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The appropriateness of the Poisson model is frequently challenged when examining spatial count data marked by unbalanced distributions, over-dispersion, or under-dispersion. Moreover, traditional parametric models may inadequately capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-26 Mahsa Nadifar , Andriette Bekker , Mohammad Arashi , Abel Ramoelo

Tropical cyclone and sea surface temperature data have been used in several studies to forecast the total number of hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin. Sea surface temperature (SST) and latent heat flux (LHF) are correlated with tropical…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-10 Marcela Alfaro Córdoba , Montserrat Fuentes , Joseph Guinness , Lian Xie

The spread of viral pathogens is inherently a spatial process. While the temporal aspects of viral spread at the epidemiological level have been increasingly well characterized, the spatial aspects of viral spread are still understudied due…

General Economics · Economics 2022-12-14 Yigit Aydede , Jan Ditzen

Survey sampling is concerned with the estimation of finite population parameters. In practice, survey data suffer from item nonresponse, which is commonly handled through imputation, i.e., replacing missing values with predicted values. As…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Ziming An , Mehdi Dagdoug , David Haziza

Dengue fever is a vector-borne disease mostly endemic to tropical and subtropical countries that affect millions every year and is considered a significant burden for public health. Its geographic distribution makes it highly sensitive to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Luis A. Barboza , Shu-Wei Chou , Paola Vásquez , Yury E. García , Juan G. Calvo , Hugo C. Hidalgo , Fabio Sanchez

Identifying co-varying causal elements in very high dimensional feature space with internal structures, e.g., a space with as many as millions of linearly ordered features, as one typically encounters in problems such as whole genome…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-18 Seyoung Kim , Eric P. Xing

Several key metrics in public health convey the probability that a primary event will lead to a more serious secondary event in the future. These "severity rates" can change over the course of an epidemic in response to shifting conditions…

Emerging marine infectious diseases pose a substantial threat to marine ecosystems and the conservation of their biodiversity. Compartmental models of epidemic transmission in marine sessile organisms, available only recently, are based on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-03 Àlex Giménez-Romero , Federico Vazquez , Cristóbal López , Manuel A. Matías

Variable selection is a classic problem in statistics. In this paper, we consider a Bayes variable selection problem based on spike-and-slab prior with mixed normal distribution proposed by Ro\v{c}kov\'a and George (2014). Motivated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-08 Lin Guoqiang

This paper focuses on variable selection for a partially linear single-index varying-coefficient model. A regularized variable selection procedure by combining basis function approximations with SCAD penalty is proposed. It can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-19 Lijuan Han , Liugen Xue , Junshan Xie

Epidemiological evidence suggests that simultaneous exposures to multiple environmental risk factors (Es) can increase disease risk larger than the additive effect of individual exposure acting alone. The interaction between a gene and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-02 Shunjie Guan , Mingtao Zhao , Yuehua Cui

Spatial spread of infectious diseases among populations via the mobility of humans is highly stochastic and heterogeneous. Accurate forecast/mining of the spread process is often hard to be achieved by using statistical or mechanical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Jian-Bo Wang , Lin Wang , Xiang Li

In employing spatial regression models for counts, we usually meet two issues. First, ignoring the inherent collinearity between covariates and the spatial effect would lead to causal inferences. Second, real count data usually reveal over…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-21 Mahsa Nadifar , Hossein Baghishani , Afshin Fallah

The Bayesian analysis of infectious disease surveillance data from multiple locations typically involves building and fitting a spatio-temporal model of how the disease spreads in the structured population. Here we present new generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Matthew Adeoye , Xavier Didelot , Simon EF Spencer

The effect of spatial correlations on the spread of infectious diseases was investigated using a stochastic SIR (Susceptible-Infective-Recovered) model on complex networks. It was found that in addition to the reduction of the effective…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 J. Verdasca , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes , N. R. Bernardino , J. M. Pacheco , M. C. Gomes

Spike-and-slab and horseshoe regression are arguably the most popular Bayesian variable selection approaches for linear regression models. However, their performance can deteriorate if outliers and heteroskedasticity are present in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Alberto Cabezas , Marco Battiston , Christopher Nemeth

We aim to incorporate variable selection routines into variable-by-variable (or sequential) imputation in clustered data to achieve computational improvement in applications with large-scale health data. Specifically, we utilize variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Qiushuang Li , Recai Yucel

This paper considers the problem of variable selection in regression models in the case of functional variables that may be mixed with other type of variables (scalar, multivariate, directional, etc.). Our proposal begins with a simple null…

Regional aggregates of health outcomes over delineated administrative units (e.g., states, counties, zip codes), or areal units, are widely used by epidemiologists to map mortality or incidence rates and capture geographic variation. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-03 Leiwen Gao , Sudipto Banerjee , Beate Ritz

In causal inference, and specifically in the \textit{Causes of Effects} problem, one is interested in how to use statistical evidence to understand causation in an individual case, and so how to assess the so-called {\em probability of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Fabio Corradi , Monica Musio
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