-frequency, microwave and infrared spectroscopic measurements of the antihydrogen molecular ion $\bar{H}_{2}^{-}$ ($\bar{p}\bar{p}e^{+}$) compared with its normal matter counterpart provide direct tests of the CPT…

Atomic Physics · Physics 2018-07-30 Edmund G. Myers

The unified approach of Feldman and Cousins allows for exact statistical inference of small signals that commonly arise in high energy physics. It has gained widespread use, for instance, in measurements of neutrino oscillation parameters…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-08 Lingge Li , Nitish Nayak , Jianming Bian , Pierre Baldi

The ASACUSA (Atomic Spectroscopy And Collisions Using Slow Antiprotons) collaboration plans to measure the ground-state hyperfine splitting of antihydrogen in a beam at the CERN Antiproton Decelerator with initial relative precision of 10-6…

One of the ASACUSA (Atomic Spectroscopy And Collisions Using Slow Antiprotons) collaboration's goals is the measurement of the ground state hyperfine transition frequency in antihydrogen, the antimatter counterpart of one of the best known…

We present an algorithm which allows a fast numerical computation of Feldman-Cousins confidence intervals for Poisson processes, even when the number of background events is relatively large. This algorithm incorporates an appropriate…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-10-31 J. A. Aguilar-Saavedra

A measurement of the hyperfine structure of antihydrogen promises one of the best tests of CPT symmetry. We describe an experiment planned at the Antiproton Decelerator of CERN to measure this quantity in a beam of slow antihydrogen atoms.

We report on preliminary results from a systematic study of the hyperfine (HF) structure of antiprotonic helium. This precise measurement which was commenced in 2006, has now been completed. Our initial analysis shows no apparent density or…

Atomic Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 T. Pask

One way to incorporate systematic uncertainties into the calculation of confidence intervals is by integrating over probability density functions parametrizing the uncertainties. In this note we present a development of this method which…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-11-07 J. Conrad , O. Botner , A. Hallgren , Carlos P. de los Heros

The purpose of this paper is to propose methodologies for statistical inference of low-dimensional parameters with high-dimensional data. We focus on constructing confidence intervals for individual coefficients and linear combinations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-05 Cun-Hui Zhang , Stephanie S. Zhang

Expected coverage and expected length of 90% upper and lower limit and 68.27% central intervals are plotted as functions of the true signal for various values of expected background. Results for several objective priors are shown, and…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 Ilya Narsky

In high energy physics, a widely used method to treat systematic uncertainties in confidence interval calculations is based on combining a frequentist construction of confidence belts with a Bayesian treatment of systematic uncertainties.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Fredrik Tegenfeldt , Jan Conrad

In regimes of low signal strengths and therefore a small signal-to-noise ratio, standard data analysis methods often fail to accurately estimate system properties. We present a method based on Monte Carlo simulations to effectively restore…

In this note we consider coverage of confidence intervals calculated with and without systematic uncertainties. These calculations follow the prescription originally proposed by Cousins & Highland but here extended to account for different…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Conrad , O. Botner , A. Hallgren , C. P. de los Heros

CERN announced in January 1996 the detection of the first eleven atoms of antimatter ever produced. The experiment was based on a method proposed earlier by S. Brodsky, C. Munger and I. Schmidt, and which furthermore predicted exactly the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-30 Ivan Schmidt

Statistical methods of presenting experimental results in constraining the neutrino mass hierarchy (MH) are discussed. Two problems are considered and are related to each other: how to report the findings for observed experimental data, and…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2013-01-22 X. Qian , A. Tan , W. Wang , J. J. Ling , R. D. McKeown , C. Zhang

In this note we present studies of coverage and power for confidence intervals for a Poisson process with known background calculated using the Likelihood ratio (aka Feldman & Cousins) ordering with Bayesian treatment of uncertainties in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-23 Jan Conrad , Fredrik Tegenfeldt
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