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Regularly varying stochastic processes are able to model extremal dependence between process values at locations in random fields. We investigate the empirical extremogram as an estimator of dependence in the extremes. We provide conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

A method is presented that allows exact calculations of fragment multiplicity distributions for a canonical ensemble of non-interacting clusters. Fragmentation properties are shown to depend on only a few parameters. Fragments are shown to…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-10-31 Scott Pratt , Subal Das Gupta

Consider the space of two dimensional random linear cocycles over a shift in finitely many symbols, with at least one singular and one invertible matrix. We provide an explicit formula for the unique stationary measure associated to such…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Pedro Duarte , Marcelo Durães , Tomé Graxinha , Silvius Klein

Let $\mathbf{X}(n) \in \mathbb{R}^d$ be a sequence of random vectors, where $n\in\mathbb{N}$ and $d = d(n)$. Under certain weakly dependence conditions, we prove that the distribution of the maximal component of $\mathbf{X}$ and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Mikhail Isaev , Igor Rodionov , Rui-Ray Zhang , Maksim Zhukovskii

This paper provides a characterization of all possible dependency structures between two stochastically ordered random variables. The answer is given in terms of copulas that are compatible with the stochastic order and the marginal…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-16 Sebastian Arnold , Ilya Molchanov , Johanna F. Ziegel

We investigate how to model exchangeability with choice functions. Exchangeability is a structural assessment on a sequence of uncertain variables. We show how such assessments are a special indifference assessment, and how that leads to a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-03-07 Arthur Van Camp , Gert de Cooman

We study the 2N-dimensional canonical systems and discuss some properties of its fundamental solution. We then discuss the Floquet theory of periodic canonical systems and observe the asymptotic behavior of its solution. Some important…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2020-06-08 Keshav Raj Acharya , Andrei Ludu

Consider a continuous random pair $(X,Y)$ whose dependence is characterized by an extreme-value copula with Pickands dependence function $A$. When the marginal distributions of $X$ and $Y$ are known, several consistent estimators of $A$ are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Christian Genest , Johan Segers

It is shown that max-stable random vectors in $[0,\infty)^d$ with unit Fr\'echet marginals are in one to one correspondence with convex sets $K$ in $[0,\infty)^d$ called max-zonoids. The max-zonoids can be characterised as sets obtained as…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-29 Ilya Molchanov

Statistical equilibrium models of coherent structures in two-dimensional and barotropic quasi-geostrophic turbulence are formulated using canonical and microcanonical ensembles, and the equivalence or nonequivalence of ensembles is…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. S. Ellis , K. Haven , B. Turkington

Modelling multivariate tail dependence is one of the key challenges in extreme-value theory. Multivariate extremes are usually characterized using parametric models, some of which have simpler submodels at the boundary of their parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-17 Anna Kiriliouk

In a compact topological dynamical system $(X,f)$, we associate to every pair $(x,y)$ a canonical order-theoretic invariant, its emergent order spectrum $\Omega(x,y)$. We first prove that, if $x$ and $y$ are chain-related, one can always…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-12 F. Ciavattini , A. Della Corte , C. Lucamarini

A representation formula for solutions of stochastic partial differential equations with Dirichlet boundary conditions is proved. The scope of our setting is wide enough to cover the general situation when the backward characteristics that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Máté Gerencsér , István Gyöngy

This paper provides an alternative description for the fixed points of the fractal operator associated with a mixed possibly infinite iterated function system via a canonical projection type function. Some visual aspects of our results are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Bogdan-Cristian Anghelina , Radu Miculescu , Alexandru Mihail

This paper deals with the question of conditional sampling and prediction for the class of stationary max-stable processes which allow for a mixed moving maxima representation. We develop an exact procedure for conditional sampling using…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Marco Oesting , Martin Schlather

In this work, it is suggested that the extremum complexity distribution of a high dimensional dynamical system can be interpreted as a piecewise uniform distribution in the phase space of its accessible states. When these distributions are…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-13 Xavier Calbet , Ricardo Lopez-Ruiz

For a discrete dynamics defined by a sequence of bounded and not necessarily invertible linear operators, we give a complete characterization of exponential stability in terms of invertibility of a certain operator acting on suitable Banach…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Nicolae Lupa , Liviu Horia Popescu

For multivariate distributions in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution, the tail copula and the stable tail dependence function are equivalent ways to capture the dependence in the upper tail. The empirical versions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 John H. J. Einmahl , Johan Segers

This paper deals with the generalized convolutions connected with the Williamson transform and the maximum operation. We focus on such convolutions which can define transition probabilities of renewal processes. They should be monotonic…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-21 B. H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn , J. K. Misiewicz , E. Omey , J. Wesołowski

We study mean field stochastic differential equations with a diffusion coefficient that depends on the distribution function of the unknown process in a discontinuous manner, which is a type of distribution dependent regime switching. To…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Jani Nykänen