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In this work we study high probability bounds for stochastic subgradient methods under heavy tailed noise. In this setting the noise is only assumed to have finite variance as opposed to a sub-Gaussian distribution for which it is known…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Daniela A. Parletta , Andrea Paudice , Massimiliano Pontil , Saverio Salzo

Recent years have witnessed much progress on Gaussian and bootstrap approximations to the distribution of sums of independent random vectors with dimension $d$ large relative to the sample size $n$. However, for any number of moments $m>2$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer

In this note we prove bounds on the upper and lower probability tails of sums of independent geometric or exponentially distributed random variables. We also prove negative results showing that our established tail bounds are asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yaonan Jin , Yingkai Li , Yining Wang , Yuan Zhou

In this work, we describe a generic approach to show convergence with high probability for both stochastic convex and non-convex optimization with sub-Gaussian noise. In previous works for convex optimization, either the convergence is only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-01 Zijian Liu , Ta Duy Nguyen , Thien Hang Nguyen , Alina Ene , Huy Lê Nguyen

Models for extreme values are generally derived from limit results, which are meant to be good enough approximations when applied to finite samples. Depending on the speed of convergence of the process underlying the data, these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

Many functions have approximately-known upper and/or lower bounds, potentially aiding the modeling of such functions. In this paper, we introduce Gaussian process models for functions where such bounds are (approximately) known. More…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Vu Nguyen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Michael A. Osborne

We obtain lower tail estimates for the smallest singular value of random matrices with independent but non-identically distributed entries. Specifically, we consider $n\times n$ matrices with complex entries of the form \[ M = A\circ X + B…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-21 Nicholas A. Cook

The paper presents an efficient method for simulating the tails of a target variable Z=h(X) which depends on a set of basic variables X=(X_1, ..., X_n). To this aim, variables X_i, i=1, ..., n are sequentially simulated in such a manner…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Enrique F. Castillo , Cristina Solares , Patricia Gomez

Let $\{Z(\tau,s), (\tau,s)\in [a,b]\times[0,T]\}$ with some positive constants $a,b,T$ be a centered Gaussian random field with variance function $\sigma^{2}(\tau,s)$ satisfying $\sigma^{2}(\tau,s)=\sigma^{2}(\tau)$. We firstly derive the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Zhongquan Tan , Shengchao Zheng

Using tail bounds, we introduce a new probabilistic condition for function estimation in stochastic derivative-free optimization which leads to a reduction in the number of samples and eases algorithmic analyses. Moreover, we develop simple…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Francesco Rinaldi , Luis Nunes Vicente , Damiano Zeffiro

In this paper, we consider a classic problem concerning the high excursion probabilities of a Gaussian random field $f$ living on a compact set $T$. We develop efficient computational methods for the tail probabilities $P(\sup_T f(t) > b)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Xiaoou Li , Jingchen Liu

The tube method or the volume-of-tube method approximates the tail probability of the maximum of a smooth Gaussian random field with zero mean and unit variance. This method evaluates the volume of a spherical tube about the index set, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-10 Satoshi Kuriki , Akimichi Takemura , Jonathan E. Taylor

Associated to each graph G is a Gaussian graphical model. Such models are often used in high-dimensional settings, i.e. where there are relatively few data points compared to the number of variables. The maximum likelihood threshold of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Daniel Irving Bernstein , Hayden Outlaw

We consider the problem of approximating sums of high-dimensional stationary time series by Gaussian vectors, using the framework of functional dependence measure. The validity of the Gaussian approximation depends on the sample size $n$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Danna Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

We consider fully connected and feedforward deep neural networks with dependent and possibly heavy-tailed weights, as introduced in [26], to address limitations of the standard Gaussian prior. It has been proved in [26] that, as the number…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Nicola Apollonio , Giovanni Franzina , Giovanni Luca Torrisi

We study the bootstrap for the maxima of the sums of independent random variables, a problem of high relevance to many applications in modern statistics. Since the consistency of bootstrap was justified by Gaussian approximation in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Hang Deng

Gradient clipping is a commonly used technique to stabilize the training process of neural networks. A growing body of studies has shown that gradient clipping is a promising technique for dealing with the heavy-tailed behavior that emerged…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-26 Shaojie Li , Yong Liu

Over the last two decades, many exciting variable selection methods have been developed for finding a small group of covariates that are associated with the response from a large pool. Can the discoveries from these data mining approaches…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-24 Jianqing Fan , Qi-Man Shao , Wen-Xin Zhou

Gaussian random vectors exhibit the loss of dimension phenomena, which relate to their joint survival tail behaviour. Besides, the fact that the components of such vectors are light-tailed complicates the approximations of various…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 E. Hashorva

We explore how matrix bootstrap techniques can be used to constrain matrix and tensor models at finite $N$, where $N$ is the dimension of the matrix/tensor, taking a Gaussian model with a quartic interaction as example. For matrix models,…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2026-05-04 Samuel Laliberte , Reiko Toriumi
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