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In this work, we study scaling limits of shallow Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) via their connection to Gaussian processes (GPs), with an emphasis on statistical modeling, identifiability, and scalable inference. We first establish a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-27 Gracielle Antunes de Araújo , Flávio B. Gonçalves

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the product tail probability $ \mathbb{P}(\xi_1\cdots\xi_N \geqslant n), $ where $\{\xi_1,\ldots,\xi_N\}$ is a finite collection of independent Poisson random variables with positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Džiugas Chvoinikov , Jonas Šiaulys

We prove the large-dimensional Gaussian approximation of a sum of $n$ independent random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$ together with fourth-moment error bounds on convex sets and Euclidean balls. We show that compared with classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-03 Xiao Fang , Yuta Koike

We develop goodness-of-fit tests for max-stable random fields, which are used to model heavy-tailed spatial data. The test statistics are constructed based on the Fourier transforms of the indicators of extreme values in the heavy-tailed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-09 Ying Niu , Zhao Chen , Christina Dan Wang , Yuwei Zhao

This paper addresses the question of when projections of a high-dimensional random vector are approximately Gaussian. This problem has been studied previously in the context of high-dimensional data analysis, where the focus is on…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-02 Galen Reeves

We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

Let $X_{i,n},n\in \mathbb{N},1\leq i\leq n$, be a triangular array of independent $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued Gaussian random vectors with correlation matrices $\Sigma_{i,n}$. We give necessary conditions under which the row-wise maxima converge…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-08 Sebastian Engelke , Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather

Motivated by the problem of testing for the existence of a signal of known parametric structure and unknown ``location'' (as explained below) against a noisy background, we obtain for the maximum of a centered, smooth random field an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-27 Yuval Nardi , David O. Siegmund , Benjamin Yakir

We study the tail behavior for the maximum of discrete Gaussian free field on a 2D box with Dirichlet boundary condition after centering by its expectation. We show that it exhibits an exponential decay for the right tail and a double…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-26 Jian Ding

Generalized Linear Model (or GLM) extends the ordinary linear regression by linking the mean of the response variable to covariates through appropriate link functions. GLM is widely used in the analysis of datasets arising from diverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Mayukh Choudhury , Debraj Das

We extend a result of Goldreich and Ron about estimating the collision probability of a hash function. Their estimate has a polynomial tail. We prove that when the load factor is greater than a certain constant, the estimator has a gaussian…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Dawei Hong , Jean-Camille Birget , Shushuang Man

Constant-specified and exponential concentration inequalities play an essential role in the finite-sample theory of machine learning and high-dimensional statistics area. We obtain sharper and constants-specified concentration inequalities…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Huiming Zhang , Haoyu Wei

This paper provides a non-asymptotic analysis of linear stochastic approximation (LSA) algorithms with fixed stepsize. This family of methods arises in many machine learning tasks and is used to obtain approximate solutions of a linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-03 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov , Kevin Scaman , Hoi-To Wai

Despite the ubiquitous use of stochastic optimization algorithms in machine learning, the precise impact of these algorithms and their dynamics on generalization performance in realistic non-convex settings is still poorly understood. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-12 Liam Hodgkinson , Umut Şimşekli , Rajiv Khanna , Michael W. Mahoney

Motivated by the prominence of Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) as a measure for tail risk in settings affected by uncertainty, we develop a new formula for approximating CVaR based optimization objectives and their gradients from limited…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Anand Deo , Karthyek Murthy

The likelihood function of a finite mixture model is a non-convex function with multiple local maxima and commonly used iterative algorithms such as EM will converge to different solutions depending on initial conditions. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-19 Elad Mezuman , Yair Weiss

In this paper we present a method for obtaining tail-bounds for random variables satisfying certain probabilistic recurrences that arise in the analysis of randomized parallel divide and conquer algorithms. In such algorithms, some…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-04-10 Joseph Tassarotti

Let $X_1,..., X_N\in\R^n$ be independent centered random vectors with log-concave distribution and with the identity as covariance matrix. We show that with overwhelming probability at least $1 - 3 \exp(-c\sqrt{n}\r)$ one has $ \sup_{x\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-01 Radosław Adamczak , Alexander E. Litvak , Alain Pajor , Nicole Tomczak-Jaegermann

We study polynomial time algorithms for estimating the mean of a heavy-tailed multivariate random vector. We assume only that the random vector $X$ has finite mean and covariance. In this setting, the radius of confidence intervals achieved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Samuel B. Hopkins

We consider the problem of high-dimensional heavy-tailed statistical estimation in the streaming setting, which is much harder than the traditional batch setting due to memory constraints. We cast this problem as stochastic convex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Aniket Das , Dheeraj Nagaraj , Soumyabrata Pal , Arun Suggala , Prateek Varshney