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We study the qualitative and quantitative zero-reachability problem in probabilistic multi-counter systems. We identify the undecidable variants of the problems, and then we concentrate on the remaining two cases. In the first case, when we…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-28 Tomáš Brázdil , Stefan Kiefer , Antonín Kučera , Petr Novotný , Joost-Pieter Katoen

In the context of Markov decision processes running in continuous time, one of the most intriguing challenges is the efficient approximation of finite horizon reachability objectives. A multitude of sophisticated model checking algorithms…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-08-03 Yuliya Butkova , Hassan Hatefi , Holger Hermanns , Jan Krcal

We propose a new approach to compute an interval over-approximation of the finite time reachable set for a large class of nonlinear systems. This approach relies on the notions of sensitivity matrices, which are the partial derivatives…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-19 Pierre-Jean Meyer , Murat Arcak

We consider the maximal reach-avoid probability to a target in finite horizon for semi-Markov decision processes with time-varying obstacles. Since the variance of the obstacle set, the model \eqref{Model} is non-homogeneous. To overcome…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Yanyun Li , Xianping Guo

Motivated by robotic surveillance applications, this paper studies the novel problem of maximizing the return time entropy of a Markov chain, subject to a graph topology with travel times and stationary distribution. The return time entropy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Xiaoming Duan , Mishel George , Francesco Bullo

The paper addresses the problem of computing maximal conditional expected accumulated rewards until reaching a target state (briefly called maximal conditional expectations) in finite-state Markov decision processes where the condition is…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Christel Baier , Joachim Klein , Sascha Klüppelholz , Sascha Wunderlich

Markov chains are a class of probabilistic models that have achieved widespread application in the quantitative sciences. This is in part due to their versatility, but is compounded by the ease with which they can be probed analytically.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Eddie Seabrook , Laurenz Wiskott

In this paper we develop a statistical estimation technique to recover the transition kernel $P$ of a Markov chain $X=(X_m)_{m \in \mathbb N}$ in presence of censored data. We consider the situation where only a sub-sequence of $X$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-05 Flavia Barsotti , Yohann De Castro , Thibault Espinasse , Paul Rochet

Time-homogeneous Markov chains are often used as disease progression models in studies of cost-effectiveness and optimal decision-making. Maximum likelihood estimation of these models can be challenging when data are collected at a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-26 Duncan Ermini Leaf

Continuous-time Markov chains are mathematical models that are used to describe the state-evolution of dynamical systems under stochastic uncertainty, and have found widespread applications in various fields. In order to make these models…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-22 Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Arno Siebes

Probabilistic guarantees of safety and performance are important in constrained dynamical systems with stochastic uncertainty. We consider the stochastic reachability problem, which maximizes the probability that the state remains within…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Abraham P. Vinod , Meeko M. K. Oishi

We derive explicit upper bounds for the $\bar{d}$-distance between a chain of infinite order and its canonical $k$-steps Markov approximation. Our proof is entirely constructive and involves a "coupling from the past" argument. The new…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-16 Sandro Gallo , Matthieu Lerasle , Daniel Yasumasa Takahashi

The majority of existing probabilistic model checking case studies are based on well understood theoretical models and distributions. However, real-life probabilistic systems usually involve distribution parameters whose values are obtained…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2013-08-29 Guoxin Su , David S. Rosenblum

Scaled type Markov renewal processes generalize classical renewal processes: renewal times come from a one parameter family of probability laws and the sequence of the parameters is the trajectory of an ergodic Markov chain. Our primary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Zsolt Pajor-Gyulai , Domokos Szász

We analyse the structure of imprecise Markov chains and study their convergence by means of accessibility relations. We first identify the sets of states, so-called minimal permanent classes, that are the minimal sets capable of containing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Damjan Skulj

Random walks (or Markov chains) are models extensively used in theoretical computer science. Several tools, including analysis of quantities such as hitting and mixing times, are helpful for devising randomized algorithms. A notable example…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-07-12 Lorenzo Laneve , Francesco Tacchino , Ivano Tavernelli

We are concerned with three types of uncertainties: probabilistic, possibilitistic and interval. By using possibility and necessity measures as an Interval Valued Probability Measure (IVPM), we present IVPM's interval expected values whose…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-01-25 Phantipa Thipwiwatpotjana , Weldon A. Lodwick

We study qualitative multi-objective reachability problems for Ordered Branching Markov Decision Processes (OBMDPs), or equivalently context-free MDPs, building on prior results for single-target reachability on Branching Markov Decision…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Kousha Etessami , Emanuel Martinov

In this paper, we address a collection of state space reachability problems, for linear time-invariant systems, using a minimal number of actuators. In particular, we design a zero-one diagonal input matrix B, with a minimal number of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-08-17 Vasileios Tzoumas , Ali Jadbabaie , George J. Pappas

We propose a solution to a time-varying variant of Markov Decision Processes which can be used to address decision-theoretic planning problems for autonomous systems operating in unstructured outdoor environments. We explore the time…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Junhong Xu , Kai Yin , Lantao Liu