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In this paper, we quantify some known approximation to the Curie-Weiss model via applying the Stein method to the Markov chain whose stationary distribution coincides with Curie-Weiss model.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-22 Yingdong Lu

In this note, we give a generalization of Cram\'{e}r's large deviations for martingales, which can be regarded as a supplement of Fan, Grama and Liu (Stochastic Process. Appl., 2013). Our method is based on the change of probability measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

The question of whether the central limit theorem (CLT) holds for the total number of edges in exponential random graph models (ERGMs) in the subcritical region of parameters has remained an open problem. In this paper, we establish the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Xiao Fang , Song-Hao Liu , Qi-Man Shao , Yi-Kun Zhao

We develop Stein's method for the half-normal distribution and apply it to derive rates of convergence in distributional limit theorems for three statistics of the simple symmetric random walk: the maximum value, the number of returns to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Christian Döbler

Perturbations due to round-off errors in computer modeling are discontinuous and therefore one cannot use results like KAM theory about smooth perturbations of twist maps. We elaborate a special approximation scheme to construct two smooth…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 M. Blank , T. Kruger , L. Pustyl'nikov

Our purpose is to prove central limit theorem for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chain under the condition of uniform convergence of transition probability matrices for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chain in Ces\`aro sense. Furthermore,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Mingzhou Xu , Yunzheng Ding , Yongzheng Zhou

Heavy-tailed errors impair the accuracy of the least squares estimate, which can be spoiled by a single grossly outlying observation. As argued in the seminal work of Peter Huber in 1973 [{\it Ann. Statist.} {\bf 1} (1973) 799--821], robust…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-16 Wen-Xin Zhou , Koushiki Bose , Jianqing Fan , Han Liu

The framework of Stein's method for Poisson process approximation is presented from the point of view of Palm theory, which is used to construct Stein identities and define local dependence. A general result (Theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Louis H. Y. Chen , Aihua Xia

The quantum Cram\'er-Rao bound sets a fundamental limit on the accuracy of unbiased parameter estimation in quantum systems, relating the uncertainty in determining a parameter to the inverse of the quantum Fisher information. We…

In this paper, we define a kernel estimator for the tail index of a Pareto-type distribution under random right-truncation and establish its asymptotic normality. A simulation study shows that, compared to the estimators recently proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-02 Souad Benchaira , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

We present an adaptation of Stein's method of normal approximation to the study of both discrete- and continuous-time dynamical systems. We obtain new correlation-decay conditions on dynamical systems for a multivariate central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-12 Olli Hella , Juho Leppänen , Mikko Stenlund

This paper concerns the development of Stein's method for chi-square approximation and its application to problems in statistics. New bounds for the derivatives of the solution of the gamma Stein equation are obtained. These bounds involve…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-30 Robert E. Gaunt , Alastair Pickett , Gesine Reinert

Cramer's theorem provides an estimate for the tail probability of the maximum of a random walk with negative drift and increments having a moment generating function finite in a neighborhood of the origin. The class of (g,F)-processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-24 Ph. Barbe , W. P. McCormick

In this article we propose a general framework for normal approximation using Stein's method. We introduce the new concept of Stein couplings and we show that it lies at the heart of popular approaches such as the local approach,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-27 Louis H. Y. Chen , Adrian Röllin

Variance-Gamma distributions are widely used in financial modelling and contain as special cases the normal, Gamma and Laplace distributions. In this paper we extend Stein's method to this class of distributions. In particular, we obtain a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-01 Robert E. Gaunt

This paper derives exponential tail bounds and polynomial moment inequalities for the spectral norm deviation of a random matrix from its mean value. The argument depends on a matrix extension of Stein's method of exchangeable pairs for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-06 Daniel Paulin , Lester Mackey , Joel A. Tropp

The paper suggests a simple method of deriving minimax lower bounds to the accuracy of statistical inference on heavy tails. A well-known result by Hall and Welsh (Ann. Statist. 12 (1984) 1079-1084) states that if $\hat{\alpha}_n$ is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-14 S. Y. Novak

We prove an asymptotic Cram\'er's theorem, that is, if the sequence $(X_{n}+ Y_{n})_{n\geq 1}$ converges in law to the standard normal distribution and for every $n\geq 1$ the random variables $X_{n}$ and $Y_{n}$ are independent, then…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-22 Ciprian Tudor

Gradient information on the sampling distribution can be used to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators via Stein's method. An important application is that of estimating an expectation of a test function along the sample path of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-29 Chris J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

The term moderate deviations is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between a convergence in probability of some random variables to a constant and a weak convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Rita Giuliano , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti
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