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We describe a simple model for speculative trading based on adaptive behavior of economic agents.The adaptive behavior is expressed through a feedback mechanism for changing agents' stock-to-bond ratios, depending on the past performance of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-26 Misha Perepelitsa

In this study, we investigate the statistical properties of the returns and the trading volume. We show a typical example of power-law distributions of the return and of the trading volume. Next, we propose an interacting agent model of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

In this paper, we propose a statistical aggregation method for agent-based models with heterogeneous agents that interact both locally on a complex adaptive network and globally on a market. The method combines three approaches from…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-11-04 Jakob J. Kolb , Finn Müller-Hansen , Jürgen Kurths , Jobst Heitzig

We consider a tick-by-tick model of price formation, in which buy and sell orders are modeled as self-exciting point processes (Hawkes process), similar to the one in [Bacry, Delattre, Hoffmann, Muzy, Modelling microstructure noise with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-27 Paolo Dai Pra , Paolo Pigato

Model predictive control strategies require to solve in an sequential manner, many, possibly non-convex, optimization problems. In this work, we propose an interacting stochastic agent system to solve those problems. The agents evolve in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-21 Giacomo Borghi , Michael Herty

We introduce a stochastic heterogeneous interacting-agent model for the short-time non-equilibrium evolution of excess demand and price in a stylized asset market. We consider a combination of social interaction within peer groups and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-20 Gunter M. Schütz , Fernando Pigeard de Almeida Prado , Rosemary J. Harris , Vladimir Belitsky

We investigate the volatility return intervals in the NYSE and FOREX markets. We explain previous empirical findings using a model based on the interacting agent hypothesis instead of the widely-used efficient market hypothesis. We derive…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-26 Vygintas Gontis , Shlomo Havlin , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Boris Podobnik , H. Eugene Stanley

In this paper we present an interacting-agent model of stock markets. We describe a stock market through an Ising-like model in order to formulate the tendency of traders getting to be influenced by the other traders' investment attitudes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

We are looking for the agent-based treatment of the financial markets considering necessity to build bridges between microscopic, agent based, and macroscopic, phenomenological modeling. The acknowledgment that agent-based modeling…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-01 V. Gontis , A. Kononovicius

Behavioral Finance has become a challenge to the scientific community. Based on the assumption that behavioral aspects of investors may explain some features of the Stock Market, we propose an agent based model to study quantitatively this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-23 F. M. Stefan , A. P. F. Atman

We propose a heterogeneous agent market model (HAM) in continuous time. The market is populated by fundamental traders and chartists, who both use simple linear trading rules. Most of the related literature explores stability, price…

General Economics · Economics 2019-02-27 Zsolt Bihary , Attila András Víg

We propose a Markov jump process with the three-state herding interaction. We see our approach as an agent-based model for the financial markets. Under certain assumptions this agent-based model can be related to the stochastic description…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-05 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

We discuss recent work in the study of a simple model for the collective behaviour of diverse speculative agents in an idealized stockmarket, considered from the perspective of the statistical physics of many-body systems. The only…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 J. P. Garrahan , E. Moro , D. Sherrington

This paper studies a continuous-time market {under stochastic environment} where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a target terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return with multiple stocks and a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-28 Wan-Kai Pang , Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu

The paper is devoted to the approximate consensus problem for networks of nonlinear agents with switching topology, noisy and delayed measurements. In contrast to the existing stochastic approximation-based control algorithms (protocols), a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-06-17 Natalia Amelina , Alexander Fradkov , Yuming Jiang , Dimitrios J. Vergados

This paper presents a model of capital accumulation for a large number of heterogenous producer-consumers in an exchange space in which interactions depend on agents' positions. Each agent is described by his production, consumption, stock…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-26 Pierre Gosselin , Aïleen Lotz , Marc Wambst

We construct a general stochastic process and prove weak convergence results. It is scaled in space and through the parameters of its distribution. We show that our simplified scaling is equivalent to time scaling used frequently. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-01 Mine Caglar

This paper studies a general class of stochastic population processes in which agents interact with one another over a network. Agents update their behaviors in a random and decentralized manner according to a policy that depends only on…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-21 Anirudh Sridhar , Soummya Kar

Stochastic models in which agents interact with their neighborhood according to a network topology are a powerful modeling framework to study the emergence of complex dynamic patterns in real-world systems. Stochastic simulations are often…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Gerrit Großmann , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

Building on a prominent agent-based model, we present a new structural stochastic volatility asset pricing model of fundamentalists vs. chartists where the prices are determined based on excess demand. Specifically, this allows for…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-02 Radu T. Pruna , Maria Polukarov , Nicholas R. Jennings
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