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In this note, by an elementary use of Girsanov's transform we show that the exit time for either a biased random walk or a drifted Brownian motion on a symmetric interval is stochastically monotone with respect to the drift parameter. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Xi Geng , Greg Markowsky

Let $N$ be a positive integer, $c$ be a positive constant and $(U_n)_{n\ge 1}$ be a sequence of independent identically distributed pseudo-random variables. We assume that the $U_n$'s take their values in the discrete set…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Aimé Lachal

For a one-dimensional super-Brownian motion with density $X(t,x)$, we construct a random measure $L_t$ called the boundary local time which is supported on $\partial \{x:X(t,x) = 0\} =: BZ_t$, thus confirming a conjecture of Mueller, Mytnik…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-25 Thomas Hughes

This paper develops a methodology for approximating the posterior first two moments of the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. Partially specified probability models, which are defined only by specifying means and variances, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-27 K. Triantafyllopoulos , P. J. Harrison

We show that a Brownian motion on $\mathbb{R}_{\ge 0}$ which is allowed to spend a total of $s > 0$ time units outside a bounded interval does not leave the interval at all. This can be seen as an extreme example of entropic repulsion.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-13 Frank Aurzada , Martin Kolb , Dominic T. Schickentanz

In this article the almost semi-continuous step-process $\xi (t)$ is considered. The conditional characteristic functions of the jumps of $\xi (t)$ have the form $\mathrm{E} [ e^{i\alpha \xi_k}/\xi_k>0 ]=c(c-i\alpha)^{-1}$. For such…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-08 D. V. Gusak , E. V. Karnaukh

We study the long-time asymptotics of the probability P_t that the Riemann-Liouville fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index H does not escape from a fixed interval [-L,L] up to time t. We show that for any H \in ]0,1], for both…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-01-07 G. Oshanin

It is a challenging issue to analyze complex dynamics from observed and simulated data. An advantage of extracting dynamic behaviors from data is that this approach enables the investigation of nonlinear phenomena whose mathematical models…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-21 Yubin Lu , Jinqiao Duan

In this article, we consider a Markov process X, starting from x and solving a stochastic differential equation, which is driven by a Brownian motion and an independent pure jump component exhibiting state-dependent jump intensity and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-29 José E. Figueroa-López , Yankeng Luo

We consider a finite-time stochastic drift control problem with the assumption that the control is bounded and the system is controlled until the state process leaves the half-line. Assuming general conditions, it is proved that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Dariusz Zawisza

Throughout physics Brownian dynamics are used to describe the behaviour of molecular systems. When the Brownian particle is confined to a bounded domain, a particularly important question arises around determining how long it takes the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Jason J. Bramburger

We are exploring two archetypal noise induced escape scenarios: escape from a finite interval and from the positive half-line under the action of the mixture of L\'evy and Gaussian white noises in the overdamped regime, for the random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-10 Przemysław Pogorzelec , Bartłomiej Dybiec

In this paper, an approximate version of the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model, driven by a Brownian motion and a L\'evy subordinator, is formulated. The first-exit time of the log-return process for this model is analyzed. It is shown…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-26 Shantanu Awasthi , Indranil SenGupta

This paper is the sequel to another with the same name (Buttigieg et al., Comput. Methods Funct. Theory, 2023), and is concerned with results of the same type. We deduce a result on the moments of the exit time of Brownian motion from…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-12 Greg Markowsky , Clayton McDonald

This paper presents some results on the expected exit time of Brownian motion from simply connected domains in $\CC$. We indicate a way in which Brownian motion sees the identity function and the Koebe function as the smallest and largest…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-08 Greg Markowsky

We consider the problem of efficient estimation for the drift of fractional Brownian motion $B^H:=(B^H_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ with hurst parameter $H$ less than 1/2. We also construct superefficient James-Stein type estimators which dominate,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-12 Es-Sebaiy Khalifa , Idir Ouassou , Youssef Ouknine

We derive expressions for the first three moments of the decision time (DT) distribution produced via first threshold crossings by sample paths of a drift-diffusion equation. The "pure" and "extended" diffusion processes are widely used to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-26 Vaibhav Srivastava , Philip Holmes , Patrick Simen

We present a numerical method to compute the survival function and the moments of the exit time for a piecewise-deterministic Markov process (PDMP). Our approach is based on the quantization of an underlying discrete-time Markov chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-31 Adrien Brandejsky , Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour

We consider a problem of statistical estimation of an unknown drift parameter for a stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. Two estimators based on discrete observations of solution to the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-26 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ral'chenko , Oleg Seleznev , Georgiy Shevchenko

We consider a Brownian motion with linear drift that splits at fixed time points into a fixed number of branches, which may depend on the branching point. For this process, which we shall refer to as the Brownian decision tree, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Pavel Ievlev , Nikolai Kriukov
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